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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Alex Rios to White SoxPosted by Derek Carty at 2:00pm
As I'm sure you've heard, the Chicago White Sox have claimed Alex Rios off waivers and the Blue Jays have let him go to get out of his contract (which wasn't really even bad). Rios has been a bit unlucky this year (thanks in part to a terrible April), but he is still a good player, both in real life and in fantasy baseball. Currently, the Sox have Carlos Quentin and Jermaine Dye patrolling the corners and Scott Podsednik in CF. Podsednik has been pretty good this year, and the Sox obviously like him enough to bat him leadoff, but I have a hard time seeing him play much over a guy like Rios.
Overall, Rios' value doesn't change much (maybe a small hit due to PT concerns). Toronto's Rogers Centre is a little less homer friendly than U.S. Cellular (worse park factor, deeper left-centerfield fences), but it is still a very good homer park. Toronto suppresses Ks by 5.1% over U.S. Cellular and increases singles by 4.9%. Doubles and triples are suppressed, but the overall impact on his BA should be positive. Another 6 or 7 homers, 8 or 9 steals, and a .290 average can be expected the rest of the way (assuming Podsednik doesn't dig into his PT too much).
Indirectly affected is, obviously, Podsednik, whose value takes a huge hit. In Toronto, Jose Bautista gets a temporary boost in value. If you can afford a BA hit and need power, he makes a decent pickup in very deep mixed leagues. It might not last, though, as the loss of Rios could clear room for the Jays to recall top prospect Travis Snider. If you have room in deep mixed leagues (perhaps even deep 12-team leagues), it's time to stash him (Note: This might not be the case. Check the comments below).
Derek Carty, 23, has also been published by NBC's Rotoworld, Sports Illustrated, FOX Sports, and USA Today. This season, he'll be contributing to FanDuel and will be linking to all of his work at DerekCarty.com. In his three years competing in expert leagues, he has won 2 titles with 4 top three finishes, including a LABR NL title in 2009, making him the youngest person to ever win a major expert league title. Derek is a proud graduate of the MLB Scouting Bureau's Scout Development Program and is a firm believer in the importance of combining stats and scouting. He welcomes questions via e-mail, Facebook, or Twitter.
Derek Carty said...
Oops, maybe Snider won’t be getting recalled soon. MLB.com’s Jordan Bastian posted this on Twitter (https://twitter.com/MLBastian):
Seems doubtful that Travis Snider will get the call from AAA. Jays don’t need an OF right away. Maybe a guy like Randy Ruiz will get a look.
Ruiz can be stashed in AL-only leagues and could warrant a pickup in medium-sized mixed leagues if he does get recalled. He’s got very good power and solid BA skills.
Posted 08/11 at 03:38 PM
Derek Carty said...
Ruiz has gotten the call, so feel free to move on him in medium-sized mixed leagues and deeper.
Posted 08/11 at 04:37 PM