December 1, 2008

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THT Live Calendar
July 2008
S M T W T F S


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Thursday, July 31, 2008

Will Manny make the Marlins worse?

Posted by Dave Studeman
That's the question Dave Cameron asks and answers. According to Dave, Ramirez is no better than Jeremy Heremida when you factor in both fielding and batting.

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Is Teixeira really an upgrade for the Angels?

Posted by Sal Baxamusa
Marcel thinks so. The rest of the year projection for Teixeira is .287/.379/.521. Casey Kotchman, traded to the Braves for Tex, is at .281/.348/.438. That's over 100 points of OPS. Both are supposed to be good fielders, so we'll call that a wash. But since the Angels have the AL West all but wrapped up, so this is an upgrade for the postseason. Long-term, it's hard to call this a win for the Angels, but if Tex has some postseason heroics, all will be forgiven.

Tribe trade outlook

Posted by Dave Studeman
The Indians' remaining trade options are summed up nicely by Let's Go Tribe, in the last of a series called Trade Everyone. Bottom line: only Paul Byrd is left as trade bait, but there may be an option behind the plate.

Monday, July 28, 2008

THT helps Banny

Posted by Dave Studeman
According to this piece by Joe Posnanski, Brian Bannister is looking to THT's stats for a little insight and help.

"Look at my xFIP," he is saying as he pulls out a few pages he printed off the Internet site, "The Hardball Times." He points out his xFIP — an advanced pitching statistic that stands for "Expected Fielding Independent Pitching."

"Look," he says, and here is his row of xFIP numbers:

2006: 6.29.

2007: 5.14.

2008: 4.59.

"Look at that," he says again. "I’m actually pitching better than I was last year. My xFIP is down. It’s just that I got lucky last year."


We're happy to provide some solace, Brian. Hang in there. (Hat tip: Tango)

Xavier Nady’s 2008

Posted by Matthew Carruth
Beyond the Box Score examines Xavier Nady's 2008 campaign to date to try and find the source of his improvement.

What the Mets Need

Posted by Matthew Carruth
Amazin Avenue charts out the positions of need for the Mets at the trade deadline.

Sunday, July 27, 2008

Minors to Majors

Posted by Dave Studeman
MGL has analyzed the correlation between minor league and major league performances in consecutive years and draws comparisons to the same results for major leaguers only. The minor league stats are converted to major league equivalents for the analysis.

The bottom line is that minor league stats aren't as strongly correlated with the next year as major league stats, but the correlation is still pretty strong. For major leaguers, a typical year-to-year correlation for basic battings ratios (OBP, SLG) is around .5 or .6. For minor leaguers promoted to the majors, it's around .3 or .4. A question in my mind is whether selection bias is inflating the minors-to-majors correlations.

Watch Out for the Rockies

Posted by Dave Studeman
David Pinto notes that the Rockies have allowed three runs or less in 14 of their last 22 games and are now just six games out of the lead. Given their rough start, it's crazy to think that the Rox have a shot at the division lead, but that's the NL West for you.

Saturday, July 26, 2008

More Yankees/Pirates Trade Reaction

Posted by Alex Eisenberg
Ben K from River Ave. Blues provides his take on the Yanks/Pirates deal, while Charlie from Bucs Dugout is disappointed after hearing the deal was restructured.


Nady Mucho

Posted by Dave Studeman
Over at Bronx Banter, Cliff Corcoran reviews the good and the bad of the Pirate/Yankee trade, from the Yankees' point of view, including the opinion that the Yankees just don't need Marte. From the Pirate fans' perspective, Pat Lackey of What have you gone, Andy Van Slyke hates it, and so do his readers.

Friday, July 25, 2008

Hall of Fame shutout

Posted by Dave Studeman
Hall of Fame ceremonies will be held this weekend, when Goose Gossage, Bowie Kuhn, Walter O'Malley, Barney Dreyfuss, Billy Southworth and Dick Williams are inducted into the Hall. With such a diverse group of individuals entering the Hall, it's a good time to once again ask why Marvin Miller isn't there, too.

Interview Pitchf/x guru, Josh Kalk

Posted by Dave Studeman
Our own Josh Kalk is interviewed by NoMaas. Lots of good detail regarding the PITCHf/x system here. Apparently, Josh is a "guru" of PITCHf/x. Cool!

Thursday, July 24, 2008

Win Shares through July 23

Posted by Dave Studeman
I updated our Win Shares stats through yesterday's games. Over the past two weeks, six players racked up three Win Shares: Melvin Mora, Carlos Delgado, Troy Glaus, Adam Dunn, Jhonny Peralta, Jim Thome and Ryan Braun. Looks like some sluggers are starting to heat up.


RZR Averages

Posted by Dave Studeman
We sometimes receive requests for the average Relative Zone Ratings per position. We hope to eventually have those available on a daily basis, but here are the averages through yesterday's games in the meantime:
POS     BIZ   Plays     RZR     OOZ
1B    4,023   3,027    .752     885
2B    8,080   6,624    .820     686
3B    6,669   4,656    .698   1,055
SS    8,019   6,679    .833   1,038
LF    5,305   4,691    .884   1,142
CF    6,782   6,215    .916   1,671
RF    5,577   5,026    .901   1,264


Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Fun with THT stats

Posted by David Gassko
Quick quiz: Who leads the major leagues in innings pitched and xFIP?

Roy Halladay is incredible.

For daily results, visit the THT Daily Archive.

Baseball News

From
USA Today

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Henderson on Hall of Fame ballot for the first time
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K-Rod's agent: No contract talks until winter meetings
Paul Kinzer, Francisco Rodriguez's agent, won't start detailed discussions with teams until the winter meetings open in Las Vegas ...


Judge orders BALCO testimony documents unsealed
A federal judge in San Francisco ordered thousands of pages of grand jury testimony related to the BALCO investigation unsealed ...


Tigers look to rebound from injury-riddled 2008 season
The Detroit Tigers, one of baseball's biggest busts in 2008, will try to recover this offseason by fixing their bullpen and finding ...


Young talent points way, but Giants need veteran help too
By their own admission, the San Francisco Giants took too long to embark on a youth movement. When the futility of trying to ...


After his report, Mitchell thinks drug use down in MLB
His investigation tarnished the reputation of Roger Clemens and dozens of other players, led to a toughened drug agreement and ...


Boras says Red Sox interested in bringing back Varitek
The Boston Red Sox have expressed an interest in bringing back captain Jason Varitek but have not made a contract offer, the ...