February 10, 2012
Now Available for 2012 THT Essentials: Now Available The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2012, an annual "must buy" for all baseball fans, is now shipping. Read this article to learn more about it.
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Friday, November 13, 2009Intro to SabermetricsMichael Jong, of Marlin Maniac and Beyond the Boxscore, has written quite the nice set of articles outlining some of the major concepts of modern day Sabermetrics at FanHuddle: Glossary: part one, two and three. Runs created The value of walks The "international currency" of baseball (runs) Linear weights He also has several in depth player profiles, which are also very informative. If you are interesting in learning about Sabermetrics, from the bottom up, this is a very good place to start. A look at arm ratingsUsing 2006-2008 data, I ran a regression using UZR's ARM rating per 150 games as my dependent variable against the three Z-Scored arm ratings on Tangotiger's Fans' Scouting Report-accuracy, strength, and release-and using the number of ballots as my weights. Fans can explain about 10% of the variance in an outfielder's ARM runs per 150 games. It turns out that grading out a 60 on arm strength, one standard deviation above the league average of 50, is worth around half a run over the course of a year. Here are the estimated coefficients of the regressions. An asterisk indicates statistical significance at the 10% level.
Either the fans don't do a good job of assessing the ability of an outfielder to release the ball quickly, or that aspect of an outfielder's game just isn't important in stopping the running game. Arm strength is most important in center field, while accuracy is valued highest in left, confirming our intuition. Ain’t lovin’ Granderson?This is my first post here at THT after spending a year and a half blogging for my favorite team, the St. Louis Cardinals. It's good to be on board. With the end of the World Series, every baseball fan's second favorite pastime is rumor-mongering about who's heading where and for how much or whom. As is always the case, I've been suckered into it as well. While there has been a lot of talk about the top free agents on the market, the rumor that has really drawn my attention is the one that suggests that the Tigers are looking to trade Curtis Granderson. On the surface, it appears as though this is not an altogether terrible idea. He batted just .249 last season and struck out 141 times. He also struggles to hit lefties, mustering a feckless .484 OPS last year against southpaws. Click for more... Brewers decline Looper option: how will they build rotation?The Milwaukee Brewers were smart to decline starting pitcher Braden Looper's $6.5 million mutual option, freeing up a significant amount of money to plug various holes. Click for more... | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||