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February 02, 2012

THT Forecasts - 2012 fantasy price guides

In addition to the Oliver database, reports, projections, and watch lists, THT Forecasts also has a fantasy price guide that you can customize with your league specifications (although note that not all stat categories you can imagine are present yet; we'll work on that!).

Also, the fantasy price guides are updated as the season progresses and new data are added to the Oliver database, thus changing the projections for the remainder of the season to assist you with waiver wire pick-ups, trades, etc.. You can then return to your price guide at the end of the season to evaluate players and see what they should have been worth before the season started (thus best to transfer and save your pre-season fantasy price guide for comparison).

Note that the fantasy price guide lists players according to their dollar values for an auction draft, but the rankings can still be applied to a snake draft. For a league that uses a points structure, you can switch to the customizable reports, download and open them with your favorite spreadsheet, and then include your stat-cat modifiers to calculate point totals for the players.

Finally, using Yahoo! Fantasy Baseball's default league auction and roto settings, here are the top projected offensive players:

Pos   Players      2012 Value
C     Mike Napoli     $34
1B    Albert Pujols   $55
2B    Dan Uggla       $30
3B    Jose Bautista   $40
SS    Troy Tulowitzki $32
OF    Matt Kemp       $57
OF    Mike Stanton    $47
OF    Ryan Braun      $44
Util  Miguel Cabrera  $52
Util  Joey Votto      $46

THT Forecasts is available for the 2012 season, with Brian Cartwright's Oliver database providing over 9000 projections for major and minor leaguers. Visit Forecasts today to learn more and sign up for only $14.95!
Posted by: Greg Tamer

July 26, 2011

1,000,000,000 seconds of fantasy baseball (7/26/11)

At some point today, it’ll be 1,000,000,000 seconds since baseball experienced one of its biggest and most unlikely transformations.

All those ticks of the clock ago, Dan Okrent drew up the rules for Rotisserie Baseball, beginning the fantasy sports craze. Started as something small among a group of friends, fantasy baseball—and fantasy sports as a whole—has transformed into a mutli-million (multi-billion?) dollar annual industry, completing reworking how people follow the game. Old local allegiances can be replaced by overriding concern for how your players are doing.

It’s so all-pervasive now that it’s like breathing the air. It’s all around and you can’t imagine sports without it. That said, it’s also the creature of modern media communications. In order to have fantasy sports, you need to be able to follow your players on a daily basis, and that means follow all teams. That was tough to do back in the day.

As a kid growing up in the 1980s, the local paper gave box scores and some info, but only on Sunday would they give you season’s stats for all around the league, and that was highly fragmentary. The first revolution was USA Today, a national paper with much a much wider number of season stats made available.

The real breakthrough, of course, was the intern. Now we all have access to players’ seasonal numbers, often updated to the second. Dan Okrent’s billion second moment greatly predates the internet, but Rotisserie and similar leagues have become much larger as a result. It’s so big that Okrent once said he could create a number of inventions, win a shelf-full of awards, and further humanity in numerous ways, but when he dies the first line of his obituary will still say “invented Rotisserie baseball.”

Aside from that, many other events celebrate benchmarks today, whether it is traditional anniversaries or “day-versaries” (which are events occurring X-thousand days ago). Here they are, with the better ones in bold if you just want to skim:

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Posted by: Chris Jaffe

June 06, 2011

Quiz results: Pujols’ OPS

Maybe Albert Pujols read the pop quiz post Friday, voted for "Over 1050" and set out to make that a reality. Whatever the reason, he pumped his 2011 OPS up from .746 heading into Friday's game to .826 following Sunday's 10th-inning, game-ending, series-sweeping home run.

Yes, that's an 80-point gain in a mere three contests. That's what going 6-for-11 with three walks, a hit-by-pitch, four homers, one double, seven RBI and seven runs scored over the weekend will do for a player's numbers.

Additionally, his OPS+ climbed from 109 to 132.

Had this quiz been posted today instead of Friday, there's little doubt the voting would have been different. Heck, I cast a vote for "850-950," but based on this outburst, I'd change to "950-1050" if I had to do it again.

But timing is everything, so here is what The Hardball Times' readers had to say on the matter:

Click for more...

Posted by: Greg Simons

June 01, 2011

Quiz results: Bautista bombs

Jose Bautista homered "only" once over Memorial Day weekend, but he still has 20 blasts in 55 team games through Tuesday, putting him on pace for 59 long balls on the year.

That puts his projection right on the edge of two of the categories we asked you to choose from when speculating how many home runs Bautista will hit this season. Here are the voting percentages you, our readers, provided:
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Posted by: Greg Simons

February 09, 2010

APBA manager wanted

The North East League, the world's first play-by-mail baseball simulation league, is pleased to invite experienced APBA managers to apply for an open franchise. We're also going to name an official alternate who will automatically get the next available franchise. This is the first manager search that we've run in 12 years, so if you're at all interested in joining the NEL, now's the time!

The NEL is a basic game APBA league that is just about to start its 50th season. We use the 1986 version of the boards (the white boards) with very few changes, but we do have a computerized version of the game that allows an 8-game series to be played, complete with stat compilation, in an hour or two. We hold an annual convention (this year in late March in New Jersey), and virtually every league member attends virtually every convention. The available franchise has one of the best rosters in the league, including such names as Johan Santana, Cliff Lee, Cole Hamels, Adam Wainwright, Ian Kinsler, Jose Reyes, Kevin Youkilis, Mariano Rivera, etc.

Famous former NEL managers include Bob Fraser, APBA's former general manager; Tom Heiderscheit, the former editor of the APBA Journal; and the late Bill Linn, the long-time author of "Linn on Leagues" in the Journal.

If you're interested in learning more about the NEL, please email Woody Studenmund at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address), and I'll send you a packet of information about the league.
Posted by: Dave Studeman


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