Tuesday, July 17, 2007
Sheets out, Gallardo in
Posted by Derek Carty at 8:25pmBen Sheets is now expected to miss four to six weeks after partially tearing the tissue around the tendon in his right middle finger. While this will hurt a lot of fantasy staffs, it presents an opportunity for many.
Yovani Gallardo will now have a full-time rotation spot and should keep it the rest of the year. Assuming he pitches pretty well, he should keep the spot even if Sheets were to come back in the middle of August. Claudio Vargas (or possibly Dave Bush) would then likely move to the bullpen. It should probably be Jeff Suppan, but after the contract they gave him last winter, I don't see it happening.
We've talked about Gallardo a lot in the past, so I won't go over too much about him. I will post his line so far in the majors, though.
| LAST | FIRST | G | GS | IP | ERA | LIPS ERA | WHIP | DIPS WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | xGB% | LOB% | BABIP | HR/FB | LD% | LIPS ERA - ERA | DIPS WHIP - WHIP |
| Gallardo | Yovani | 6 | 3 | 28.7 | 2.83 | 3.63 | 1.05 | 1.15 | 8.48 | 2.83 | 3.00 | 40.79 | 73.43 | 0.263 | 3.57 | 24.36 | 0.80 | 0.10 |
Not a large sample size, and three of the games came in relief, but Gallardo's numbers look pretty good. As I'm sure you know, he was a great pitcher in the minors, too. Expect continued success, although not to the extent he's enjoyed so far. It will be interesting to see his next few starts. He should be owned in all but the shallowest leagues, for now.
For fun, I'll finish off with the numbers for the rest of Milwaukee's starting rotation.
| LAST | FIRST | G | GS | IP | ERA | LIPS ERA | WHIP | DIPS WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | xGB% | LOB% | BABIP | HR/FB | LD% | LIPS ERA - ERA | DIPS WHIP - WHIP |
| Sheets | Ben | 19 | 19 | 119.3 | 3.39 | 3.74 | 1.16 | 1.21 | 6.79 | 1.89 | 3.60 | 36.76 | 79.66 | 0.274 | 9.15 | 18.04 | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| Capuano | Chris | 16 | 16 | 82.0 | 5.16 | 3.84 | 1.54 | 1.44 | 7.68 | 3.95 | 1.94 | 44.84 | 70.70 | 0.332 | 10.00 | 18.08 | -1.32 | -0.10 |
| Bush | Dave | 18 | 17 | 107.3 | 4.86 | 4.11 | 1.33 | 1.24 | 6.71 | 2.01 | 3.33 | 45.05 | 67.41 | 0.331 | 8.70 | 20.52 | -0.75 | -0.09 |
| Vargas | Claudio | 17 | 15 | 83.7 | 4.52 | 4.46 | 1.49 | 1.42 | 7.85 | 3.76 | 2.09 | 32.31 | 82.02 | 0.307 | 13.93 | 21.29 | -0.06 | -0.07 |
| Suppan | Jeff | 19 | 19 | 117.0 | 5.00 | 5.14 | 1.50 | 1.48 | 4.69 | 3.15 | 1.49 | 45.98 | 71.00 | 0.319 | 8.89 | 19.90 | 0.14 | -0.02 |
Without even looking at their numbers, if you own Vargas or Bush, it might be a good idea to trade them now if you can get good value. You could wait for Bush's ERA to drop closer to his LIPS ERA level, but don't wait too long. Once your league-mates realize that one of these guys probably will be out of a startingh job for the final month of the season, their market value will drop.
Derek Carty, 23, has also been published by NBC's Rotoworld, Sports Illustrated, FOX Sports, and USA Today. This season, he'll be contributing to FanDuel and will be linking to all of his work at DerekCarty.com. In his three years competing in expert leagues, he has won 2 titles with 4 top three finishes, including a LABR NL title in 2009, making him the youngest person to ever win a major expert league title. Derek is a proud graduate of the MLB Scouting Bureau's Scout Development Program and is a firm believer in the importance of combining stats and scouting. He welcomes questions via e-mail, Facebook, or Twitter.