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September 2009
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Friday, September 25, 2009

I need your feedback!


I'm working away on the Hardball Times Annual 2010 (have I mentioned that lately?) and I'd appreciate your feedback on something. Past Annuals have included a graph of each team's runs scored and allowed, as well as games won, on an average ten-game basis. It's supposed to be an easy way to visualize the season. I don't know if many people actually like it, but I think it works pretty well (particularly when we add the big events of each year on the bottom).

The graph is kind of complex, but I'm thinking of adding something to it. In addition to all the runs and wins lines, I'd like to add a line that references each team's Drama Index during the year. The Drama Index tells you how dramatic each game was along the way and adds context to the runs scored and allowed info.

By the way, the Annual will also include Championship WPA for all players. Championship WPA is basically a combination of WPA and the Drama Index, though the version will be publishing was created by Sky Andrecheck.

So I want to put this extra info on a black and white graph (got to be black and white for the book). Here's what it looks like for Minnesota, the only team providing any drama at this time of year:

image

What do you think? Good info to see on the graph? Too confusing? Don't care about it?

Posted by Dave Studeman at 4:43pm (7) Comments

How is this possible?


This is a repeat of an earlier post. Hopefully, the comments will work this time.

Usually when one of us here at THT Live links to a post it's because there is something provocative in the writing of the post that we'd like to either point out or elaborate on. This isn't really one of those times, but I'd like to point something out anyway. This morning at Beyond the Box Score, Sky Kalkman gave us some trivia questions to ponder from Baseball Reference. The answers to questions three and four are what confused Sky, myself, and I'm sure several other people. Here they are:
Questions:
3. Which is better according to OPS+ and ERA+, the Padres offense or their pitching?
4. Which is better according to OPS+ and ERA+, the Rockies offense or their pitching?

Answers:
3. Their hitting, and it's not even close. Their OPS+ is 95 with a league average of 94 (explain that to me) while their ERA+ is 84 with a league average of 101.
4. They're equally impressive, with their OPS+ at 100 with a league average of 94 and their ERA+ at 106.

Sky doesn't quote ERA+ in question four, which is also confusing since he quotes it as 101 in the previous question. I had always thought that the league average OPS+ and ERA+ by definition had to be exactly 100. If an OPS+ 115, for example, is supposed to be 15% better than league average, then what's going on here? If almost everybody is below average, then what's average?

Anybody know what's going on here?

Posted by Dan Novick at 3:38pm (9) Comments

I, Claudia’s: Some idle thoughts from an idle fellow


About once or twice a week during the baseball season, I spend more time than is decent at Claudia's in Portland, watching more baseball than is decent while drinking more beers than is decent.

Because you're a sports fan, you've very probably been to a bar like Claudia's. Here's what it has in it: beer, like 15 TVs, and a bunch of dudes. Also, they serve pizza (and are proud of the fact if the "We Serve Pizza" sign in the corner is any indication).

During the baseball season—or at least that portion of the baseball season during which the Rose City isn't entirely under the influence of basketsball—baseball is on every TV. Of particular interest is the area just above the bar itself, where five HD TVs are lined up end-to-end, each tuned to a different, incredibly live game.

It's a kinda amazing way to watch baseball.

While previously I've only ever gone to Claudia's in my capacity as amateur layabout, I got to figuring during one of my recent sojourns: on account of I'm being paid all this money by Hardball Times anyway, wouldn't it be sporting of me to jot down some of my observations about the games I was watching?

Sure, was my answer to myself.

Of course, I didn't mean right away. I was already in medias res for the night. But I resolved that next time I was around I'd get out the old steno pad and record some observations.

Well, last night (Thursday) was next time. Here's how it went.

Click for more...

Posted by Carson Cistulli at 3:02pm (1) Comments