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Sunday, July 05, 2009
The A's have acquired OF Scott Hairston from the Padres for two minor league pitchers. For those in AL-only leagues with midnight deadlines tonight, make sure you bid on Hairston. The news might have been announced too early in the evening for you to squeak a low bid by your leaguemates, but if they're the type to fall asleep at the wheel, maybe you can. Hairston probably won't hit for a great average, but he should hit for good power, could steal a few bases, and should play full-time (or close to it, especially after/if Matt Holliday gets traded). Must own in AL-only leagues — mixed leaguers, there's no need to rush to get him if he's sitting on your waiver wire.
It'll be interesting to see how the A's juggle playing time, but for now, this is definitely bad news for Travis Buck and Rajai Davis owners, and Jack Cust and Ryan Sweeney will probably end up seeing less time as well. Which one loses more is yet to be seen. This could even have a domino effect on Jason Giambi and Nomar Garciaparra if the A's decide to get Cust more ABs in the DH spot to make up for lost OF ABs.
Posted by Derek Carty at 10:11pm
Friday, July 03, 2009
David Wright owners? Sorry, but that power bounceback you're expecting might not be coming. The excellent Sean Smith ran some numbers a week or so ago and found that Wright should only be expected to hit around 11 more dingers from now until the end of the season. He does estimate the BABIP to be a very high .368, but the expected 76 percent contact rate would put his rest-of-season batting average at around .303. All said, expect Wright to be a good fantasy contributor the rest of the way, but don't expect him to reach 30 or even 20 HRs — and of course the batting average will drop.
Also, for what it's worth, True Home Runs wasn't the biggest fan of Wright coming into the year. I originally thought he might have been a lone outlier, somehow beating the system (and it's possible this 2009 outage is caused more by CitiField than anything else), but perhaps not. Worth noting. It's on my list to check into further.
Posted by Derek Carty at 10:30pm
There have been some trade rumors regarding Javier Vazquez over the past month or so (h/t MLBTR), and given my fascination with the guy, I thought I should chime in on these.
If he is traded, he'd likely still be a top fantasy option, though his park is more favorable than most in many regards. Strikeouts are boosted 3.9 percent, BABIP is suppressed by at least 4 percent, and HRs are suppressed by 0.9 percent (though BBs are boosted and GBs are suppressed by about 1.5 percent each). Overall, Turner Field only suppressed run scoring by 0.4 percent, so a move could end up being beneficial for Vazquez if he stays within the National League, especially if he finds himself with a better offense going to bat for him and a better defense behind him (the Braves are 22nd in run scoring and 28th in UZR/150 this season).
Posted by Derek Carty at 5:56pm
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
Several high-profile players are rumored likely to be traded by the deadline, and these trades always open up roster spots for players stuck on the bench or the minors.
Matt Holliday is a candidate to be traded by the deadline, and if traded that will open up an outfield starting job. Aaron Cunningham and Travis Buck would be the two players most likely to see an increase in playing time and both have been solid minor league players but have never put it together in the majors.
Buck flashed his potential in his rookie season in 2007 when he played half the season and batted .290 with 7 home runs and 4 steals. He has since bounced between the majors and Triple-A, playing well in Sacramento but poorly in Oakland. Cunningham is known as a polished, overall solid player whose game should translate well to the majors. Both players should only be considered in AL-Only leagues (or 16+ mixed) if Holliday leaves town.
Alex Rios of the Blue Jays is another player likely to be dealt, and the obvious replacement for him in right is someone fantasy players are familiar with from the beginning of the season: Travis Snider. Snider played well at times in his major league audition, but ended up a bit over matched and left for Triple-A with just a .242 batting average and 3 home runs. At just 21 years old there is still time for him to mature, but he should be looked at more for next year.
Trade RumorsFrom MLB Trade Rumors
Phillies To Sign Roberto Hernandez
Yankees Offered Infante Three Years, $24MM
Pirates, Clint Barmes Agree To Terms
Twins Working Hard To Add One More Starter
Brewers Could Move Quickly To Add First Baseman
Rockies Making Progress On J.P. Howell
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