December 1, 2008

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The 2009 Hardball Times Annual is now available. You can read about it here, but just make sure you order it directly from ACTA today.




And here's the full roster.

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Friday, August 15, 2008

Baseball’s Draft System Is Badly Broken

Posted by Dave Studeman
Tim Marchman has another nice commentary, this time talking about baseball's latest attempts to fix the baseball drat and why they aren't working.

Predicting ERA

Posted by Dave Studeman
Colin Wyers has done something I meant to do earlier this year: a new and in-depth analysis of the effectiveness of various ERA "component" stats. The study seems sound to me, though I would have created a league-specific FIP add-on for each year (which is what we do here at THT), instead of using 3.2 in all cases.

Colin finds that the "DIPS" estimators (FIP and DIPS) are the best estimators of a pitcher's ERA in the next year. That's why we carry FIP in our THT stats. Colin also introduces a new ERA component stat, a FIP/Base Runs hybrid, which appears to be the best ERA predictor of all.

For daily results, visit the THT Daily Archive.

Baseball News

From
USA Today

Winter ball provides chance for notice, instruction, redemption
For the insatiable baseball fan not satisfied with pondering the latest rumor from the hot stove league, Mexico, Puerto Rico, ...


Henderson on Hall of Fame ballot for the first time
Career steals leader Rickey Henderson heads 10 first-time candidates on this year's Hall of Fame ballot, joining holdovers Mark ...


K-Rod's agent: No contract talks until winter meetings
Paul Kinzer, Francisco Rodriguez's agent, won't start detailed discussions with teams until the winter meetings open in Las Vegas ...


Judge orders BALCO testimony documents unsealed
A federal judge in San Francisco ordered thousands of pages of grand jury testimony related to the BALCO investigation unsealed ...


Tigers look to rebound from injury-riddled 2008 season
The Detroit Tigers, one of baseball's biggest busts in 2008, will try to recover this offseason by fixing their bullpen and finding ...


Young talent points way, but Giants need veteran help too
By their own admission, the San Francisco Giants took too long to embark on a youth movement. When the futility of trying to ...


After his report, Mitchell thinks drug use down in MLB
His investigation tarnished the reputation of Roger Clemens and dozens of other players, led to a toughened drug agreement and ...


Boras says Red Sox interested in bringing back Varitek
The Boston Red Sox have expressed an interest in bringing back captain Jason Varitek but have not made a contract offer, the ...