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Saturday, March 13, 2010

Evaluating multi-year free agent deals with THT Forecasts


Spring training is well under way, and many clubs in Arizona and Florida are showing off their shiny new free agent signings. Overall, 28 free agents (excluding Kansas City's Noel Arguelles and Cincinnati's Aroldis Chapman) received multi-year contracts over the winter. Which players project to be worth the dough, and which players might have their clubs screaming "D'oh!" in a few years?

Enter THT Forecasts. Based on Brian Cartwright's Oliver projections, THT forecasts offer (among many other things) detailed player projections for the next six seasons. Equipped with these forecasts, I compiled projected wins above replacement (WAR) totals for each multi-year free agent signee during the length of the player's contract.

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Posted by David Golebiewski at 9:47am (7) Comments