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Win Probability Added Articles


Following are the one hundred most recent articles for the category Win Probability Added .

05/25/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/25/2012: NL Waiver Wire: Week 7

by Nick Fleder

05/25/2012: AL Waiver Wire:  Week 7

by Josh Shepardson

05/25/2012: Roger and the Babe

by Frank Jackson

05/25/2012: 75th anniversary: Mickey Cochrane gets beaned

by Chris Jaffe

05/25/2012: Card Corner: 1972 Topps: Duke Sims

by Bruce Markusen

05/24/2012: Visualization: Vertical spray chart

by Dan Lependorf

05/24/2012: Trader’s corner: reader’s choice edition

by Mark Himmelstein

05/24/2012: Which starters have lost the most velocity since 2011?

by Jason Dunbar

05/24/2012: Don Drysdale’s two-for-one special

by Shane Tourtellotte

05/23/2012: The daily grind 5-23

by Brad Johnson

05/23/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/23/2012: The tragedy of expectations in baseball

by Chris Lund

05/23/2012: BOB:  Athletics stadium limbo

by Brian Borawski

05/23/2012: 10th anniversary: Shawn Green’s big day

by Chris Jaffe

05/23/2012: The real replacement level of starting pitching

by Derek Ambrosino

05/22/2012: The daily grind 5-21

by Brad Johnson

05/22/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/22/2012: Which lineups should be feared?

by Paul Singman

05/22/2012: 10th anniversary: Giambi-Mabry trade

by Chris Jaffe

05/22/2012: THT Awards

by John Barten

05/22/2012: The virtual 1969-76 Yankees, Red Sox, and Indians (Part 3:  1970-71)

by Steve Treder

05/22/2012: The Verdict: Collusion - if it quacks like a duck…

by Michael Stein

05/22/2012: Has Daniel Bard been squeezed?

by Troy Patterson

05/21/2012: The daily grind 5-21

by Brad Johnson

05/21/2012: AL West: Oh, the storylines

by David Wade

05/21/2012: The fall of Mickey Hatcher

by Steven Booth

05/21/2012: Default hero

by Chris Jaffe

05/21/2012: This week in (fantasy) baseball 5/14-5/20

by Karl de Vries

05/21/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/21/2012: 20th anniversary: Angels bus crash

by Chris Jaffe

05/21/2012: Closer watch

by Paul Singman

05/20/2012: The daily grind 5-20

by Brad Johnson

05/18/2012: Kerry Wood career highlights

by Chris Jaffe

05/18/2012: The daily grind 5-18

by Brad Johnson

05/18/2012: NL Waiver Wire: Week 6

by Nick Fleder

05/18/2012: AL Waiver Wire:  Week 6

by Josh Shepardson

05/18/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/18/2012: Lopsided batter/pitcher match-ups of the 1990s and 2000s

by Chad Evely

05/18/2012: Cooperstown Confidential: The tale of Charley Lau

by Bruce Markusen

05/17/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/17/2012: The daily grind 5-17

by Brad Johnson

05/17/2012: The Oklahoma territorial imperative

by Frank Jackson

05/17/2012: The (baseball) power of the Oval Office

by Richard Barbieri

05/17/2012: 10th anniversary: Giambi’s walk-off slam

by Chris Jaffe

05/16/2012: The daily grind 5-16

by Brad Johnson

05/16/2012: Brett Lawrie, the ump and the human element

by Chris Lund

05/16/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/16/2012: BOB: Braun arbitrator gets the sack

by Brian Borawski

05/15/2012: The daily grind 5-15

by Brad Johnson

05/15/2012: Save tonight

by Paul Singman

05/15/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/15/2012: The virtual 1969-76 Yankees, Red Sox, and Indians (Part 2:  1969-70)

by Steve Treder

05/15/2012: Mythbusting - closer edition

by Derek Ambrosino

05/15/2012: THT Awards

by John Barten

05/15/2012: Centennial anniversary: Ty Cobb beats up a cripple

by Chris Jaffe

05/15/2012: Bryan LaHair is Cubs’ silver lining so far

by Troy Patterson

05/15/2012: Battling through injuries

by Dave Shovein

05/14/2012: Chris Sale and his faulty elbow

by Kyle Boddy

05/14/2012: The daily grind 5-14

by Brad Johnson

05/14/2012: This week in (fantasy) baseball 5/7-5/13

by Karl de Vries

05/14/2012: The state of the NL Central

by Jason Linden

05/14/2012: 50 years from the Mets junk drawer

by Chris Jaffe

05/14/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/14/2012: 90th anniversary: Last time the Phillies franchise at sea level

by Chris Jaffe

05/11/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/11/2012: NL Waiver Wire: Week 5

by Nick Fleder

05/11/2012: AL Waiver Wire:  Week 5

by Josh Shepardson

05/11/2012: What is the best swing-and-miss pitch in baseball right now?

by Jason Dunbar

05/11/2012: 20,000 days since Dodgers announce their move to LA

by Chris Jaffe

05/11/2012: Lopsided batter/pitcher match-ups of the 1980s

by Chad Evely

05/11/2012: Picking up pitchers

by Paul Singman

05/11/2012: Card Corner: 1972 Topps: Jim “Mudcat” Grant

by Bruce Markusen

05/10/2012: Mo’s wins

by Dave Studeman

05/10/2012: No two games alike?  Sure, but these are the closest.

by Jonathan Falk

05/10/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/10/2012: The daily grind 5-10

by Brad Johnson

05/10/2012: THT review: Great Hitting Pitchers

by David Wade

05/10/2012: The pre-Angelic Autry

by Frank Jackson

05/10/2012: Did Matt Kemp just have one of the best Aprils ever?

by Dan Lependorf

05/10/2012: Ranking the new closers

by Mike Silver

05/09/2012: A job with your name on it

by Dave Studeman

05/09/2012: The daily grind 5-9

by Brad Johnson

05/09/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/09/2012: Trader’s corner: week six

by Mark Himmelstein

05/09/2012: Day for night

by Shane Tourtellotte

05/09/2012: Last week’s record

by Jonathan Falk

05/09/2012: BOB:  MLB looks at alliance with NCAA

by Brian Borawski

05/09/2012: Make them notice: Andy Dirks

by Paul Singman

05/08/2012: The daily grind 5-8

by Brad Johnson

05/08/2012: And That Happened

by Craig Calcaterra

05/08/2012: Long view

by Derek Ambrosino

05/08/2012: THT Awards

by John Barten

05/08/2012: The virtual 1969-76 Yankees, Red Sox, and Indians (Part 1: 1968-69)

by Steve Treder

05/08/2012: 10,000 days ago: Marge Schott becomes Reds owner

by Chris Jaffe

05/08/2012: How to be in first in Tout Wars

by Paul Singman

05/08/2012: The Verdict: the court rejects a disputed fantasy baseball trade

by Michael Stein

05/07/2012: Ubaldo Jimenez: A quick mechanics review

by Kyle Boddy

05/07/2012: The daily grind 5-7

by Brad Johnson

05/07/2012: This week in (fantasy) baseball 4/30-5/6

by Karl de Vries

<< Click here to return to the category list.



April 29, 2010

And that went up and down

Here is the Win Probability graphic of that Phillies/Giants game, courtesy of Fangraphs:

image

The Giants had a 4-1 lead with two out and a runner on first in the ninth and a 99% probability of winning. Then Brian Wilson (who led the majors in tough saves last year) loaded the bases on a grounder and a walk and Jason Werth hit a game-tying double to right.

The other crazy thing about this game was how tense the two extra innings were (check out the red leverage index bars). The Phils took the lead in the top of the tenth only to give it up in the bottom. Then they scored two in the top of the eleventh, just to be sure, and the Giants then came back and scored one run and had runners on second and third with only one out in the bottom of the eleventh (putting win probability slightly in their favor) before finally giving up on two grounders.
Posted by: Dave Studeman


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