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THT's Fantasy Archives
Wednesday, April 03, 2013
The Daily Grind provides daily match-up advice for tinkerers and daily fantasy players. I welcome advice to help make this column more effective, including notice of impending weather events, new injuries, and changes to platoon situations. Ownership rates are from Yahoo!
The Fanduel picks are a mixture of Daily League specific advice and information for the more typical fantasy owner. Use the team-by-team TDG eligible players spreadsheet for more detailed information.
The Fanduel Daily League Players of the Day are:
Pitcher (to start): Alexi Ogando is a promising choice for today. If you're looking for someone less trendy, Clay Buchholz on a chilly New York evening should get the job done statistically.
Pitcher (bum): You have a list to work from today: Ervin Santana, Tim Lincecum, Philip Humber, Kevin Correia, Kevin Slowey, and Ubaldo Jimenez all have meltdown potential. It's going to be a tough day for Daily Fantasy as a result.
I mentioned Roy Halladay yesterday, but the possibility of rain makes him a poor choice today.
Hitter (power): Garrett Jones, Brandon Moss and Adam Lind are three that I'm targeting today.
Hitter (speed): Will Venable and Eduardo Nunez have multi-steal capabilities. They're both a little challenged with reaching base, so we'll see how that works out. It's probably too early to be playing steals-only options.
Pitcher (to start): Travis Wood is opposed by James McDonald. Both pitchers are generally available, facing mediocre lineups, and have a bit of upside.
I'm a bigger fan of Dillon Gee against the Padres. Gee was on the cusp of becoming a fantasy regular before his injury last season.
Pitcher (bum): It's another day with a deep list of exploitable pitchers.
The Angels have a pretty potent lineup and Bronson Arroyo is pretty mediocre. However, if you prefer a veteran who's more past his prime, try Brett Myers against the Blue Jays. His starts are always a gamble.
I also like the Nationals against Wade LeBlanc, the Orioles versus Roberto Hernandez (Fausto Carmona), the White Sox against Jeremy Guthrie, and the Tigers against Mike Pelfrey.
Hitter (power): There's no platoon to his advantage, but you should look into Nolan Reimold for tomorrow.
Chris Parmelee shouldn't be over-matched by Rick Porcello.
Vernon Wells against Ryan Dempster has the makings for a long ball and three pop outs.
Hitter (speed): Andy Dirks could mix in a home run or a steal against Guthrie. Collin Cowgill might be a little more likely for a steal given his proclivity for max effort.
The Cubs and Pirates have expected game temperatures in the 30s, while several teams will play outdoors in the 40s, including the Tigers, Twins, Red Sox, Yankees, Marlins, Nationals, Angels, Reds, Padres and Mets. There is a chance of rain for the Phillies vs. Braves game, although it will probably come later in the game. Tomorrow is expected to be a soaker in Atlanta.
Posted by Brad Johnson at 5:42am
Saves speculation is a critical part of winning most fantasy leagues, as inheriting a closer gig is the most immediate way for a player to gain a profound boost in value. So, periodically, I’m going to chime in here listing my five most desired non-closer relievers.
While many top-flight middle relievers can have value to a team, their skill sets and production levels are largely replaceable on the wire. It is the path to closing that most significantly differentiates similar options. Here are a few things I consider when evaluating this.
Ranking these players at any given time is not an exact science, so I look at these posts as an opportunity to promote discussion. Also as a disclaimer, I’m avoiding players on the disabled list (i.e., Ryan Madson). I will include a player currently involved in closer-by-committee situations only if I see his emergence as a singular owner of the job as likely. Remember, this column is about players most likely to see a drastic boost in value, not just options to vulture a handful of saves.
And, away we go.
1. Kyuji Fujikawa. Fujikawa averaged almost 12 K/9 in his career in Japan and hasn’t posted an ERA above 2.01 in the last eight seasons. Carlos Marmol is a disaster waiting to happen and failed to nail down the first save opportunity of the Chicago Cubs season. This is likely to be the first non-injury-related closing change this season.
2.Kenley Jansen. I know Brandon League has a big contract and Jansen has some heart issues, but my impression is that people are overthinking this one. The Dodgers are trying to win and they don’t care about money; talent will win out sooner than later. Additionally, Jansen’s ridiculous strikeout numbers make him among the most valuable non-closers.
3. Ryan Cook. I really like Ryan Cook. Grant Balfour is a quality pitcher, but at the age of 35, I don’t totally trust his health or performance. On the other hand, Cook is an emerging bullpen stud.
4. David Robertson The man with the high socks is stuck behind the greatest closer in the history of the game, but Mariano Rivera is 43 and coming off an injury. Rafael Soriano is in Washington, and Robertson is slated to be the man if Rivera goes down again. Robertson also has a multi-year record of production worthy of mixed-league ownership even without a closing gig.
5. David Hernandez. Here’s a relatively unknown K-monster with a smidge of closer experience situated behind a very good incumbent with an injury history. J.J. Putz has shed a bit of his injury-risk reputation over the past few seasons, so it’s possible that I am overestimating his risk, but Hernandez is a good bet for 85–100 punch-outs out of the bullpen regardless, so that’s a pretty solid base to fall back on.
Posted by Derek Ambrosino at 3:04am
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