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September 6, 2008
![]() Plus our Statistical Definitions Who's Hot, via First InningThe Player Development SiteCarlos Beltran (NY Mets) 10 RBI in last 21 AB Billy Butler (Kansas City) 3 HR and 4 2B in last 25 AB Miguel Cabrera (Detroit) 3 HR and 3 2B in last 24 AB Edwin Encarnacion (Cincinnati) 10 RBI in last 17 AB Matt Harrison (Texas) 2 BB in last 20 IP Recent Comments at Ballhype
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Wednesday, February 20, 2008Stats referencePosted by Derek Carty at 12:20amStarting this week, many of my posts will begin running on FOX Sports. With this happening, I thought it might be a good idea to write a little about some of the statistics I use for some of the FOX readers who might not be familiar with them yet. This list will be updated each time I begin using a new stat to talk about players. HittersContact rate - The percentage of at-bats in which the hitter puts the ball in play, or how often he doesn't strike out. Importance: The more balls you can put in play, the more have a chance of falling for a hit. Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) - The percentage of balls in play that fall for hits. Importance: Hitters have some control over it, but BABIP is prone to random fluctuations, meaning a player can get either lucky or unlucky, potentially having a significant impact on batting average. Flyball rate (FB%) - The percentage of balls in play that are outfield fly balls. Importance: You can't hit a home run if the ball isn't hit into the outfield, in the air. Home run per fly ball (HR/FB) - The percentage of fly balls that are home runs, which hitters have a good amount of control over. Importance: Combined with FB%, a pretty good measure of a hitter's power independent of the number of at-bats accumulated. Stolen base opportunity percentage (SBO%) - How often the hitter reaches first base. Importance: The majority of steals occur when hitters steal second, but you can't steal second unless you reach first safely. Stolen base attempt percentage (SBA%) - How often the hitter attempts to steal given his number of times reaching first safely. Importance: You can't steal a base unless you leave first, can you? The more often you try, the more often you're likely to succeed. PitchersBatting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) - The percentage of balls in play that fall for hits. Importance: Pitchers have very little control over BABIP, making them prone to even more random fluctuations than hitters. These fluctuations can have a significant affect on the number of hits the pitcher gives up, impacting WHIP and ERA. Strikeout rate (K/9) - The percentage of strikeouts a pitcher accumulates per nine innings pitched. Importance: When a strikeout occurs, the ball is not put in play, which eliminates the possibility of a pitcher getting unlucky (see: BABIP). A strikeout is a guaranteed out that a pitcher has ultimate control over. Walk rate (BB/9) - The percentage of walks a pitcher accumulates per nine innings pitched. Importance: Like strikeouts, a pitcher has ultimate control over walks. Unlike strikeouts, walks are bad. The more batters walked, the easier it becomes for the other team to score. Run Impact from strikeouts and walks (K-BB RI) - The relative number of runs a pitcher's strikeouts and walks either save or cause. Importance: Serves the same purpose of strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/BB), to measure the impact of two most important isolated pitching statistics on the number of runs a pitcher allows, but this stat more accurately measures the that impact. Groundball percentage (GB%) - The percentage of ground balls a pitcher induces per ball in play, which a pitcher has a lot of control over. Importance: If the ball is hit on the ground, it can't become a home run. Not as good as a strikeout, but far preferable to a fly ball that could quickly put runs on the board. Line drive percentage (LD%) - The percentage of line drives a pitcher induces per ball in play, which a pitcher doesn't have much control over. Importance: Line drives become hits at the highest rate of any type of ball in play. Because pitchers can't really control how many they give up, those who give up too many or too few are prone to either getting lucky or unlucky with their hits allowed (and BABIP). Home runs per fly ball (HR/FB) - The percentage of fly balls that are home runs, which pitchers don't have much control over. Importance: Home runs are automatic earned runs, so pitchers who get lucky or unlucky in this category can have drastically higher or lower ERAs. Left on base percentage (LOB%) - The percentage of batters who reach base that the pitcher allows to ultimately score, a stat that pitchers have limited control over. Importance: Pitchers have more control over this stat than BABIP or HR/FB, but those who have extreme rates will either have lower or higher ERAs than they deserve. Luck Independent ERA (LIPS ERA) - The ERA we should expect a pitcher to have based on his peripheral stats (strikeouts, walks, ground balls, etc.) and a normal distribution of luck. Importance: Mirrors ERA and gives a much more accurate depiction of the pitcher's true skill level. Defense Independent WHIP (DIPS WHIP) - The WHIP we should expect a pitcher to have based on his walk rate, a normalized line drive rate, and a normal distribution of hits for each batted ball type. Importance: Mirrors WHIP and gives a much more accurate depiction of the pitcher's true skill level in preventing base runners. Derek Carty is a student in New Jersey who loves Fantasy Baseball. His articles can also be found at FOX Sports, and he'll be contributing content to Rotoworld in the coming season. He welcomes questions via e-mail. Next Post: Fantasy Mailbag: Bay, Myers and the Nats outfield>> <<Previous Post: The THT Season Preview 2008 is shipping For more cutting-edge fantasy baseball coverage, sign up for Rotoworld's premium service | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||