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Friday, July 31, 2009
Jarrod Washburn to TigersPosted by Derek Carty at 4:31pm
The trade: Mariners' SP Jarrod Washburn for Tigers' P Luke French and P Mauricio Robles
Washburn's value takes a clear hit here. As a flyball pitcher, he was taking full-advantage of the Mariners' excellent defensive outfield. In addition, Comerica suppresses Ks by nearly 14% over Safeco (although it also suppresses walks by 6.5%), a very big figure. Comerica reduces HRs, but his HR/FB is due for a regression anyway, and we should expect his ERA to be over 4.50 the rest of the way. Hopefully you sold Washburn while you had the chance.
No one affected in Detroit with Washburn sliding into French's spot in the rotation. French will probably do the same in Seattle, though his job is surely less secure. His numbers were never particularly promising in the minors and he doesn't have the kind of stuff scouts rave about, but he did post solid numbers at Triple-A this year. His major league numbers were barely passable, especially considering that he put up an extreme flyball rate. It was more normal in the minors, but we should still only consider him in the deepest of AL-only leagues.
Robles isn't fantasy relevant for 2009.
Derek Carty, 23, has also been published by NBC's Rotoworld, Sports Illustrated, FOX Sports, and USA Today. This season, he'll be contributing to FanDuel and will be linking to all of his work at DerekCarty.com. In his three years competing in expert leagues, he has won 2 titles with 4 top three finishes, including a LABR NL title in 2009, making him the youngest person to ever win a major expert league title. Derek is a proud graduate of the MLB Scouting Bureau's Scout Development Program and is a firm believer in the importance of combining stats and scouting. He welcomes questions via e-mail, Facebook, or Twitter.
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