May 25, 2012
Now Available for 2012 THT Essentials: Now Available The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2012, an annual "must buy" for all baseball fans, is now shipping. Read this article to learn more about it.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2008Ben Jacobs: modern day NostradamusAt the season's outset, 18 THT-ities submitted their preseason predictions. Now that the year's over, let's see how we did and rank us. The ranking system is easy—if you predict a team comes in first and it comes in fifth, that's four points. If it's third, that's two points. Low score did the job. Ben Jacobs 29 points Chris Neault 30 points John Barten 32 points Matthew Carruth 33 points Chris Jaffe 33 points Richard Barbieri 34 points David Gassko 35 points John Beamer 35 points Bryan Tsao 35 points David Studenman 36 points Steve Treder 36 points Lisa Gray 36 points Geoff Young 37 points Brian Borowski 38 points Craig Brown 38 points John Walsh 39 points Sal Baxamusa 39 points Brandon Isleib 40 points Congrats to Ben Jacobs. Also, please note that John Barten was the only person to get an entire division perfectly ordered—- the AL West. The Red Sox have the best offense of any AL playoff teamOkay, no surprise there. Pursuant to yesterday's post, I did the AL teams as well: likely roster, likely lineups, and current Marcel projections. Red Sox: 5.67 runs per game (Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz, Kevin Youkilis, Jason Bay, Mark Kotsay, Sean Casey, Jason Varitek, Jed Lowrie). LA Angels: 5.48 runs per game (Chone Figgins, Garret Anderson, Mark Teixeira, Vladimir Guerrero, Torii Hunter, Mike Napoli, Howie Kendrick, Gary Matthews Jr, Erick Aybar). Rays: 5.43 runs per game (Akinori Iwamura, B.J. Upton, Carlos Pena, Evan Longoria, Dioner Navarro, Rocco Baldelli, Jonny Gomes, Eric Hinske, Jason Bartlett). White Sox: 5.09 runs per game (Orlando Cabrera, Dewayne Wise, Jermaine Dye, Jim Thome, Paul Konerko, Ken Griffey Jr, Alexei Ramirez, A.J. Pierzynski, Juan Uribe). No real surprises here. Height and home run ratesI got an e-mail from a reporter today inquiring about changes in home run rates among differently sized players. His question piqued my interest, and I decided to run a simple query, checking on whether players of different heights have seen their home run rates decline by different amounts since the peak of the home run boom. Click for more... How the Twins and White Sox scoreAs the Twins and White Sox prepare to battle it out for the American League Central title tonight, I thought you might appreciate this little graph of how teams score. I first introduced this graph format in this article (quick tip: circle sizes are based on number of home runs hit), and it's still one of my favorites. Take a look... Click for more... Monday, September 29, 2008The Dodgers have the best offense of any NL playoff teamDon't believe me? I don't blame you. The Dodgers scored 4.32 runs per game in the regular season, well below average. But there are a few problems with looking at that figure. First, the Dodgers are not the same team today that they were in April. Second, backups and scrubs are far less likely to see playing time in the postseason. Last, and most importantly, we can't look at a team's performance record and assume that they'll continue to perform the same. So, we have to figure out which players are on the roster, which ones are likely to play, and what the true talent of those players are going forward. I did just that, here's what I came up with: Click for more... | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||