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July 2008
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Thursday, July 10, 2008

Why does everyone want Frenchy to go the other way?


JC Bradbury hits upon one of my pet peeves, which is asking players to significantly modify their approach. In this case, he harps on Braves commentator Joe Simpson for calling on Jeff Francouer to hit more to the opposite field; I feel the same way when people want Jack Cust to "just try to make more contact."

Cust has been the A's best hitter for most of the season despite a sub-.250 batting average most of the time. Even when he isn't getting hits, he walks enough to get on base about 40 percent of the time, and his swing for the fences approach means that when he does make contact, he hits 'em out enough to be slugging to make him valuable, even in the DH spot, despite a really low batting average.



Posted by Bryan Tsao at 11:18am (0) Comments

The emergence of John Danks


Beyond the Box Score has an interesting analysis of John Danks' breakout this season, mostly using PITCHf/x data to tease out differences in pitch selection and velocity. I'm still not 100 percent convinced of the causality in cases like this—i.e. is he pitching better because of his pitch selection/approach, or is his approach different because he's in better situations because his pitching is better for some reason not measured. In this case, they've accounted for a velocity increase, but it doesn't rule out the possibility that, say, his command is also better. It's also hard to determine which exactly of the changes is causing the others, or if they are all building off of each other. Not to say that this piece and others like it don't shed additional light on the issue.

Posted by Bryan Tsao at 11:09am (0) Comments

Sabermetrics class at MIT on Sunday


For those interested, Mitchel Lichtman (MGL) and I will be teaching a class at MIT focusing on sabermetric analysis of pitching and defense. The class is for high school aged kids, but this one will be open to the public, so anyone who wants to can come. The class will be in room 4-231 (here's a map); it starts at 10 am and goes to noon, and we will take questions after. Looking forward to meeting anyone who comes out!

(For those interested, here's Mickey's post on the topic.)

Posted by David Gassko at 11:04am (0) Comments

The hits just keep on coming


Bob Timmerman over at Baseball Toaster commemorates the 76th anniversary of the day the single-day AL hits record was set, with eight teams accumulating 190 hits in one day of baseball.

Posted by Bryan Tsao at 11:04am (0) Comments

Midseason trade thoughts


Paul DePodesta with some excellent philosophic and strategic notes about mid-season trades. I like this:
The Volume Myth
I have to address this one, because we always joke about it internally. Overwhelming teams with volume is not a recipe for bringing back quality players. Every team out there is smart enough to know that four times zero is still zero: "But what if we add this 4A guy AND this marginal prospect? No? Well then... what if we were to add this long reliever as well?" It takes quality, not quantity, to get quality.


Posted by Dave Studeman at 9:20am (0) Comments