The daily grind: 8-5-13by Brad Johnson
August 05, 2013
The Daily Grind provides daily match-up advice for tinkerers and daily fantasy players. I welcome advice to help make this column more effective, including notice of impending weather events, new injuries, and changes to platoon situations. Ownership rates are from Yahoo!
The daily picks are a mixture of Daily League specific advice and information for the more typical fantasy owner.
Today’s weather watch
Games in St. Louis, Chicago, Cleveland and Kansas City all have a 30 percent chance of scattered storms.
It's a bit thin today, but you may be able to find somebody at the last minute.
Pitcher (to start): Edwin Jackson heads another thin day for starters. He's 32 percent owned and most notable for his 3.45 FIP.
Jenrry Mejia is the prospect of the day, although I worry about his ability to contribute at the major league level. He's succeeded by not allowing walks (one in 13 innings), but his minor league numbers predict a more average rate going forward. With his merely adequate strikeout totals, that makes him questionable as a fantasy starting pitcher.
I'm more willing to believe that Tyler Chatwood has discovered improved control. He will be prone to blowups simply because his stuff is merely adequate, but he can be started against weak offenses like the Wright-less Mets.
I don't actually recommend that you use Steven Wright against the Astros, but I feel obligated to point out that a relatively unknown knuckleballer is starting.
23 percent owned Bud Norris gets the start at Petco Park tomorrow.
Pitcher (bum): With health, Jordan Lyles may grow into a good major league pitcher, but as of tomorrow he's an unfinished product facing a difficult Red Sox lineup.
I'm comfortable betting against Joe Kelly versus the Dodgers.
Josh Johnson has had the worst season of his career, taking a 6.60 ERA into tomorrow's game. It's easy to see why he's struggling—nearly 20 percent of the fly balls he allows are home runs.
Hitter (power): Andre Ethier's ownership is barely above 50 percent, making him a nice stream option against righties like Kelly.
Justin Smoak will face Johnson, who has been prone to blowups this season.
The Royals acquired Justin Maxwell specifically to face lefties like Andrew Albers.
Hitter (speed): Give Will Venable a try against Norris.
Gerardo Parra remains a well-rounded option versus right-handers like Jeremy Hellickson. You can give Adam Eaton a try too, although he hasn't been sharp since returning from the disabled list.
Eric Young Jr. is playable if you need steals.
Pitchers to come
Wednesday: I wish I could switch from Hector Santiago to Danny Salazar for Wednesday's pick, but Salazar faces the Tigers—one of the few teams I have trouble recommending many pitchers against.
Thursday: Thin Thursday remains Gerrit Cole's day.
Friday: I'm once again split between Dan Haren and Brandon Beachy. Both have excellent match-ups: the Phillies and Marlins respectively.
The Biogenesis fallout hasn't hit quite yet. It looks like Alex Rodriguez will be usable for about three weeks for anybody needing to replace David Wright.
Follow Brad on Twitter @baseballAteam. Email him at pitchin432 AT Yahoo.com
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