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Thursday, July 10, 2008

Why does everyone want Frenchy to go the other way?

Posted by Bryan Tsao
JC Bradbury hits upon one of my pet peeves, which is asking players to significantly modify their approach. In this case, he harps on Braves commentator Joe Simpson for calling on Jeff Francouer to hit more to the opposite field; I feel the same way when people want Jack Cust to "just try to make more contact."

Cust has been the A's best hitter for most of the season despite a sub-.250 batting average most of the time. Even when he isn't getting hits, he walks enough to get on base about 40 percent of the time, and his swing for the fences approach means that when he does make contact, he hits 'em out enough to be slugging to make him valuable, even in the DH spot, despite a really low batting average.



The emergence of John Danks

Posted by Bryan Tsao
Beyond the Box Score has an interesting analysis of John Danks' breakout this season, mostly using PITCHf/x data to tease out differences in pitch selection and velocity. I'm still not 100 percent convinced of the causality in cases like this—i.e. is he pitching better because of his pitch selection/approach, or is his approach different because he's in better situations because his pitching is better for some reason not measured. In this case, they've accounted for a velocity increase, but it doesn't rule out the possibility that, say, his command is also better. It's also hard to determine which exactly of the changes is causing the others, or if they are all building off of each other. Not to say that this piece and others like it don't shed additional light on the issue.

Sabermetrics class at MIT on Sunday

Posted by David Gassko
For those interested, Mitchel Lichtman (MGL) and I will be teaching a class at MIT focusing on sabermetric analysis of pitching and defense. The class is for high school aged kids, but this one will be open to the public, so anyone who wants to can come. The class will be in room 4-231 (here's a map); it starts at 10 am and goes to noon, and we will take questions after. Looking forward to meeting anyone who comes out!

(For those interested, here's Mickey's post on the topic.)

The hits just keep on coming

Posted by Bryan Tsao
Bob Timmerman over at Baseball Toaster commemorates the 76th anniversary of the day the single-day AL hits record was set, with eight teams accumulating 190 hits in one day of baseball.

Midseason trade thoughts

Posted by Dave Studeman
Paul DePodesta with some excellent philosophic and strategic notes about mid-season trades. I like this:
The Volume Myth
I have to address this one, because we always joke about it internally. Overwhelming teams with volume is not a recipe for bringing back quality players. Every team out there is smart enough to know that four times zero is still zero: "But what if we add this 4A guy AND this marginal prospect? No? Well then... what if we were to add this long reliever as well?" It takes quality, not quantity, to get quality.


What’s up with Danks?

Posted by Dave Studeman
Mike Pindelski takes a closer look at John Danks' improvement this season, using various stats and Josh Kalk's PITCHf/x graphs and data. The bottom line: Danks is for real.

For daily results, visit the THT Daily Archive.

Baseball News

From
USA Today

Broken wrist sidelines White Sox MVP candidate Quentin
Chicago White Sox All-Star left fielder Carlos Quentin, a leading contender for the American League MVP award, will undergo surgery next week on his fractured right wrist, the White Sox announced Friday.


Rays salvage strong Kazmir performance for win over Yankees
Scott Kazmir allowed one hit in six scoreless innings, and Tampa Bay's bullpen weathered ninth-inning home runs by Derek Jeter and Alex Rodriguez to hang on for a 7-5 victory over the New York Yankees on Thursday night.


Blue Jays whitewash Twins thanks to Litsch's gem
Jesse Litsch threw a four-hit shutout and the Toronto Blue Jays completed a three-game sweep of Minnesota with a 9-0 victory over the Twins on Thursday night. Litsch (10-8) walked two and struck out three and is 2-1 with a 0.94 ERA in four starts since being recalled from Triple-A on Aug. 14.


Lee's 20-2 among stat gems deep in standings
Lee, who struggled with injuries last season in going 5-8, is the seventh pitcher since 1920 to start 20-2 and is Cleveland's first 20-game winner since Gaylord Perry was 21-13 in 1974. "Guys like playing behind Cliff because he works fast, throws strikes and attacks hitters," Indians general manager Mark Shapiro says.


Zambrano's shoulder problems not considered serious
Pitcher Carlos Zambrano's shoulder problems are not serious, and he could return to the Chicago Cubs' rotation by the end of next week.


McDonald's clutch hit in extras lifts Jays over Twins
John McDonald singled home the go-ahead run in the 11th inning and the Toronto Blue Jays beat Minnesota 5-4 on Wednesday night, posting their eighth straight victory over the Twins.


A-Rod homer upheld by instant replay; Yankees beat Rays
Alex Rodriguez made major league history by agreeing with an umpire. The New York Yankees third baseman, a lightning rod for headlines on and off the field throughout his career, saw his ninth-inning home run Wednesday night the same way as third base umpire Brian Runge. So did baseball's instant replay system.


Dunn's double propels Diamondbacks over Cardinals
With his slumping team down three runs in the sixth inning, Arizona manager Bob Melvin started making notes for a postgame pep talk. The Diamondbacks spared him the trouble, rallying for a 4-3 victory on Adam Dunn's winning double in the ninth.