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Thursday, March 08, 2012

Dollar a day: Mike Aviles

Posted by Nick Fleder at 12:41am

Marco Scutaro and Jed Lowrie have been shipped outta town, leaving Mike Aviles as the primary shortstop for the first time in his career. Go ahead, let it out: Wahoo!

Aviles is a contact hitter with a diverse skill-set better utilized in fantasy than in real life. But we don’t care how the Red Sox make out from the Aviles signing—at least not in this sphere. The better riddle to dwell on is whether to spend a finite dollar on Mike Aviles in crunch time.

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Aviles has been good for 14 steals in each of the past two seasons, which were made up of 424 and 286 at-bats, respectively. Those numbers pro-rate to 20 in 2010 and 29 in 2011, and a middle ground would be a good estimate, in my humble opinion.

Aviles has the pop too. Haven’t you heard? For a 5-foot-10, 204-pound small fry (don’t forget our context here), Aviles can clear the fences adeptly. He hit eight dingers in his 2010 stint and seven last years. Oh, and he hit 10 in 2008.

Lastly, but not least, Aviles can hit for average. His .288/.318/.419 is somewhat unimpressive, especially when the last two numbers are considered, but luckily, many of you will need to consider only his batting average.

A 10-homer, 25-steal campaign supported by a .290 average is nothing to scoff at. Mike Aviles, ladies and gentlemen, is nothing to scoff at.


Nick can be reached for questions, comments, or concerns via email: nick.fleder AT gmail DOT com.


Fenderbelly said...

Just checked him out in Yahoo… eligibility at 2B, SS and 3B with an ADP of approx 320 - maybe the perfect backup infielder.

Posted 03/08  at  03:36 PM
Dale said...

Except they keep saying he’s on the wrong side of a platoon.

Posted 03/09  at  12:06 AM
Nick Fleder said...

Dale, while he is better against lefties, he’s not as adept against righties as he was last year. Three year splits:

          AB   R   H   HR   RBI   BB   SO   AVG   OBP   SLG   OPS
vs. Left   240   27   65   15   29   16   29   .271   .315   .408   .723
vs. Right   590   77   159   21   50   21   90   .269   .294   .380   .674


His competition for playing time is Nick Punto, who is not much, you may know. Punto, fwiw, is worse against righties (much by nature of being worse overall)... .237/.339/.311 in the last three years. Pathetic.


So I think he’ll get his fair share of at-bats and that his righty splits last year were an aberration.

Posted 03/09  at  12:18 AM
wily mo said...

all that platoon talk is media garbage.  nick punto?  come on.  aviles is gonna be the starter unless something pretty strange happens like iglesias suddenly learning to hit. 

the quotes from valentine have all been hinting pretty strongly that it’s aviles unless he completely blows it, which i don’t think he will.

Posted 03/10  at  02:12 PM
Nick Fleder said...

Agreed, though Punto will probably command some 150 at bats or so because of his defensive prowess.

Posted 03/10  at  02:37 PM
ed said...

“Except they keep saying he’s on the wrong side of a platoon.”

No one says this.

Punto will eat into Aviles’ playing time, but Aviles will be the starter.

Posted 03/12  at  08:03 PM
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