Thursday, September 16, 2010
Average and prime year projections part 4
Posted by Matt Hagen at 1:03amAt the most basic level, what is the most important aspect of any prospect? His ability to eventually be a full-time big leaguer, whether it's a an everyday position player, member of the pitching rotation, or, to a lesser extent, a prominent fixture in the bullpen.
The following group of players are from the bottom of my current Top-100 list, but they all project to be full-time players. I feel that these statistical projections form a nice, neutral viewpoint on which we can all base our expectations. Some of these players will outproduce their projection, and some will under produce or even flat-out bust.
Check out my Top-100 list to see how these guys stack up against the rest of the Top 100. You can also view Part 1, Part 2 or Part 3 of these installments.
Danny Espinosa / SS / Washington
Average Year Projection:
.263 / .315 / 12 HR / 26 2B / 3 3B / 69 RBI / 76 R / 42 BB / 122 SO / 14 SB / 4 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.276 / .335 / 17 HR / 28 2B / 4 3B / 78 RBI / 86 R / 49 BB / 114 SO / 18 SB / 5 CS
Chris Carter / 1B/OF / Oakland
Average Year Projection:
.249 / .336 / 24 HR / 32 2B / 2 3B / 85 RBI / 70 R / 74 BB / 149 SO / 3 SB / 2 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.259 / .351 / 28 HR / 32 2B / 2 3B / 94 RBI / 77 R / 80 BB / 142 SO / 4 SB / 2 CS
Dee Gordon / SS / LA Dodgers
Average Year Projection:
.261 / .315 / 7 HR / 24 2B / 7 3B / 52 RBI / 79 R / 42 BB / 104 SO / 28 SB / 8 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.273 / .335 / 9 HR / 25 2B / 8 3B / 59 RBI / 88 R / 48 BB / 96 SO / 33 SB / 9 CS
Tanner Scheppers / SP/RP / Texas
Average Year Projection:
152 IP / 4.74 ERA / 1.40 WHIP / 11 W / 11 L / 147 SO / 154 H / 59 BB
Prime Year Projection:
169 IP / 4.22 ERA / 1.30 WHIP / 12 W / 11 L / 170 SO / 161 H / 58 BB
Ian Desmond / SS/2B / Washington
Average Year Projection:
.264 / .308 / 10 HR / 32 2B / 4 3B / 66 RBI / 73 R / 35 BB / 104 SO / 17 SB / 5 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.275 / .325 / 12 HR / 33 2B / 4 3B / 73 RBI / 83 R / 41 BB / 97 SO / 20 SB / 5 CS
Jason Castro / C / Houston
Average Year Projection:
.266 / .339 / 10 HR / 22 2B / 1 3B / 53 RBI / 61 R / 56 BB / 100 SO / 1 SB / 1 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.277 / .355 / 13 HR / 23 2B / 1 3B / 61 RBI / 69 R / 61 BB / 92 SO / 2 SB / 1 CS
Carlos Triunfel / 3B/2B/SS / Seattle
Average Year Projection:
.258 / .296 / 12 HR / 24 2B / 2 3B / 68 RBI / 69 R / 30 BB / 81 SO / 10 SB / 4 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.269 / .315 / 15 HR / 26 2B / 2 3B / 75 RBI / 77 R / 37 BB / 74 SO / 13 SB / 4 CS
Austin Jackson / OF / Detroit
Average Year Projection:
.276 / .332 / 6 HR / 33 2B / 8 3B / 49 RBI / 84 R / 47 BB / 140 SO / 25 SB / 6 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.286 / .347 / 8 HR / 34 2B / 9 3B / 55 RBI / 92 R / 52 BB / 133 SO / 30 SB / 7 CS
Lars Anderson / 1B / Boston
Average Year Projection:
.264 / .339 / 18 HR / 38 2B / 2 3B / 78 RBI / 70 R / 63 BB / 138 SO / 2 SB / 2 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.275 / .355 / 22 HR / 40 2B / 2 3B / 87 RBI / 78 R / 69 BB / 130 SO / 3 SB / 2 CS
Reid Brignac / SS/2B / Tampa Bay
Average Year Projection:
.268 / .329 / 12 HR / 26 2B / 3 3B / 68 RBI / 72 R / 38 BB / 118 SO / 8 SB / 3 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.278 / .345 / 15 HR / 27 2B / 3 3B / 74 RBI / 79 R / 44 BB / 111 SO / 11 SB / 4 CS
Jemile Weeks / 2B / Oakland
Average Year Projection:
.260 / .328 / 9 HR / 30 2B / 5 3B / 65 RBI / 69 R / 56 BB / 114 SO / 13 SB / 5 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.272 / .344 / 12 HR / 32 2B / 6 3B / 74 RBI / 78 R / 61 BB / 107 SO / 16 SB / 5 CS
Jose Iglesias / SS / Boston
Average Year Projection:
.271 / .311 / 3 HR / 27 2B / 5 3B / 55 RBI / 70 R / 32 BB / 106 SO / 8 SB / 3 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.281 / .327 / 4 HR / 28 2B / 6 3B / 62 RBI / 79 R / 38 BB / 99 SO / 10 SB / 4 CS
Hank Conger / C / LA Angels
Average Year Projection:
.274 / .348 / 13 HR / 29 2B / 2 3B / 68 RBI / 62 R / 57 BB / 83 SO / 1 SB / 1 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.284 / .362 / 17 HR / 30 2B / 2 3B / 77 RBI / 69 R / 62 BB / 77 SO / 2 SB / 1 CS
Fernando Martinez / OF / NY Mets
Average Year Projection:
.255 / .307 / 16 HR / 35 2B / 3 3B / 73 RBI / 76 R / 42 BB / 128 SO / 5 SB / 2 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.266 / .326 / 23 HR / 37 2B / 3 3B / 83 RBI / 85 R / 49 BB / 120 SO / 8 SB / 3 CS
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Thanks, Matt. This is great. Chris Carter and Lars Anderson seem exciting!