The daily grind: 5-8-13by Brad Johnson
May 08, 2013
The Daily Grind provides daily match-up advice for tinkerers and daily fantasy players. I welcome advice to help make this column more effective, including notice of impending weather events, new injuries, and changes to platoon situations. Ownership rates are from Yahoo!
The daily picks are a mixture of Daily League specific advice and information for the more typical fantasy owner.
Pitcher (to start): Yesterday, I expanded upon why Jonathan Pettibone has produced good results but isn't trustworthy. Still, a match-up against the Giants is potentially worth exploring. He's opposed by Barry Zito, who also might be worth an add.
A.J. Griffin should be owned in the majority of mixed leagues. He faces the Indians, which is a decent enough match-up to start.
Pitcher (bum): If Coors Field can dodge the rain in the forecast, the combination of David Phelps and Juan Nicasio promises runs.
The Astros will face Joe Blanton.
It's doubtful that Ricky Romero worked out his issues in one month.
Luis Mendoza will see the Orioles. Rain's in the forecast for this one, too.
Hitter (power): The readers let me get away with a silly recommendation for Travis Hafner yesterday, so I'll call myself out. At Coors, there is no DH.
Some regulars are worth a look including Brandon Moss, Seth Smith, Jonny Gomes, and Daniel Nava.
Carlos Pena against Blanton is another great match-up.
Hitter (speed): Will Venable is set to face Ricky Nolasco.
Rajai Davis will likely start, but has a difficult assignment against Matt Moore.
Pitcher (to start): Bartolo Colon versus Scott Kazmir is an opportunity for two pitchers who may perform well. Kazmir is only for the ballsiest among us, but he's showing his strongest whiff rate since 2008 and is coming off an excellent start. He's likely to regress, but maybe he's that fluky guy who comes back from the dead.
John Lackey has looked solid thus far and might be worth a peek against the Twins. Personally, I'm worried about his high strikeout rate, which I think will decline since he's not generating more whiffs than usual.
Here's another heavily qualified recommendation: Julio Teheran. It's been a bit of a mixed bag with him this season. His velocity is down and he seems to be catching too much of the plate, which could explain an elevated BABIP and HR/FB ratio. On the plus side, he's limiting walks and generating plenty of whiffs, though they aren't translating to a high strikeout rate.
Pitcher (bum): One of these times I'll pick the Braves' feast or famine offense and they'll feast. They see Ryan Vogelsong tomorrow.
Let's see if I can jinx Dillon Gee into performing well. The Pirates have a solid lineup, so it will be a tough assignment for the struggling righty. His velocity is way down, so he is a candidate to be replaced by Ryan Wheeler when the time comes.
The Robinson Canos will face Jeff Francis, who's exploitable against any lineup not named the Marlins at this point. The Canos will be without their best hitter (statistically)—Hafner.
Hitter (power): Big Nate Freiman is likely to be in the lineup against Kazmir.
Break out the Pirates. Particularly, Garrett Jones and Travis Snider.
Jason Vargas is solid enough, but it's still worth giving Chris Carter a spin.
Brandon Belt seems to have a good match-up against Teheran.
Hitter (speed): Davis will see another tough lefty in David Price.
I don't usually reach for Kelly Johnson, but you can give him a try tomorrow against a struggling R.A. Dickey.
J.A. Happ was the latest victim of a comeback liner. He's reported to be stable.
Junichi Tazawa is expected to close for the Red Sox. I hope you have heard that already.
Games in Cincinnati, Baltimore, Cleveland, Boston, Pittsburgh, New York, and Colorado could all see some amount of rain and storms. In other words, it's going to be a wet day across the majors.
These are my favorite days to play daily leagues because I can increase my odds of winning simply by selecting players in dry games.
Follow Brad on Twitter @baseballAteam. Email him at pitchin432 AT Yahoo.com
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