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August 2009
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Sunday, August 30, 2009

Qualls down, Gutierrez up?


With Arizona closer Chad Qualls dislocating his kneecap in tonight's game, the D'Backs will need a new closer. I'd endorse Juan Gutierrez as the first pickup, but you might want to keep an eye on Esmerling Vazquez and Clay Zavada. Definitely listen to what the D'Backs say over the next 24 hours, as this isn't a terribly clear cut situation.

Posted by Derek Carty at 9:14pm

Friday, August 28, 2009

Joke time


Time for some funny ha-ha's.

1. Angel Pagan (CF)
2. Wilson Valdez (SS)
3. Daniel Murphy (1B)
4. Jeff Francoeur (RF)
5. Cory Sullivan (LF)
6. Fernando Tatis (3B)
7. Omir Santos (C)
8. Anderson Hernandez (2B)
9. Tim Redding (P)

Ba-da-ba-ch!

Actually, I'm not sure what's funnier: that lineup, or the fact that it actually scored 10 runs in... no, faithful readers who are graciously putting up with this Mets fan's tirade, not two months... a single game.

Posted by Derek Carty at 11:58am

Fantasy Baseball Roundtable link


This week's Fantasy Baseball Roundtable was hosted by FantasyPros911. The question:
I predict that Ubaldo Jimenez will be a top seven fantasy pitcher in 2010. Will I be right?

THT's Rob McQuown stepped up to the plate and answered for us this week. You can find everyone's answer here.

Posted by Derek Carty at 11:56am

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Eric Young set loose


With Dexter Fowler on the DL for a few weeks with a bruised right knee, the Rockies called up speedster Eric Young from Triple-A and Tuesday night he started in center, batting lead off. Young is a player I talked about briefly in this article, and for those link lazy I'll reproduce the chart of his minor league stolen base totals here:

+------+-------+----+ | Year | Level | SB | +------+-------+----+ | 2006 | A | 87 | | 2007 | A+ | 73 | | 2008 | AA | 46 | | 2009 | AAA | 54 | +------+-------+----+

As you can see, Young is a literal Ferrari on the base paths, and he has the potential to hit for a solid average as well. In NL-only leagues Young should be scooped up and also in most mixed leagues, depending on your need for stolen bases. If nothing else he can be used as a trade chip since a better steals opportunity is not likely to come along.

Almost comically, Young was caught stealing on his first attempt of his major league career but he should find more success running in the future.

As a last note, Seth Smith is also a player who you also might want to own while Fowler's out since a couple more starts are likely headed his way each week over this time period.


Posted by Paul Singman at 11:49pm

Stretch sleeper: Scott Richmond


Looking for a starting pitcher to help you reach your league's innings max? Jays SP Scott Richmond could be as good a choice as any available on your waiver wire (I'd strongly consider Scott Baker as well). His 4.09 ERA might have already created a believer in your league, but if not, his 4.10 LIPS ERA backs it up. While his extreme fly ball tendencies limit his ceiling a bit, he is striking out over 8 batters per 9 innings with above average control, and it's possible that could end up going even higher. That's because, what I hadn't noticed about him until today, is how many swinging strikes he's inducing (which has been shown to correlate well with strikeouts). USA Today's Steve Gardner displayed this table today of the league-leaders in swinging strike rate:
+---------------------------------+-----+
| PITCHER                         | SS% |
+---------------------------------+-----+
| Rich Harden, Cubs               | 25% |
| Scott Richmond, Toronto         | 20% |
| Francisco Liriano, Minnesota    | 20% |
| Ryan Dempster, Cubs             | 19% |
| Jonathan Sanchez, San Francisco | 19% |
| Javier Vazquez, Atlanta         | 19% |
+---------------------------------+-----+

That's some elite company. Richmond may not dazzle with ridiculous velocity, but his fastball does have ridiculous movement (nearly a foot of rise!) and he mixes it in with some solid secondary offerings. If you've been scouring the waiver wire for a pitcher to help down the stretch, you might not need to look much further.

Posted by Derek Carty at 4:45pm

Monday, August 24, 2009

Fan Scouting Report ‘09


You'll probably be seeing these posts all over the place, but I'm a big fan of Tom Tango's Fan Scouting Report and wanted to post a notice just in case you guys don't hear about it elsewhere. As he's been doing for several years now, Tom is looking for fans to rate the defense of players they've watched. Here's an explanation from him:

Baseball's fans are very perceptive. Take a large group of them, and they can pick out the final standings with the best of them. They can forecast the performance of players as well as those guys with rather sophisticated forecasting engines. Bill James, in one of his later Abstracts, had the fans vote in for the ranking of the best to worst players by position. And they did a darn good job.

There is an enormous amount of untapped knowledge here. There are 70 million fans at MLB parks every year, and a whole lot more watching the games on television. When I was a teenager, I had no problem picking out Tim Wallach as a great fielding 3B, a few years before MLB coaches did so. And, judging by the quantity of non-stop standing ovations Wallach received, I wasn't the only one in Montreal whose eyes did not deceive him. Rondel White, Marquis Grissom, Larry Walker, Andre Dawson, Hubie Brooks, Ellis Valentine. We don't need stats to tell us which of these does not belong.

What I would like to do now is tap that pool of talent. I want you to tell me what your eyes see. I want you to tell me how good or bad a fielder is. Go down, and start selecting the team(s) that you watch all the time. For any player that you've seen play in at least 10 games in 2009, I want you to judge his performance in 7 specific fielding categories.


If you meet the criteria, please go over and fill out a form.

Posted by Derek Carty at 4:43pm

Friday, August 21, 2009

Not a stretch sleeper: Billy Wagner


Billy Wagner is getting a lot of play in the media lately, but unless you're in a medium-to-deep NL (or AL)-only league, this former closer shouldn't be on your radar. FOX's Ken Rosenthal reports that the Red Sox have indeed claimed Wagner, which leaves just a few possible fantasy scenarios:
  1. Wagner is traded or waived and joins a very crowded Sox bullpen with little chance for saves. Even if closer Jonathan Papelbon gets injured, he is no lock to close.
  2. The Mets sit on him, in which case he again has little chance for saves. He'd have a bit higher chance with the Mets, but Francisco Rodriguez would need to get injured and he'd have to leapfrog... umm.... wait, the Mets don't actually know how to build a quality bullpen, so probably no one. Still, K-Rod would need to get hurt for him to earn significant saves, and it's more likely that he leaves New York for Boston anyway.
  3. That's it. It's the Mets or the Sox for Wagner at this point, and neither one makes him an appealing option for mixed leaguers.


Posted by Derek Carty at 6:11pm

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

LaPorta, Stubbs get the call


Anticipated Indians first baseman/outfielder Matt LaPorta and not-as-highly-awaited Reds outfielder Drew Stubbs were both called to the big leagues by their respective clubs today.

In Triple-A LaPorta has played well, putting up a solid .299/.388/.530 slash line while also cutting down his whiff rate from 20 percent last year in Double-A to 16 percent this year. With Ben Francisco gone and Trevor Crowe on the DL, there is not much standing in LaPorta's way from starting in left field, a job the Indians should give him as they play for next year. If available, LaPorta should be scooped up in AL-only leagues and most mixed leagues since he could be in store for a fine September complete with a good average, power potential, and mediocre defense.

The other call-up, Stubbs, is not having his best hitting season in his first at Triple-A, but is still displaying his value to fantasy owners with his 46 steals. He strikes out too much to hit for a high average, but does have some patience and doubles-power that could translate into mild home run-power in the future. Playing time is not so clear cut for him on the messy Reds roster, but against lefties he should start often enough to make him worth adding for NL-only owners looking for some steals.




Posted by Paul Singman at 5:44pm


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Trade Rumors

From MLB Trade Rumors

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Astros Notes: Appel, Free Agency

Rockies To Remove Francis From Roster, Add Oswalt

Braves Sign First-Rounder Jason Hursh

Red Sox Sign Trey Ball

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