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THT's Fantasy Archives
Wednesday, August 07, 2013
The Daily Grind provides daily match-up advice for tinkerers and daily fantasy players. I welcome advice to help make this column more effective, including notice of impending weather events, new injuries, and changes to platoon situations. Ownership rates are from Yahoo!
The daily picks are a mixture of Daily League specific advice and information for the more typical fantasy owner.
Today’s weather watch
It appears to be a stormy day, with games in Philadelphia, Washington D.C., Pittsburgh, Cleveland, New York (NL), St. Louis and Cincinnati potentially affected.
Today is a bit sparse for streaming, but there are options.
Wade Davis has been scratched in favor of Danny Duffy. We'll get a good look at just how far back from Tommy John surgery he's come. I'm holding off on any recommendations.
Pitcher (to start): Gerrit Cole is at 56 percent owned, so the window to acquire him may be closing. He's shown the strikeouts we've expected in his last two outings. If those remain, he'll become a true fantasy threat.
Dillon Gee is the veteran option in today's crowd, but I passed on him. The Rockies are a solid match-up, but not juicy enough for a pitcher of Gee's caliber.
If you're the kind that follows the hot hand, few have been hotter than Bruce Chen. That said, I strongly recommend against using him against the Red Sox. I only mention him because there are so few pitcher to comment on today.
Pitcher (bum): The Cubs have one of the least intimidating offenses in the league, but a match-up against wild Ethan Martin could yield crooked numbers. In his start against Atlanta, Martin's control reminded me of my own, which is hardly a compliment.
The Rockies still have TBA listed for tomorrow. It may be Tyler Chatwood or an emergency starter.
Hitter (power): The Red Sox and Royals throw a couple lefties today, which make Jonny Gomes and Justin Maxwell viable outfield bats.
Junior Lake is getting everyday work and showing solid numbers while striking out way too frequently and walking not at all. Still, against Martin he's viable. Nate Schierholtz may be a better choice.
Hitter (speed): Eric Young Jr. can swipe some bags, especially if Wilin Rosario starts.
Pitchers to come
Friday: I'll commit to Dan Haren as the top option over Brandon Beachy. Both are unreliable, high-upside choices.
Saturday: Alex Wood remains the top dog in a very deep field of good, available pitchers.
Sunday: Get your streams in on Saturday because Sunday's options are iffy. Martin Perez against the Astros is probably the best bet, though there are a few others who profile similarly.
Corey Kluber has hit the disabled list with a finger injury. Danny Salazar will likely fill his spot in the rotation.
Posted by Brad Johnson at 6:27am
Well, Biogenesis Day has arrived, and with it, the suspensions of more than a dozen major-leaguers. Although Alex Rodriguez is going to play on through the rest of the 2013 season—making him an interesting waiver wire addition, as Jack mentioned last week—three other all-stars—Nelson Cruz, Jhonny Peralta and Everth Cabrera—are now done for the season. That’s bad news for their teammates and fans, but for us scavengers, that opens up some interesting possibilities as we head toward the fantasy season’s finish.
I’ll skip past San Diego’s replacement for the moment—Logan Forsythe probably has the edge there, but Ronny Cedeno was just inked to a minor league deal ahead of MLB’s announcement—and focus on the two players who likely have a grip out of the gate on everyday roles.
Craig Gentry | Texas Rangers | OF | 1 percent Yahoo ownership; 0 percent ESPN; 2 percent CBS
YTD: 158 PA /.241 /.331 /.350 with 1 HR and 10 SB
ZiPS updated: 249 PA /.246 /.328 /.350 with 2 HR and 15 SB
Our first customer is Cruz’s immediate replacement in the outfield, as Gentry will take over center field duties while Leonys Martin moves to right field. Although he’s basically been a forgotten man in fantasy—thanks in no small part to a fractured hand suffered in June—Gentry certainly offers help in the speed department, evidenced by 42 stolen bases over his 278 career games. Even though the 29-year-old offers little in the way of pop (.084 lifetime ISO), his .331 OBP this season isn’t awful, and he’s managed to keep a .270 average in his career.
That makes him a pretty straightforward candidate in fantasy, a rotisserie speedster whose best-case scenario is perhaps along the lines of Eric Young Jr. But although the Rangers don’t have a plethora of attractive options standing by to replace him, Engel Beltre, 23, was just called up from Triple-A, where he was hitting .302/.360 /.405 with 14 steals in 74 games. Gentry will get first crack at a starting role, but don’t be surprised if Ron Washington slots in the rookie to keep the Rangers’ playoff hopes alive.
Recommendation: Gentry offers one-category value, but keep an eye on Beltre.
Jose Iglesias | Detroit Tigers | SS / 3B | 26 percent Yahoo ownership; 48 percent ESPN; 51 percent CBS
YTD: 249 PA /.322 /.365 /.409 with 2 HR and 3 SB
ZiPS updated: 396 PA /.300 /.344 /.374 with 3 HR and 6 SB
The Tigers didn’t waste any time wondering if Peralta would go down, as they acquired Iglesias as part of the three-team deal that sent Jake Peavy to the Red Sox. With both shortstop and third base eligibility, Iglesias certainly carries value, though he offers no help in the power or speed departments. A .300 batting average, of course, can find a place on most fantasy teams, though Iglesias’ value doesn’t change much now that he’s hitting at the bottom of Detroit’s lineup, since the Tigers’ offense is only marginally better than the Red Sox.
When I last wrote about Iglesias at the end of June, he was sporting a .419 average supported by an insane .475 BABIP. It was only a matter of time until the average came (sort of) back down to earth for a guy with a mediocre (.257 /.307 /.314) minor league line. But even the .300 average is too high for a guy who doesn’t hit enough line drives, and the putrid 4.4 percent walk rate spells doom for his current .365 OBP.
So the same reasons for owning (or not owning) Iglesias earlier in the year still exist, and he remains a deeper mixed league player whose versatility and decent average make him worth owning in plenty of leagues.
Recommendation: 14-team mixed leagues and beyond.
Posted by Karl de Vries at 3:02am
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