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Wednesday, June 17, 2009
Scott Downs updatePosted by Derek Carty at 5:25pm
As suggested earlier today, Jays closer Scott Downs will indeed be placed on the DL (h/t Rotoworld). Jason Frasor remains waiver wire target number one.
Derek Carty, 23, has also been published by NBC's Rotoworld, Sports Illustrated, FOX Sports, and USA Today. This season, he'll be contributing to FanDuel and will be linking to all of his work at DerekCarty.com. In his three years competing in expert leagues, he has won 2 titles with 4 top three finishes, including a LABR NL title in 2009, making him the youngest person to ever win a major expert league title. Derek is a proud graduate of the MLB Scouting Bureau's Scout Development Program and is a firm believer in the importance of combining stats and scouting. He welcomes questions via e-mail, Facebook, or Twitter.
John Burnson said...
I consider Ryan a SLIGHTLY more appealing candidate in deeper leagues than you do. I won’t deny that Ryan looks to be a lesser pitcher since 2007. But he’s still the one with 115 career Saves. To the extent that there is value in having faced and survived Save situations, Ryan has it.
As for Frasor, it’s true that he has a 1.09 ERA this season, justified in part by good skills. But his ERA’s the last five seasons with TOR are 4.08, 3.25, 4.32, 4.58, and 4.18. Are we prepared to say, after 25 IP, that, at age 31, Frasor is now a 2.00-ERA pitcher? Well, probably but perhaps not rightly.
Posted 06/18 at 08:41 AM
Derek Carty said...
Well, not a 2.00-ERA pitcher, but a sub-4.00 one, I think. He’s shown reasonably good skills, if not very good/great skills every year but last year. In 2006 the ERA was some bad HR/FB luck, in 2007 it was some bad LOB% luck, in 2008 it was partially due to an awful final couple months (though he wasn’t very good for most of the year), but he seems to have regained his prior form this year, or is at least pitching well enough to hold down the closer’s role.
That being said, I could certainly see Ryan getting the job back and succeeding. He’s a must add in AL-only leagues and deeper mixed leagues in case, although the Jays did say Frasor will get the first shot.
Posted 06/18 at 04:01 PM
Does Accardo’s save yesterday affect your view on this at all?
Posted 06/19 at 03:53 PM
Derek Carty said...
Nah, I’d still go with Frasor, Ron.
Posted 06/21 at 03:44 PM