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THT's Fantasy Archives
Wednesday, September 26, 2012
The Daily Grind provides daily match-up advice based on my every-morning waiver wire search. I welcome advice to help make this column more effective. Ownership rates are from Yahoo!
The Fanduel picks are a mixture of Daily League specific advice and information for the more typical fantasy owner.
The Fanduel Daily League Players of the Day are:
Pitcher (to start): As a reader pointed out yesterday, if I'm going to take the time to mention that Jarrod Parker and Martin Perez have marginal match-ups, then I might as well point out that Clayton Richard is a nice option to accrue innings. He's a low-risk, low-reward option and he's category-neutral across the board.
Alex Cobb has been up and down all season. I like him as a mid-rotation pitcher and somebody you can outright own in a deep league. On a start-to-start basis there is a lot of noise. The match-up against the Red Sox is a good one.
Kyle Kendrick is the divisive player of the day. I sketched up a brief scouting report yesterday in the comments section, which I'll quote below. If you need to throw a Hail Mary, use him. If you need to conservatively defend your position, maybe try Richard.
Re: Kendrick. I’ve been in the Philly area for his last 10 starts, so I’ve seen them. I’ve also seen him pitch a LOT over the years. He’s a solid pitcher when he has command of his fastball. During that impressive stretch, he had that requirement down. During his last two outings, it has not been the same.
Pitcher (bum): I spilled some words about Bud Norris, Jeremy Hefner and Samuel Deduno yesterday. It suffices to say that these pitchers are prone to crooked numbers.
Hitter (power): Raul Ibanez has been popular around these parts since the Twins feature so many terrible right-handed pitchers.
Starling Marte against the aforementioned Hefner offers some five category potential.
Jonny Gomes will get a shot at Martin Perez.
Hitter (speed): Will Venable has a decent match-up and could swipe a bag.
Now that the Brewers are all but eliminated, Norichika Aoki might stop swiping bags. Then again, he's probably playing for a job next year so he might finish at full throttle.
Pitcher (to start): I picked up Roy Halladay, Chris Capuano and Tommy Hanson for tomorrow, but I assume they aren't available to you.
What is available is a whole mess of blah. Patrick Corbin should survive an outing against the Giants with little damage. I like Corbin as one of those mid-rotation pitchers who can help a fantasy roster.
Wily Peralta has a tougher match-up against the Reds, but at this point, they're trying to get guys rested for the postseason.
Pitcher (bum): I don't think Chris Volstad is going to like pitching in Coors.
I have a bad feeling about Tyler Cloyd tonight. The Nationals have quite a few potent lefties to call upon.
I foresee the Braves walloping Jacob Turner. It might be worth noting that five of his last six outings have been of the "not terrible" variety.
Hitter (power): Tyler Colvin is an ideal play against Volstad.
Hold the course with Gomes, although Matt Harrison is a tough opponent.
Hitter (speed): I suppose Rajai Davis against Ivan Nova is what you're looking for here. Nobody stands out as an A+ option today.
There are a number of bullpens in an utter shambles now, but it hardly matters for fantasy purposes at this point.
Posted by Brad Johnson at 5:39am
Those who have kept up with the position-by-position dynamics of fantasy baseball have noticed the emergence of pitching depth in the past few years. There are two predominant and opposing schools of thought regarding how to work with this dynamic from a team-building perspective. One view tells us that depth allows us to deprioritize pitching in your draft/auction because adequate quality players at that position can be found late and cheap. The alternative view preaches that because adequate quality players are so abundant, an extra premium should be placed on acquiring the elite pitchers, as that’s where the top teams will separate themselves from the pack.
In most situations I play out the first perspective when building my team. In one of my leagues this year, a co-owner and I were attempting to work this strategy again, but as the season began to play out we found our team somewhat accidentally employing a different strategy altogether. We’ve been doing okay with it, and are currently holding down second place in a very competitive 12-team mixed league.
I’ll spare you the details of how we got where we did, except to say that trading wasn’t really involved. Ostensibly, we wound up with a pitching staff that looked like it was built in reverse. Only one starter we drafted has remained on our team the entire season (others were lost to both injury and performance), but we hit several homers on our bullpen construction and have a really solid core anchored by Aroldis Chapman, Jim Johnson and Ernesto Freire. This core has been supplemented by a revolving door of elite non-closer relievers and a few part-time closers we managed to land.
We are holding our own with 38 pitching points as I’m writing this and have spent most of the season somewhere between the third and sixth best staff in terms of total points held. So, this got me to thinking: Is this strategy viable—meaning both doable and reasonably likely to yield success—if you tried to do execute it consciously?
I’m not sure there’s an objective way to analyze that question, so I’d rather pose it for discussion instead. To start off, I’m going to list some benefits, drawbacks, assumptions, and risks for this approach. I hope we can all discuss whether they translate into a hit, a dud, or something in between.
Posted by Derek Ambrosino at 3:51am
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