February 10, 2012
Now Available for 2012 THT Essentials: Now Available The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2012, an annual "must buy" for all baseball fans, is now shipping. Read this article to learn more about it.
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Tuesday, March 30, 2010Jason Heyward, the J-Hey kidI've noticed that my projection system, available at baseballprojection.com, has the lowest forecast for the new right fielder in Atlanta. I have him projected to hit a pedestrian 258/324/416. First of all, it doesn't bother me after having the lowest 2009 projection for Matt Wieters (274/352/439) when other projection systems were filling out his HOF ballot. He wound up hitting 288/340/412. But I must point out that this low projection for his age 20 rookie season does not mean I don't think he's destined for greatness. Running the multi-year forecast for him, I have a 299/377/503 projection for his age 23 season, and a peak projection at 27 of 313/400/536. This is just a midpoint, at 6'5 and 240 pounds he could become a great power hitter, maybe the next Ken Griffey Jr., but we don't know that, he could wind up just another Ruben Sierra. Even if he isn't a great player this year, players who can play in the big leagues at age 20 are much more likely to be great players. Here are the age 20 seasons of a few other greats or potential greats: Hank Aaron 280/322/447 Willie Mays 274/356/472 Justin Upton 250/353/463 Mickey Mantle and Griffey Junior debuted at age 19, their first season against big league pitchers were similar: Mantle 267/349/443 Junior 264/329/420 The projection says I'm not ready to put him ahead of guys like that. You never know though, Ted Williams, Al Kaline, and Frank Robinson debuted at age 20, and were superstars from day 1. Monday, March 29, 2010Visual Baseball: Introducing the PaintomaticHere's an attempt at visualizing a pitcher's arsenal (what they throw, how often they throw it, and how well they throw it.) How well they "paint" so to speak. For each pitcher you'll see a visual expression of the pitches they throw, with size representing how often they throw it and color indicating the quality of the pitch (measured by Runs Above Average / 100 pitches thrown). I've included Paintomatics for a variety of pitchers - ranging from Cy Young contenders like Zack Grienke and Tim Lincecum to duds like Sidney Ponson and Rich Hill. And a few odd-balls like Tim Wakefield. Let me know what you think.          Friday, March 26, 2010Chin-lung Hu: Adam Everett clone?With the Dodgers, shortstop Chin-lung Hu's career prospects appear bleak. Rafael Furcal is the incumbent at short, and the club's top prospect is Devaris Gordon, also a shortstop. Hu could move to second base (not first, to the chagrin of Abbott and Costello fans). But, the Dodgers are likely to go with Blake DeWitt at the keystone, with Ronnie Belliard and Jamey Carroll also in the mix. Ivan De JesusJr. (recovered from a broken leg that wrecked his 2009 season) isn't far away, either. Should he remain in L.A., Hu's starting assignments figure to be few and far between. Personally, I'm rooting for Hu to get a new zip code in the near future (paging Dayton Moore). The 26 year-old could be an Adam Everett-like player, saving enough runs with the leather to overcome lackluster lumber. Click for more... Thursday, March 25, 2010Introducing Batting Goggles for the iPhone and iPod TouchWe've recently introduced a new iPhone/iPod Touch app over at Sabometrics. Batting Goggles is perfect for taking in a game at the ballpark or the bar. It gives you instant access to interesting info about every batter and pitcher in the majors. The app shows you an interactive hot and cold diagram presenting each player's average and slugging percentage on pitches in that area of the strike zone. You can customize this to show the players' performance against righties, lefties or both. You can also see the sample size for each section by clicking on it. The app also contains some basic statistics for each player. We think it's pretty cool. There's more information (here) We're planning to add a favorites list and the ability to save two lineups. We think the lineup feature will make the app even easier to use while watching a game. All data is stored on the device so you don't need an internet connection and don't worry it takes up less than a megabyte. Click for more... Community ForecastsFollow this link and enter a playing time forecast for your favorite team. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||