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Tuesday, February 21, 2012

A.J.‘s curve: missing bats, missing the zone

Posted by Lucas Apostoleris
After much anticipation, the trade that sent A.J. Burnett from the Yankees to the Pirates was finally completed on Sunday. Burnett had a tumultuous three seasons in the Bronx, with a 4.79 ERA and 4.5 walks/hit batters per nine over 584 regular-season innings.

His signature pitch is an 83 mph spike-curveball with exceptional movement. (Harry Pavlidis mentioned it here a few weeks ago—it’s not quite as nasty as Craig Kimbrel’s). Because he does a consistent job of keeping it below the strike zone, hitters don’t make much contact with the pitch when they swing at it, but it’s taken for a ball if when they don’t. The two tables below are for whiffs per swing and balls per pitch, minimum 2,500 pitches thrown dating back to 2007.

Rank   Pitcher           Pitch     #      Whiff%
1      A.J. Burnett      Curveball 4575   43.9%
2      Cole Hamels       Changeup  4158   43.8%
3      Rich Harden       Changeup  3053   43.4%       
4      Francisco Liriano Slider    2632   43.4%      
5      Tim Lincecum      Changeup  2946   42.9% 


Rank   Pitcher           Pitch     #      Ball%
1      Randy Wolf        Curveball 2562   44.2%
2      Gio Gonazlez      Curveball 2663   43.2%
3      A.J. Burnett      Curveball 4575   43.1%
4      Justin Verlander  Curveball 3244   42.3%       
5      Kevin Millwood    Fastball  2718   41.2% 


Pitch labels are THT's.




You can read more of Lucas's work at Beyond the Boxscore and Don't Bring In The Lefty. Also, you can contact him at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) or on Twitter @DBITLefty.


Comments

bucdaddy said...

He’s going to be fun to watch.

Posted 02/22  at  01:58 AM
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