Order Now The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 is now in development and will ship in mid November! This year's book will feature articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Rob Neyer, Tom Tango and Craig Wright. If you use this link to purchase the Annual, you will be in the first group to receive it and you'll be supporting THT.  Derek Ambrosino
John Burnson Derek Carty Marco Fujimoto Eriq Gardner Matt Hagen Jonathan Halket Rob McQuown Troy Patterson Mike Silver Paul Singman Michael Street And here's the full roster. Got a question for our fantasy baseball experts? Email us:
Heater MagazineAdd 10 MPH to your fantasy team — see for yourself
HEATER MAGAZINE Winner, 2008 CBS Sportsline Fantasy League of Experts  Plus our Statistical Definitions Most Recent Comments
Top 10 prospects for 2010: Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals (8)
Top 10 prospects for 2010: Chicago White Sox and Detroit Tigers (4) Waiver Wire Offseason: NL (2) Acey-deucey (1) Waiver Wire Offseason: NL (12) Monthly Archives
November, 2009
October, 2009 September, 2009 August, 2009 July, 2009 June, 2009 May, 2009 April, 2009 March, 2009 February, 2009 January, 2009 December, 2008 November, 2008 October, 2008 September, 2008 August, 2008 July, 2008 June, 2008 May, 2008 April, 2008 March, 2008 February, 2008 January, 2008 December, 2007 November, 2007 October, 2007 September, 2007 August, 2007 July, 2007 June, 2007 May, 2007 Gear up for baseball season with Chicago White Sox tickets and New York Yankees tickets. LA Angels tickets, Houston Astros tickets, and Atlanta Braves tickets are hot sellers! You can get Boston Red Sox tickets, San Diego Padres tickets or Chicago Cubs tickets for your favorite baseball fan. Coast to Coast Tickets has the best MLB tickets like Minnesota Twins tickets, LA Dodgers tickets, Milwaukee Brewers tickets, New York Met tickets and St. Louis Cardinals tickets. Find premium Chicago Cubs tickets and other Chicago tickets at JustGreatTickets.com. Chicago Cubs Tickets Chicago Tickets  All content on this site (including text, graphs, and any other original works), unless otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons License. |
Most Recent Posts
Friday, May 01, 2009Waiver WirePosted by THT Staff at 1:01amAmerican League by Rob McQuown Josh Anderson | Detroit | OF YTD: .341/.386/.463 True Talent: .283/.332/.380 Next Week Forecast: 0.2 HR, 2 R, 2 RBI, .288 BA, 1.0 SB Anderson's True Talent isn't so much different from Jacoby Ellsbury's, and Anderson has a ton of speed. Leyland wants Anderson’s glove in the lineup, so he should keep getting substantial playing time even when Thames returns, which could be two more months. Being unestablished, Anderson could play his way back to the bench, but it seems unlikely. He's no .350 hitter, but he could keep stealing 2 bases per week. Russ Branyan | Seattle | 1B/3B YTD: .333/.415/.614 True Talent: .243/.339/.485 Next Week Forecast: 1.0 HR, 2 R, 3 RBI, .252 BA, 0.2 SB Seattle used to have “Big Richie” Sexson, now they have Russell “Paul Bunyan” Branyan. There has never been much difference (other than batting side) between the two. Branyan’s five-hit game against Danks should maintain him in the lineup against LHP, so it's safe to count on more than the projected stats. Just don’t panic when Branyan goes into an 0-for-25-with-12-strikeouts slump. Because he will. Asdrubal Cabrera | Cleveland | 2B/SS YTD: .329/.434/.443 True Talent: .268/.343/.388 Next Week Forecast: 0.4 HR, 4 R, 3 RBI, .265 BA, 0.5 SB A personal fave, Cabrera is no longer a secret, but be careful about assuming that he'll steal bases! Of his 4 SB thus far, one was the back of a double-steal, another was against ailing Mike Redmond, and one was a sneaky steal of third base. Cabrera now has a total of 8 SB in 688 PA. His rate stats should end up somewhat better than his projection, and he has “filler” value as a tolerable middle infielder. Scott Downs | Toronto | RP YTD: 11.8 K/9, 14:0 K/BB, 0.84 ERA True Talent: 8.3 K/9, 2.7 K/BB, 3.03 ERA Next Week Forecast: 1.4 Saves, 3.01 ERA Since 2007, Scott Downs has been an outstanding reliever, and one of the scarce “2-way lefties” (.243/.321/.364 vs. RHB). His True Talent suggests not only that he can handle the closer job but also that he should be very good. Expect Downs to push Frasor out of the picture if he continues handling the pressure of closing well. And Downs is better than even odds to keep the role after Ryan returns. Jose Morales | Minnesota | C YTD: .349/.391/.419 True Talent: .253/.302/.353 Next Week Forecast: 0.1 HR, 1 R, 1 RBI, .252 BA, 0.0 SB Although he’s worth considering only in AL-only leagues, Morales has hit every year in the minors in which he was healthy, and he batted over .310 the past two years in Triple-A. Between Redmond's shoulder and Mauer's back, expect Morales to keep his spot and keep getting AB. He won't homer or steal, but his very low K rate (5 K in 49 career PA, with a similar rate in the minors) augurs a decent BA. Scott Richmond | Toronto | SP YTD: 7.7 K/9, 2.0 K/BB, 2.70 ERA True Talent: 6.7 K/9, 2.2 K/BB, 4.56 ERA Next Week Forecast: 6.0 IP, 0.4 wins, 4 K, 4.51 ERA Although the Jays seem to have found a Magic Pitching Formula, don't follow the lemmings who are chasing Scott Richmond! Okay, it's not quite that bad. The big Canadian is a great story, escaping the Indy leagues and striking out more than 7 batters per 9 IP. His fly-ball tendencies (39%+) will be okay in some parks, especially with Wells and Rios tracking balls. Unfortunately, the big offenses in the East are going to treat him rudely. Kurt Suzuki | Oakland | C YTD: .328/.377/.438 True Talent: .267/.335/.377 Next Week Forecast: 0.5 HR, 3 R, 3 RBI, .270 BA, 0.1 SB Kurt Suzuki is the mad rage in fantasy leagues lately, though it's hard to see why. For AL-only leagues, he is already long gone, and will probably maintain about the same value. The A's offense will heat up some, and he'll add more R/RBI, but his AVG will drop from .328. For mixed leagues, he's just “filler”—nice to have for a weekend in Texas or the like. He does earn props for being durable. Joel Zumaya | Detroit | RP YTD: 3.0 K/9, 1:0 K/BB, 0.00 ERA True Talent: 8.3 K/9, 1.7 K/BB, 3.94 ERA Next Week Forecast: 0.0 Saves, 3.91 ERA When healthy, Zumaya is an exceptional pitcher. He is throwing 100 MPH still (again), and there's no doubt in anyone's mind that he's the best closer candidate on the Tigers. Current closer Fernando Rodney's True Talent (8.6 K/9, 2.0 K/BB) is good, but an ERA over 5.00 may point to a lack of focus. Especially if you own Rodney—but even if not—now is the time to pick up Zumaya. National League by Michael Street Joe Beimel | Washington | RP YTD: 3.7 K/9, 3.0 K/BB, 1.23 ERA True Talent: 5.3 K/9, 1.6 K/BB, 3.66 ERA Next Week Forecast: n/a When Beimel returns from the DL, he’ll be the Nats’ closer, but the stuff’s just not there. He doesn’t strike out guys (career 5.0 K/9) or display great control (3.8 BB/9), and on top of that, he’s a lefty. In Beimel’s favor, he tends not to give up home runs (career 0.7 HR/9, only 1 HR since 2007), and he’s in a scrambled bullpen situation. For those, he’s worth a gamble, but don’t be surprised if you get burned. Jesus Flores | Washington | C YTD: .267/.348/.400 True Talent: .248/.306/.397 Next Week Forecast: 0.7 HR, 2 R, 3 RBI, .249 BA, 0.1 SB The ceiling for Flores is high, but it’s not stratospheric, and for good reason: He has some pop, but he struggles against RHP (.639 OPS) and strikes out a ton (career 4.0 PA/K). Even with a .267 BA, his BABIP is an unsustainable .359. So either sell him high or ride his hot start, but don’t be fooled. Flores will be pretty good someday, but not just yet. Dexter Fowler | Colorado | OF YTD: .290/.366/.452 True Talent: .275/.350/.419 Next Week Forecast: 0.3 HR, 2 R, 2 RBI, .275 BA, 0.5 SB Fowler’s numbers look strong, but his OPS away from Coors (.682) is 250 points lower than at home (.936), and he’s splitting time with Ryan Spilborghs. Eventually, Fowler will be the guy to own, but expect streaky part-time performance for now, providing steals, BA, and decent power. A clear must-own in keeper leagues or for those with roster room; everyone else can wait until he’s a full-timer. Braden Looper | Milwaukee | SP YTD: 6.5 K/9, 1.5 K/BB, 2.45 ERA True Talent: 4.8 K/9, 1.8 K/BB, 4.32 ERA Next Week Forecast: 6.1 IP, 0.4 Wins, 3 K, 4.19 ERA The Brewers score runs behind Looper—he’s averaging 7 runs of support. But a sharp correction in ERA is in order, particularly with a 4.5 BB/9. Looper has benefited from pitching at the back end of the rotation, but he’ll eventually return to the #3 spot. He would benefit only the back end of a fantasy rotation, too, giving slightly above-average innings with few K and some extra Wins from MIL’s bats. Joel Piniero | St. Louis | SP YTD: 2.1 K/9, 1.0 K/BB, 3.76 ERA True Talent: 4.9 K/9, 1.8 K/BB, 4.78 ERA Next Week Forecast: 6.0 IP, 0.4 Wins, 3 K, 4.44 ERA 4-0 Piniero demonstrates the arbitrariness of Wins. His expected ERA exceeds his real ERA by almost a full run, and those peripherals are awful. He’s a moderate ground-ball pitcher (1.65 GB/FB in 2008), so he’ll succeed if he keeps the ball down and the Cards play 'D' and hit behind him. Just don’t expect much more than a few extra luck-inspired wins, very few K, and a sub-par ERA. Edgar Renteria | San Francisco | SS YTD: .275/.351/.435 True Talent: .277/.335/.395 Next Week Forecast: 0.4 HR, 3 R, 2 RBI, .277 BA, 0.4 SB With the way Renteria started this year (.138/.194/.172 through his first seven games), he had nowhere to go but up. Since then, he has hit .375/.457/.625. True Talent says the reality is in between. At age 33, Renteria will still show a bit of power, but he’s not going to steal bases, and if he exceeds his True Talent, it won’t be by much. Not a bad SS option, particularly in NL-only leagues, but not a great option, either. David Ross | Atlanta | C YTD: .321/.457/.643 True Talent: .240/.334/.427 Next Week Forecast: 1.1 HR, 3 R, 4 RBI, .238 BA, 0.1 SB Brian McCann goes down, and opportunity knocks—will Ross answer? Ross has always flashed power, but he just recently started taking walks (5.7 PA/BB in 2008, vs. 10.9 PA/BB in the prior five years). That trend has continued in the small sample of 2009, making him a decent bet to beat his True Talent. However, when McCann returns from the DL, Ross returns to backup duties, so he's suitable only as a short-term pickup. Rafael Soriano | Atlanta | RP YTD: 12.6 K/9, 2.8 K/BB, 0.90 ERA True Talent: 9.2 K/9, 2.7 K/BB, 3.22 ERA Next Week Forecast: 0.5 Saves, 3.37 ERA Either Soriano or Mike Gonzalez could close for Atlanta, if either could stay healthy and consistent. If both could do it at the same time, Atlanta would have an awesome end game. Until then, Soriano will pick up the pieces for Gonzalez, as he has done twice already this season. With his strong peripherals, Soriano will be offered—and will earn—the occasional Save, but keep a DL spot free if you grab him. True Talent and Next Week Forecast are taken from Heater Magazine. CommentsNext Post: Top 100 Fantasy Baseball Prospects - 5/1/09>> <<Previous Post: Roster Doctor - 5/1/09 |
