November 22, 2009

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Monday, June 01, 2009

College World Series odds through day 3


And then there were 22. Ten of the 16 Super Regional qualifiers are set. Those teams get several days off before playing a three-game series next weekend. Twelve more teams get to fight it out this evening. Those six winner-take-all games will fill out the remainder of the Super Regional field.

Despite a tough draw, Virginia escaped unscathed from the Irvine regional, defeating the host Anteaters twice in as many days. My other favorite underdog, Kansas State, was unable to stop Rice yesterday, so they'll have a tough battle on their hands tonight to advance.

One note on the results. Eagle-eyed readers may have noticed that yesterday's odds report gave Arizona State a slight edge over Virginia to win it all, despite the fact that Virginia was originally favored, and both teams did nothing but win. The adjustment was due to Arizona State's likely Super Regional opponent. Since Oklahoma State (the underdog) beat Clemson (the favorite) in Saturday's winner's bracket game, Arizona State had a good chance of getting the Cowboys in the next round. While the Sun Devils are favored either way, Oklahoma State would've been a much more favorable matchup. Now that Clemson has come out of the loser's bracket and forced a decisive game (which, as you'll see, I give them a strong chance of winning), the bigger obstacle may be back in Arizona State's path.

Once again, Virginia is the slight favorite. And after they slipped through the Strasburg noose, then beat UC Irvine twice (by a three-game combined score of 14-2, no less), who's to doubt them?

Keep reading for the full report.

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Posted by Jeff Sackmann at 3:31pm