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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
It appears as though Pirates IF Freddy Sanchez has finally been dealt to the San Francisco Giants for SP prospect Tim Alderson. This is a terrific haul for the Pirates. I may have said this before, but I've really grown to love GM Neil Huntington. If only my Mets could find a guy with a good head on his shoulders. At least we don't have Brian Sabean running our team, though.
Alderson isn't major league ready yet, but he's a great prospect and someone to keep an eye on, especially if he can begin to strike more batters out. In keeper leagues, he's probably owned, but depending on the depth of the league, maybe not.
Sanchez should play everyday for the Giants, and Juan Uribe looks like the biggest loser here. He'll play 20% of the time at SS, at most, and spell Sanchez and 3B Pablo Sandoval occasionally. It's tough to say what the Giants will do, but we'll probably see Sanchez hitting in the top half of the order. They sure seem to like him enough. His other stats shouldn't be affected very much.
It is important to note, however, that Sanchez's 2009 batting average is being propped up by a too-high .343 BABIP. His K% has risen to 17% after being around 11-12% the past two season and around 8-9% the two before that. Now makes for a good time to trade Sanchez yourself since he is likely due for a regression here, and without much power or speed, his value will be extremely limited.
In Pittsburgh, the new double-play tandem could be Ramon Vazquez and Delwyn Young. Neither are mixed league worthy but each receives a big boost in NL-only value. This seems to clear an OF spot for a Lastings Milledge call-up, which will finally reduce Brandon Moss to fourth outfielder status. It's a shame because he was finally showing signs of life this month. Andrew McCutchen and Garrett Jones will be the other two outfielders.
Posted by Derek Carty at 7:51pm
Lots of activity today with the MLB trade deadline approaching, the biggest trade taking place between the Phillies and Indians. The Tribe sent SP Cliff Lee and OF Ben Francisco to the Phils for four prospects: SP Jason Knapp, SP Carlos Carrasco, C Lou Marson, and IF Jason Donald.
Lee's value receives a small uptick, moving to the easier National League with a terrific offense in front of him and an improved defense. His home park is less friendly in terms of Ks (-0.8%), HRs (+22.8%), and hits (+1%-ish), but it does reduce walks by 6%. The home runs are what we'd need to worry the most about (that's a huge increase), but the easier league, better defense, and additional wins should help recoup most of that value, if not more.
Francisco's value takes a huge dive. He was an undervalued source of both power and speed but will no longer be playing full-time with OF Raul Ibanez, Shane Victorino, and Jayson Werth blocking the way in Philly. He can safely be dropped in most mixed leagues for as long as those three are healthy. NL-only leaguers can make a modest bid if you're playing someone like Frank Catalanotto or Drew Macias in your outfield.
As far as the prospects go, Carrasco is the most likely to have 2009 value. Fausto Carmona will likely take Lee's place in the rotation for now, but Carmona kind of sucks and the back end of the rotation is far from stable. SP Jason Westbrook is also working his way back from injury, but there is a chance Carrasco gets the call at some point over the next couple months. Those in deep AL-only leagues might want to stash him. His control has been a problem at times in the past, but he could end up being pretty good immediately.
Although C Victor Martinez is likely to be traded, the Indians have C Kelly Shoppach, so Marson probably won't get called up (plus, he also has super-prospect C Carlos Santana to compete with now). Donald is just coming back from surgery, so it would make sense for the team to keep him in the minors the rest of the year. Knapp is still playing in A-Ball and is at least a year or two away.
With Francisco and Ryan Garko gone, there is a chance Matt LaPorta receives the call soon. He'd be 12-team mixed league worthy (though might make better trade bait than anything else) if he does get recalled, but let's not get ahead of ourselves just yet. This is merely speculation. If he isn't recalled, the Tribe could play Chris Giménez most days. That'd make him AL-only worthy, but not much else. He does have decent power, but that's about it.
Posted by Derek Carty at 5:31pm
The Pirates and Mariners completed a deal today, sending Ian Snell and Jack Wilson to the Mariners for Jeff Clement, Ronny Cedeno and a trio of minor league pitching prospects.
A solid fantasy option in 2007, Snell struggled throughout most of 2008 and 2009 and was sent down to Triple-A after repeated threats from the GM to improve his performance. In Triple-A Snell was dominant through 37.1 innings of work, allowing just 28 hits and striking out 47 batters compared to walking 13. For those who believe in changes of scenery, Snell now makes a nice add in most formats because of his clear upside. Looking at the messy Mariner rotation, it is clear Snell will be starting in the majors for Seattle.
Long term, Jeff Clement also figures to benefit from this trade. The now 25 year old catcher/first baseman was not crushing Triple-A pitching he was last year, but was still hitting well enough to prove that more time in the minors would not accomplish anything. Now with a team much more likely to give him playing time, Clement has a good chance of becoming the Pirates starting first baseman in 2010.
A lot of Clements' future fantasy value hinges on him retaining his catcher eligibility, but in Pittsburgh with Ryan Doumit behind the plate, I am not sure if that can happen.
Posted by Paul Singman at 2:58pm
This is Page 1 of 1 Buy on the Rumor pages
Trade RumorsFrom MLB Trade Rumors
Dodgers Nearing Agreement With Brian Wilson
Central Notes: Tigers, Castellanos, Beltran, Konerko, Twins
Cubs Sign Wesley Wright
Mariners Could Make Move To Acquire David Price
AL Notes: Fister, Blue Jays, Orioles, Rays
Red Sox Notes: Bradley, Drew, Napoli, Pierzynski
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