The Hardball Times

THT Daily: Moving day

by THT Staff
September 22, 2008

Player News
Yesterday’s Results
Today’s Games
Standings
Game of the Day
Yesterday’s Home Runs

You can always find the most recent THT Daily at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/content/thtdaily/ and an archive at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/thtdaily_index/

Player News

Player Headlines are courtesy of Rotoworld
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It's an image worth repeating: the Rays rush onto the field after clinching a playoff spot Saturday night. (Icon/SMI)

Andy Pettitte snapped his five-game losing skid by allowing three runs -- two earned -- in five-plus innings as New York won the finale at Yankee Stadium 7-3 over the Orioles. For trivia purposes only, the last Yankee Stadium home run was hit by Jose Molina, the last hit went to Jason Giambi (on a popfly behind third base that Melvin Mora completely botched) and the last out came on a Brian Roberts grounder against Mariano Rivera. Pettitte moved to 3-0 against the Orioles and 9-1 against baseball's 10-worst teams. Overall, he's 14-14 with a 4.54 ERA.

Joey Devine picked up his first career save with a scoreless ninth inning of work against the Mariners on Sunday. Devine has had an awesome season with a 0.62 ERA and has always had closer stuff, but the most interesting part about today's outing was that Brad Ziegler was used in the eighth inning. Ziegler is best used in a multi-inning relief ace type of role and Devine profiles better in the ninth with his fastball-slider combination, so this could be the sign of a real change. If you're looking for saves, Devine makes a great last week addition. He's also worth a big bid in any keeper leagues in which he's unowned, as you'll have the whole off-season to try and get a read on the situation.

Yesterday’s Results

Game recaps provided by Craig Calcaterra of Shysterball.

Yankees 7, Orioles 3: For the record, the last home run in Yankee Stadium was hit by backup catcher Duke Sims. It happened on September 30, 1973 against the Tigers. After that game, New York played for two years in Shea Stadium and then 33 years in one of those unfortunate 1970s-era ballparks that are now finally and mercifully gone.

Phillies 5, Marlins 2
: A 1.5 game lead and six games left against the Braves and Nats? Yeah, I like the Phillies' chances to win the East.

A's 5, Mariners 3: A game story and a player that acknowledge the existence of the Three True Outcomes: "Jack Cust took good-natured ribbing after the Oakland Athletics' slugger had quite a typical day.This familiar Jack Cust effort featured a walk, a strikeout and a two-run homer.'That's been my whole career for better or worse,' Cust said Sunday after his eighth-inning home run helped give the A's a 5-3 victory over the Seattle Mariners. 'Those are the three big things in my stat book.'" I wonder if he's read Rany's article.

Giants 1, Dodgers 0: Scoreless through 10 before the Giants broke through. How very 1966 of everyone involved.

Diamondbacks 13, Rockies 4: L.A.'s lead is now only 2.5., but with only seven games to play, 2.5 is an awful lot, isn't it? The Dodgers finish with the Padres and the Giants. Even though they dropped two of three to San Francisco this weekend, that's an easier order than the Dbacks closing against St. Louis and Colorado, no?

Angels 7, Rangers 3: After the game Marlon Byrd said, in reference to the Angels' 20+ lead over the Rangers in the West, "I've never seen that before, [the gap] between the first- and second-place teams." In his first season in Philly, Atlanta beat second place Montreal by 19. So, yeah, I guess he's technically right, but it ain't that big a difference is it?

White Sox 3, Royals 0: I and many others waited the entire first half of the season for the White Sox to drop out of the race, and waited the whole second half for Minnesota to really make a run and challenge them. Still, Chicago hasn't been more than a game out of first since May 15th, and looks to be taking the division going away. If confounding expectations is a skill, they may very well go deep into the post season.

Twins 4, Rays 1: Not that the Twins don't have a chance to make one last stand. They have three games against the Sox in the dome starting Tuesday night, and if history tells us anything, it tells us that anything can happen in that wretched building. They'll turn on the air conditioner at curious times. They'll pipe in the fake crowd noise. They'll invite Kent Hrbek back to tackle opposing base runners. The stops, they will be pulled out, all of them.

Cubs 5, Cardinals 1: The Cubs clinched the division on Saturday night, which meant that yesterday's lineup consisted almost entirely of backups, scrubs, and other assorted flotsam. Daryle Ward hit cleanup. I'm guessing that hasn't happened for a while.

Astros 6, Pirates 2: The only notable thing about this game from the Pirates' point of view was that it was probably the last time Jack Wilson played for them in Pittsburgh, as he is likely to be shipped off during the offseason. He pinch hit and got a single. After the game he said "It's definitely the best moment of my career. By far." That says far less about the moment than it does about the state of the Pirates since Wilson's debut in 2001.

Red Sox 3, Blue Jays 0: Dice-K is going to end with something like 30-40 fewer innings this season than last, when he seemed to be quite out of gas late and into the playoffs. Right now he's ending on a high note (7 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 6K).

Padres 6, Nationals 2: My brother, who has lived in San Diego for thirteen years, is spending the week visiting his girlfriend's family in Seattle. He called me yesterday to tell me that he has actually been talking smack with all of them about how the Padres are going to finish ahead of the Mariners in overall record. "Looks like we're putting away the Nats, too," he said, without a hint of irony or sarcasm. He didn't root this vocally for the Padres in any of the last three contending years, in the 1998 pennant season, or when they won the division in 1996.

Indians 10, Tigers 5: Dontrelle Willis is deader than vaudeville (2.1 IP, 5 H, 6 ER, 6 BB). Meanwhile, get Cleveland: they're over .500, and a scorching 41-24 since their July 9th nadir. Everyone picked them to do things in the AL Central this year and they didn't. That doesn't mean people shouldn't pick them to do something again next year.

Braves 7, Mets 6: The Mets remain 1.5 ahead of Milwaukee for the Wild Card, but with the way their bullpen is going, they won't be lasting much longer than the Brewers even if they do hold on.

Brewers 8, Reds 1: Nice, but any team that loses 2 of 3 to the Reds in the season's penultimate weekend doesn't really deserve to play in October.

You can download a compact version of yesterday's boxscores from Heater Magazine.

First Inning's Major and Minor League Daily Reports:
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Today’s Games

National League
 ---------------
 Florida Marlins at Cincinnati Reds, 1:10 PM
  (R) Ricky Nolasco (15-7) vs. (R) Aaron Harang (5-16)
 Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 PM
  (R) Jair Jurrjens (13-10) vs. (L) J.A. Happ (1-0)
 Chicago Cubs at New York Mets, 7:10 PM
  (R) Jason Marquis (10-9) vs. (L) Jonathon Niese (1-0)
 Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:15 PM
  (R) Brandon Webb (21-7) vs. (R) Todd Wellemeyer (12-8)
 
 American League
 ---------------
 Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 PM
  (R) Matt Garza (11-9) vs. (R) Brian Bass (3-4)
 Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 PM
  (L) Zach Jackson (0-3) vs. (R) Josh Beckett (12-9)
 Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 PM
  (R) Gil Meche (12-11) vs. (R) Zach Miner (8-4)
 Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers, 8:05 PM
  (L) Greg Smith (7-15) vs. (R) Kevin Millwood (9-9)
 LA Angels of Anaheim at Seattle Mariners, 10:10 PM
  (R) Ervin Santana (15-6) vs. (L) Ryan Rowland-Smith (4-2)

Standings

The graphics next to each team are called "sparklines.” They depict each team’s performance over the last month. Each "up" bar is a victory and a "down" bar is a loss. There are horizontal lines for home games and red bars represent games decided by two runs or less. "PWins" is short for Projected Wins, based on each team’s Run Differential, and is often a better measure of a team’s true strength. Other team graphs and stats can be found on our Team Page.
American League East        Pwins  Diff
TB      92  62 .597    0.0   87     5    sparkline graph
BOS     91  64 .587    1.5   93    -2    sparkline graph
NYA     85  71 .545    8.0   83     2    sparkline graph
TOR     83  73 .532   10.0   88    -5    sparkline graph
BAL     67  87 .435   25.0   71    -4    sparkline graph
American League Central     
CHA     86  69 .555    0.0   86     0    sparkline graph
MIN     84  72 .538    2.5   86    -2    sparkline graph
CLE     78  77 .503    8.0   82    -4    sparkline graph
DET     71  83 .461   14.5   75    -4    sparkline graph
KC      70  86 .449   16.5   67     3    sparkline graph
American League West        
LAA     96  59 .619    0.0   85    11    sparkline graph
TEX     75  81 .481   21.5   71     4    sparkline graph
OAK     74  81 .477   22.0   75    -1    sparkline graph
SEA     57  98 .368   39.0   63    -6    sparkline graph


National League East        Pwins  Diff
PHI     88  68 .564    0.0   89    -1    sparkline graph
NYN     86  69 .555    1.5   87    -1    sparkline graph
FLA     81  74 .523    6.5   78     3    sparkline graph
ATL     69  87 .442   19.0   75    -6    sparkline graph
WAS     58  98 .372   30.0   60    -2    sparkline graph
National League Central     
CHN     94  60 .610    0.0   95    -1    sparkline graph
MIL     85  71 .545   10.0   83     2    sparkline graph
HOU     82  73 .529   12.5   74     8    sparkline graph
STL     80  75 .516   14.5   81    -1    sparkline graph
CIN     72  83 .465   22.5   69     3    sparkline graph
PIT     65  91 .417   30.0   64     1    sparkline graph
National League West        
LAN     81  75 .519    0.0   82    -1    sparkline graph
ARI     78  77 .503    2.5   80    -2    sparkline graph
COL     71  85 .455   10.0   70     1    sparkline graph
SF      70  86 .449   11.0   67     3    sparkline graph
SD      61  95 .391   20.0   67    -6    sparkline graph


Wildcard Standings
American League             
BOS     91  64 .587    0.0
NYA     85  71 .545    6.5
MIN     84  72 .538    7.5
TOR     83  73 .532    8.5
CLE     78  77 .503   13.0
National League             
NYN     86  69 .555    0.0
MIL     85  71 .545    1.5
HOU     82  73 .529    4.0
FLA     81  74 .523    5.0
STL     80  75 .516    6.0

Game of the Day

Giants 1, Dodgers 0 - FINAL

SAN FRANCISCO          ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
R Winn lf               5  0  0  0   1  2   3  .308
I Ochoa ss              3  0  0  0   0  1   2  .209
 va-D Roberts ph        1  0  0  0   0  0   1  .214
 O Vizquel ss           0  0  0  0   1  0   0  .211
N Schierholtz rf        5  0  0  0   0  1   1  .302
B Molina c              5  0  1  0   0  0   1  .292
T Ishikawa 1b           4  0  1  0   0  1   1  .282
 S Romo p               0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 vb-J Bowker ph-1b      1  0  0  0   0  1   0  .247
A Rowand cf             4  0  2  0   1  1   0  .276
S McClain 3b            4  0  1  0   0  2   3  .310
 E Burriss pr           0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .283
 R Rohlinger 3b         0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .100
 vc-P Sandoval ph       1  0  0  0   0  0   1  .346
 B Hennessey pr         0  1  0  0   0  0   0  .286
 B Wilson p             0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
E Velez 2b              4  0  3  0   1  0   1  .256
M Cain p                2  0  0  0   0  2   4  .117
 A Hinshaw p            0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 R Aurilia 1b-3b        2  0  1  1   0  0   1  .289

Totals                 41  1  9  1   4 11  19   ###

LA DODGERS             ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
R Martin c              4  0  1  0   1  1   0  .275
A Ethier rf             5  0  2  0   0  1   0  .301
M Ramirez lf            2  0  0  0   3  2   0  .399
J Loney 1b              5  0  0  0   0  0   7  .291
C Blake 3b              5  0  0  0   0  3   3  .245
M Kemp cf               4  0  0  0   0  2   3  .289
B Dewitt 2b             4  0  1  0   0  0   0  .260
A Berroa ss             3  0  1  0   0  0   1  .238
 hb-D Young ph          1  0  0  0   0  0   0  .250
 C Hu ss                0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .161
D Lowe p                1  0  0  0   0  1   0  .141
 ha-J Pierre ph         1  0  0  0   0  0   0  .271
 C Wade p               0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 J Broxton p            0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 hc-M Sweeney ph        1  0  0  0   0  0   0  .135
 T Saito p              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 J Beimel p             0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000

Totals                 36  0  5  0   4 10  14   ###

----------------------------------------------------
    SAN FRANCISCO   - 000 000 000 01  --   1  9 0
    LA DODGERS      - 000 000 000 00  --   0  5 0
----------------------------------------------------

va-grounded to second for I Ochoa in the 7th;  ha-flied out to center for D 
Lowe in the 7th;  hb-popped out to shortstop for A Berroa in the 9th;  
hc-grounded to second for J Broxton in the 10th;  vb-struck out swinging for S 
Romo in the 11th;  vc-grounded into fielder's choice to third for R Rohlinger 
in the 11th.

BATTING: 2B - E Velez (14, D Lowe); T Ishikawa (6, D Lowe). S - M Cain , D 
Lowe. RBI - R Aurilia (51). 2-out RBI - R Aurilia. Runners left in scoring 
position, 2 out - S McClain 1, R Winn 1, D Roberts 1, I Ochoa 1, M Cain 2, J 
Loney 2, M Kemp 2. Team LOB - SAN FRANCISCO 12, LA DODGERS 8. BASERUNNING: SB - 
B Hennessey (1, 2nd base off T Saito/R Martin). FIELDING: Outfield assists - A 
Rowand (A Berroa at Home). 

SAN FRANCISCO                ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
M Cain                        6       5   0   0   4   4   0   3.80
A Hinshaw                     1       0   0   0   0   1   0   3.46
S Romo (W, 3-1)               3       0   0   0   0   3   0   2.30
B Wilson (S, 40)              1       0   0   0   0   2   0   4.33

LA DODGERS                   ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
D Lowe                        7       5   0   0   3   7   0   3.29
C Wade                        2       1   0   0   0   2   0   2.22
J Broxton                     1       0   0   0   1   0   0   3.09
T Saito (L, 4-4)                2/3   3   1   1   0   1   0   2.40
J Beimel                        1/3   0   0   0   0   1   0   2.09

IBB - E Velez (by D Lowe), R Winn (by D Lowe), A Rowand (by D Lowe), M 
Ramirez (by M Cain). Pitches-strikes: M Cain 108-73; A Hinshaw 11-8; S Romo 
33-22; B Wilson 14-10; D Lowe 120-72; C Wade 24-16; J Broxton 13-8; T Saito 
26-17; J Beimel 3-3. Ground balls-fly balls: M Cain 4-9; A Hinshaw 0-2; S Romo 
3-3; B Wilson 0-1; D Lowe 12-2; C Wade 1-3; J Broxton 1-2; T Saito 1-0; J 
Beimel 0-0. Batters faced: M Cain 26; A Hinshaw 3; S Romo 9; B Wilson 3; D Lowe 
29; C Wade 7; J Broxton 4; T Saito 5; J Beimel 1. UMPIRES: HP--Andy Fletcher. 
1B--Bob Davidson. 2B--Alfonso Marquez. 3B--Mike Reilly.   T--3:27. Att--55,294. 
Weather: 74 degrees, sunny. Wind: 6 mph, out to center.

The following graph tracks the game's Win Probability, courtesy of Fan Graphs. You can also view live WPA graphs at Fangraphs during any ballgame all season long.

image

Yesterday’s Home Runs

The following stats are provided by Hit Tracker, which logs the projected “true” distance of each home run (if it were to land uninterrupted at field level) and its "standard" distance, which is corrected for weather conditions. Each homer is also categorized into one of three types: Just Enough (JE) for homers that cleared the fence by ten feet or less, Plenty (PL) for those that were sure home runs but not “blasts,” and No Doubt (ND) for true “blasts”—homers that cleared the fence by at least 20 feet and landed at least 50 feet beyond the fence.
Hitter                Team    Pitcher              Team   True   Stnd.  # Type
Hank Blalock          TEX     Jason Bulger         LAA     426    420   7  PL
Jack Cust             OAK     Miguel Batista       SEA     344    340  30  JE/L
Johnny Damon          NYY     Chris Waters         BAL     352    349  16  PL
Prince Fielder        MIL     Bronson Arroyo       CIN     408    379  33  PL/L
Adrian Gonzalez       SD      Odalis Perez         WAS     392    385  35  JE
Jose Molina           NYY     Chris Waters         BAL     397    384   3  PL/L
Edgar Renteria        DET     Jensen Lewis         CLE     412    420  10  PL
Sean Rodriguez        LAA     Scott Feldman        TEX     414    402   3  PL
Mark Teixeira         LAA     Scott Feldman        TEX     391    381  32  PL
Ryan Zimmerman        WAS     Cha Seung Baek       SD      414    400  13  PL

Access THT’s stats here…
{embed="content/2005stable"}




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