December 2, 2008

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The 2009 Hardball Times Annual is now available. You can read about it here, but just make sure you order it directly from ACTA today.




And here's the full roster.

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Tuesday, September 02, 2008

Does size matter?

Posted by Dave Studeman
No, this isn't a spam email. It's just a reference to David Pinto's latest article for the Sporting News, in which he looks at the impact size has on a player's stats—as in clean-up batter Dustin Pedroia. Reminds me of David Gassko's superb six-part series on size in these pages two years ago. Here's the fourth installment in David's series, which recapped the impact size has on a batter's career and projections.

$140mm doesn’t buy what it used to

Posted by Bryan Tsao
Some Rays fans are starting to grow into their contender status and talk some more trash with Yankees fans. It's hard to say that the Yankees won't be back in the near future with their payroll resources, so Rays fans should definitely milk this run for all it's worth.

MLB’s real competitive advantage

Posted by Bryan Tsao
It's always interesting to read about baseball in the non-sports press. This BusinessWeek article breaks down MLB Advanced Media as a business. Bookmark this for the next time owners cry poor.

Talking with Buster

Posted by Dave Studeman
Gelf Magazine has an interesting interview with Buster Olney. We baseball analysts have a "love/hate/mostly disagree" thing going on with Buster, but I do respect how well he does his job. Olney will also be part of Gelf Magazine's Varsity Letters event this Thursday in New York City.

Too much deconstruction

Posted by Dave Studeman
Pizza Cutter argues that Kelly Johnson has actually gotten better at bat this year, despite posting a batting line of .263/.331/.402, compared to .276/.375/.457 last year. Cutter feels that Johnson's decline has been a matter of bad luck because he's swinging at more appropriate times this year and hitting line drives at a higher rate. Cutter also includes some analysis of how BABIP varies over time, given batted ball rates.

I have a hard time buying this. You may be familiar with J.C. Bradbury's PrOPS, which was introduced here a few years ago. PrOPS pins Johnson's "expected" OPS at .746, compared to .799 last year. That declining home run rate is clearly a factor, and may be indicative that he's just not hitting the ball as hard this year (not all line drives are hit hard).

One thing I noticed while digging into his stats is that Johnson is batting .139 when he makes contact with curveballs. That's just awful. Perhaps he should be laying off those breaking pitches more often.

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