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Wednesday, May 27, 2009Roster doctorWelcome to THT Fantasy's Roster Doctor. If you'd like your team to be analyzed by one of our fantasy baseball experts, please send your full roster to this address. Also be sure to include your league's player pool (mixed, AL-only, NL-only), number of teams, scoring format (roto, head-to-head, points, etc.), categories, whether or not it's a keeper league, and any other pertinent information. If your roster is selected it will be analyzed in a future Roster Doctor column. League Rules: 12-team keeper league (5 keepers), rosters set weekly, head-to-head, 6x6 (HR, RBI, BA, OPS, SB, R and W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP, K/BB), mixed league Roster: C - Brian McCann 1B - Russell Branyan 2B - Brian Roberts 3B - Mark Reynolds SS - Elvis Andrus OF - Grady Sizemore OF - Josh Hamilton OF - Curtis Granderson UT - J.D. Drew UT - Adam Lind Bench - Andruw Jones Bench - Adam LaRoche Bench - Jordan Schafer Bench - Gordon Beckham DL - Edwin Encarnacion DL - Alex Gordon SP - Zack Greinke SP - Chad Billingsley RP - Scott Downs RP - C.J. Wilson P - Ryan Perry P - Yovani Gallardo P - Sean Marshall (for this week, two starts) Bench - Clayton Kershaw Bench - Ross Detwiler Bench - Tommy Hanson Bench - Ubaldo Jimenez DL - Scott Kazmir DL - Joakim Soria Notes: Right now, I'm using the best FA pitcher available with two starts for the week (hence Detweiler and then Marshall) or Kershaw. My biggest concern is whether I should try to trade Greinke for a SP and OF/CI upgrade. Andrew, you have a nice trio of starting pitchers in Greinke, Billingsley and Gallardo. Given that you have an extra rate stat as a scoring stat (K/BB), I would be judicious about playing the revolving two-starter strategy. Typically the tradeoff faced with the double starter strategy is extra shots at wins and strikeouts, but a higher ERA and WHIP. In this case, you'd also risk a higher K/BB ratio - though both Marshall and Detwiler have pretty good ratios. I'm glad you're preparing for a rainy day with respect to Branyan and Reynolds. Reynolds is having a good year but his home run to fly ball rate, at 26.7 percent, is going to drop. Branyan's numbers, particularly his batting average, are not going to last. Fortunately, you have a decent backup in LaRoche, whose skills are better than his current luck. Nevertheless, it is tough to be top of the league offensively when you have no likely first-rank players at your corner infield or utility spots. There's two places that potential upgrades could come from: your bench (through free agency) or a trade. I think you've used the bench spots that you've allocated to pitching well. I'm not sure that that's the case with your batting bench spots. Beckham may be interesting long-term but isn't likely to help you this year. Schafer and Jones are mirror opposites. The former's been getting lots of playing time with little to show for it, while the latter has done remarkably well with limited at-bats. Neither of these guys is going to help you at the corner infield spots. I would look for players with potential upside there instead: Mat Gamel, Gary Sheffield (depending on eligibility requirements) or Nick Johnson (if you're lucky) or Jake Fox and Chris Coghlan (if you're forced to go deeper). Lastly, I have no problem with you sending out feelers for a trade. I'm not going to take the easy route and tell you to "sell high" on Greinke, since I'm not going to insult your league mates by calling them fools. However, fair value for Greinke is still pretty darn high and you may get what you're looking for in a trade. However, with only seven active pitching spots, there may not be as much demand for starting pitching as you're expecting (i.e. the replacement level starting pitcher is probably pretty good in this league). So, don't force a trade if you don't get enough. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
