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Wednesday, June 17, 2009
As suggested earlier today, Jays closer Scott Downs will indeed be placed on the DL (h/t Rotoworld). Jason Frasor remains waiver wire target number one.
Posted by Derek Carty at 5:25pm
Blue Jays closer Scott Downs limped off the field last night, and while x-rays were negative, MLB.com's Jordan Bastian says that "there is a realistic chance Downs will wind up on the disabled list." You know what that means, fantasy nation. Go chase down Jason Frasor on your league's waiver wire!
There's a chance former closer B.J. Ryan would be the choice if Downs were to miss time, but I'd put my money on Frasor. Better skills, better surface numbers, used in much higher leverage situations (1.42 gmLI compared to 0.85 for Ryan). In the interest of full disclosure, I snatched him up in the KFFL Expert League I'm playing in with fellow THT writer Eriq Gardner.
Posted by Derek Carty at 3:17pm
The Giants demoted 2B Emmanuel Burriss yesterday and recalled IF Matt Downs from Triple-A. Downs batted eighth in last night's game, but he seems to have decent power, pretty good speed, and could post a solid enough batting average. You could do a lot worse in an NL-only league.
Posted by Derek Carty at 3:15pm
Yesterday, Detroit 2B Placido Polanco went 1-for-5, lowering his average on the season to .260.
From 2006-08, Polanco batted .316. Not unexpectedly given the drop in BA, Polanco's LD% this year is down, to 17.6%, from an aggregate rate over 21% over the last three seasons. His HR/FB is also down, to 1.3%, from a three-year rate of 4.5%. These are discouraging signs for the 33-year-old, especially since they could be construed as the continuation of a downward trend from 2007; on the other hand, Polanco did bat .309 in the second half last year.
The key number is 7%; that's Polanco's rate of K/AB. A low K% doesn't ensure a high BA, but it's certainly a favorable tailwind.
In light of three successive months of sub-.280 BA, you'd be hard-pressed to find anyone who expects Polanco to rebound; however, he has brighter prospects than many $1 2B's who are currently rostered.
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