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Monday, June 08, 2009

David Ortiz owners… it’s not looking good

Posted by Derek Carty at 1:20pm

As if I needed to tell you that. But consider this now, from John Dewan at ACTA Sports (h/t Tango at The Book Blog). It's the average distance Ortiz is hitting the ball, broken down by batted ball type.
+--------+--------+---------+-------+
| Season | Liners | Fliners | Flies |
+--------+--------+---------+-------+
| 2007   |    205 |     302 |   310 |
| 2008   |    214 |     296 |   275 |
| 2009   |    158 |     278 |   261 |
+--------+--------+---------+-------+

As the lack of home runs should have been indicating, Ortiz just isn't hitting the ball as far. While some psychologists think Ortiz's struggles are in his head (h/t to our friend John Halpin at FOX), it's not really looking that way.

No recommendations here; I just thought it was worth pointing out. Holding onto Ortiz is probably better than trading him for a bag of balls (or trading him for Jason Vargas), although if you're lucky enough to be the guy who got Adam Dunn or Ryan Ludwick for him, I'd be all over it.



Derek Carty, 23, has also been published by NBC's Rotoworld, Sports Illustrated, FOX Sports, and USA Today. This season, he'll be contributing to FanDuel and will be linking to all of his work at DerekCarty.com. In his three years competing in expert leagues, he has won 2 titles with 4 top three finishes, including a LABR NL title in 2009, making him the youngest person to ever win a major expert league title. Derek is a proud graduate of the MLB Scouting Bureau's Scout Development Program and is a firm believer in the importance of combining stats and scouting. He welcomes questions via e-mail, Facebook, or Twitter.


Comments

Andrew said...

Interesting. Never come across this average line drive / fly ball distance data. Did the data for any other players jump out at you?

Posted 06/08  at  02:40 PM
Derek Carty said...

Sorry, Andrew, this data isn’t mine.  It was John Dewan’s “Stat of the Week,” so unfortunately I can’t check anyone else’s.  It would certainly be useful, though.

Posted 06/08  at  02:46 PM
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