The Hardball Times

THT Daily: Season-ending injuries

by THT Staff
September 11, 2008

Player News
Yesterday’s Results
Today’s Games
Standings
Game of the Day
Yesterday’s Home Runs

You can always find the most recent THT Daily at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/content/thtdaily/ and an archive at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/thtdaily_index/

Player News

Player Headlines are courtesy of Rotoworld

Scott Lewis allowed just three hits over eight shutout innings to win his major league debut on Wednesday night. The 24-year-old southpaw, who has spent the last three years battling injuries, was 8-4 with a 2.40 ERA between Double- and Triple-A this season. Wednesday's solid performance was against the Orioles, who have scored the sixth-most runs in baseball this season. Lewis struck out three and didn't allow a walk on the night, but he's still a risky start against Minnesota next time out.

Fred Lewis will undergo season-ending surgery on Friday to remove a bunion from his right foot. Lewis has been playing with the problem, but since he'll need 3-4 months to pull off a complete recovery from surgery, the Giants felt it was best for him to have the procedure now, guaranteeing that he'd be ready for spring training. Lewis is likely to enter 2009 as the Giants' primary left fielder. Nate Schierholtz should play pretty regularly in his place for the rest of September.

Yesterday’s Results

Game recaps provided by Craig Calcaterra of Shysterball.

Angels 4, Yankees 2: And that's a wrap, folks! Angels win the AL West. I know the suspense was killing you. By the reckoning of this article from a few years back, the Angels' clinch would be the fifth earliest by date in the 162-game era, following the 1975 Reds (September 7th), 1999 Indians (8th), 1998 Yankees (9th), and the 2002 Braves (9th). Of course, there are still those 1994 Montreal Expos deadenders who insist that they were somehow the NL East champs that year. If you follow their logic, that clinch occurred on August 11th.

Rays 4, Red Sox 2: Lasting as long as it did, the experience of watching this game was kind of like watching the extra innings of the All-Star Game this year, except (1) this was exciting instead of boring; (2) the players were better in this one; and (3) it mattered. I don't think I'm alone -- and I don't mean to slight the Angels or White Sox or Twins when I say this -- that at this moment I am hoping against hope that this is the ALCS preview.

Giants 4, Diamondbacks 3
: You can't stop Eugenio Velez, you can only hope to contain him. To be honest, the only thing that bothers me about this nightmare skid on which the Dbacks find themselves is that it's going to cause Marty and Thom Brennaman to claim victory in the Adam Dunn-is-cancer wars.

Marlins 7, Phillies 3: Someone noted to Charlie Manuel after the game that this time last year Philadelphia was six games out yet still came back to win the division. Manuel: "I think the difference is, last year we were hot. We had enough pitching to get through. We were energetic. We had life. We really got after it." I like how he buries the one objective fact -- the Phillies pitching ain't getting it done this year -- among three empty, subjective statements about being hot or what have you. The take away for the casual listener is that things just aren't clicking. That the magic isn't there. The message to the more in-tune members of the audience -- say, reporters who may slam him or management who may scapegoat him -- is that he's been given a boatload of dead and ineffective arms.

Mets 13, Nats 10: Speaking of not having enough pitching to get through . . .

Indians 7, Orioles 1: I had to make a decision between watching this game and watching the Rays-Red Sox. Which do you think I chose? Kelly Shoppach hit a couple of home runs and now stands at .272/.346/.534 on the season. I presume, therefore, that he's going to be behind the plate and Victor Martinez at 1B on opening day 2009? Maybe Martinez won't even be around?

Brewers 4, Reds 3: Splitting 2-2 with the Padres and then losing two in a row to Cincinnati is an excellent way to let the Phillies overtake you for the wild card. They righted the ship behind the big man last night, but now they face seven games against Philadelphia and Chicago. If the 2008 season is going to end happily for Brewers fans, they will be able to point to multiple high points throughout the season. If it ends in tears, it will be because of something that happens over the next seven nights.

Mariners 8, Rangers 7: Ichiro goes 4 for 5, bringing himself to within ten hits of his eighth straight 200-hit season. That's great and all, and I'm sure we'll see some complimentary articles about him when he does it, but Ichiro is having his worst season as a Major Leaguer. If he does get to 200, he will have posted among the 20 worst all-time OPSs for a player with 200 hits in a season.

Braves 9, Rockies 5: So this James Parr fellow has me excited, seeing as though he is now scoreless in his first two Major League starts. He wasn't on any of the top 10 or top 20 Braves' prospects lists last spring -- and probably still shouldn't be based on the OK, but nothing special performances he put up in AA and AAA this year -- but Braves fans will latch onto anything right now, even if it's a low gas righty who has never posted a sub-3 ERA at any level.

A's 5, Tigers 2: Sean Gallagher gives up no runs and no hits, but has to leave after four because he walked six guys and struck out six more, throwing 88 pitches in his first start since coming off of some shoulder rehab. That's a pretty funky line.

White Sox 6, Blue Jays 5: Roy Halladay gives up five runs on nine hits and loses the game. Now, can we please stop all of the "but Halladay is the better pitcher than Cliff Lee" arguments? We know he has been in the past. I would assume he will be in the future. But in 2008, he simply cannot be said to be better than Cliff Lee unless one resorts to some pretty anti-Occam arguments.

Twins 7, Royals 1: More BR-PI fun! Barring some blunder with the query terms -- which often happens when I'm pretending to be a statistical analyst -- it looks like unless Jimmy Gobble goes on a dominant run, he is going to finish the year with the highest ever ERA for a reliever who has pitched in more than 35 games in a season. Right now he's at 10.21, and there's no one even close to him.

Astros 7, Pirates 4: Any time Andy LaRoche (16 for 103 since being traded to Pittsburgh) wants to start hitting and prove all of us who slammed the Dodgers for not playing him earlier in the season right, well, he can be my guest.

Dodgers 7, Padres 2: Manny Ramirez has done everything asked of him and more since coming to Los Angeles. Two homers and four RBI last night. A 1.200+ OPS. A 3.5 game lead in the division.

Cubs 4, Cardinals 3: Ted Lilly pitches eight strong innings, giving up one run on five hits and striking out five. While he's at it, he plows into one of the drones from the Molina collective, knocking him out of the game. But listen, and understand: more Molinas are out there. They can't be bargained with. They can't be reasoned with. They don't feel pity, or remorse, or fear. And they absolutely will not stop, ever, until there is one on every Major League roster.

You can download a compact version of yesterday's boxscores from Heater Magazine.

First Inning's Major and Minor League Daily Reports:
{embed="pageblocks/FirstInning_Team_Lookup"}

Today’s Games

National League
 ---------------
 Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 PM
  (R) Ben Sheets (13-7) vs. (L) Jamie Moyer (13-7)
 Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves, 7:10 PM
  (R) Ubaldo Jimenez (10-12) vs. (R) Jair Jurrjens (12-9)
 Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros, 8:05 PM
  (L) Zach Duke (5-13) vs. (R) Roy Oswalt (14-9)
 Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:15 PM
  (R) Rich Harden (4-1) vs. (R) Todd Wellemeyer (12-6)
 San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres, 10:05 PM
  (R) Matt Cain (8-11) vs. (R) Josh Geer (1-0)
 
 American League
 ---------------
 Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins, 1:10 PM
  (R) Brandon Duckworth (2-1) vs. (L) Francisco Liriano (5-3)
 Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 PM
  (L) Zach Jackson (0-2) vs. (R) Brian Bass (3-4)
 Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox, 8:11 PM
  (R) Shaun Marcum (8-6) vs. (R) Gavin Floyd (15-6)
 Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 PM
  (R) Dustin Nippert (2-4) vs. (L) Dallas Braden (5-3)
 Seattle Mariners at LA Angels of Anaheim, 10:05 PM
  (R) Brandon Morrow (2-2) vs. (R) Jered Weaver (10-10)

Standings

The graphics next to each team are called "sparklines.” They depict each team’s performance over the last month. Each "up" bar is a victory and a "down" bar is a loss. There are horizontal lines for home games and red bars represent games decided by two runs or less. "PWins" is short for Projected Wins, based on each team’s Run Differential, and is often a better measure of a team’s true strength. Other team graphs and stats can be found on our Team Page.
American League East        Pwins  Diff
TB      87  57 .604    0.0   81     6    sparkline graph
BOS     85  60 .586    2.5   88    -3    sparkline graph
TOR     78  67 .538    9.5   83    -5    sparkline graph
NYA     77  69 .527   11.0   76     1    sparkline graph
BAL     64  80 .444   23.0   67    -3    sparkline graph
American League Central     
CHA     81  64 .559    0.0   81     0    sparkline graph
MIN     80  65 .552    1.0   81    -1    sparkline graph
CLE     71  73 .493    9.5   76    -5    sparkline graph
DET     70  76 .479   11.5   72    -2    sparkline graph
KC      61  83 .424   19.5   58     3    sparkline graph
American League West        
LAA     88  57 .607    0.0   79     9    sparkline graph
TEX     71  75 .486   17.5   67     4    sparkline graph
OAK     67  78 .462   21.0   69    -2    sparkline graph
SEA     57  87 .396   30.5   61    -4    sparkline graph


National League East        Pwins  Diff
NYN     82  63 .566    0.0   81     1    sparkline graph
PHI     79  67 .541    3.5   82    -3    sparkline graph
FLA     74  72 .507    8.5   70     4    sparkline graph
ATL     64  82 .438   18.5   70    -6    sparkline graph
WAS     56  90 .384   26.5   57    -1    sparkline graph
National League Central     
CHN     87  58 .600    0.0   90    -3    sparkline graph
MIL     83  63 .568    4.5   80     3    sparkline graph
HOU     79  67 .541    8.5   72     7    sparkline graph
STL     78  67 .538    9.0   78     0    sparkline graph
CIN     66  80 .452   21.5   64     2    sparkline graph
PIT     60  85 .414   27.0   59     1    sparkline graph
National League West        
LAN     75  71 .514    0.0   76    -1    sparkline graph
ARI     71  74 .490    3.5   73    -2    sparkline graph
COL     67  79 .459    8.0   67     0    sparkline graph
SF      65  80 .448    9.5   61     4    sparkline graph
SD      56  90 .384   19.0   61    -5    sparkline graph


Wildcard Standings
American League             
BOS     85  60 .586    0.0
MIN     80  65 .552    5.0
TOR     78  67 .538    7.0
NYA     77  69 .527    8.5
CLE     71  73 .493   13.5
National League             
MIL     83  63 .568    0.0
PHI     79  67 .541    4.0
HOU     79  67 .541    4.0
STL     78  67 .538    4.5
FLA     74  72 .507    9.0

Game of the Day

Rays 4, Red Sox 2 - FINAL

TAMPA BAY              ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
A Iwamura 2b            7  1  2  0   0  0   0  .280
D Johnson lf            2  0  0  0   1  1   1  .250
 va-R Baldelli ph-lf    4  1  1  0   0  1   0  .296
 J Ruggiano lf          0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .186
C Pena 1b               6  1  2  3   1  3   1  .247
C Floyd dh              3  1  1  0   0  1   3  .274
 vb-B Zobrist ph-dh     2  0  1  0   2  0   0  .220
W Aybar 3b              6  0  2  1   1  1   1  .258
E Hinske rf             3  0  0  0   0  2   2  .246
 F Perez cf             2  0  0  0   1  0   1  .154
D Navarro c             6  0  1  0   0  3   6  .297
G Gross cf-rf           6  0  1  0   0  1   5  .245
J Bartlett ss           5  0  1  0   1  1   1  .280

Totals                 52  4 12  4   7 14  21   ###

BOSTON                 ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
J Ellsbury cf           7  1  1  0   0  1   6  .262
D Pedroia 2b            4  0  2  1   1  0   0  .328
D Ortiz dh              4  0  0  0   2  1   4  .265
K Youkilis 1b           3  0  0  1   2  1   3  .313
J Bay lf                7  0  0  0   0  3   7  .299
M Lowell 3b             3  0  0  0   1  1   1  .275
 A Cora pr-ss           3  0  0  0   0  0   4  .288
M Kotsay rf             6  0  1  0   0  1   2  .261
J Lowrie ss-3b          5  1  2  0   1  2   1  .275
J Varitek c             3  0  1  0   0  0   1  .226
 C Crisp pr             0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .290
 K Cash c               0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .230
 ha-C Carter ph         1  0  1  0   0  0   0  .750
 D Ross c               2  0  0  0   0  1   2  .250

Totals                 48  2  8  2   7 11  31   ###

----------------------------------------------------
    TAMPA BAY       - 010 000 000 000 03  --   4 12 2
    BOSTON          - 001 000 000 000 01  --   2  8 0
----------------------------------------------------

va-lined out to third for D Johnson in the 7th;  vb-walked for C Floyd in the 
8th;  ha-singled to left for K Cash in the 9th.

BATTING: 2B - A Iwamura (30, J Beckett); J Bartlett (21, J Beckett); C Pena 
(21, H Okajima); G Gross (12, M Delcarmen); B Zobrist (6, J Lopez); D Pedroia 2 
(47, C Bradford, A Sonnanstine); J Lowrie (20, A Sonnanstine); J Ellsbury (16, 
T Percival). 3B - W Aybar (2, J Beckett). HR - C Pena (28, 14th inning off M 
Timlin 2 on, 2 Out). S - D Ortiz. SF - K Youkilis. RBI - W Aybar (28), C Pena 3 
(88), D Pedroia (78), K Youkilis (100). 2-out RBI - C Pena 3, D Pedroia. 
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out - C Pena 1, C Floyd 2, G Gross 3, J 
Bartlett 1, D Navarro 1, A Cora 2, D Ortiz 2, J Bay 1, J Ellsbury 2. GIDP - F 
Perez, J Ellsbury, K Youkilis. Team LOB - TAMPA BAY 13, BOSTON 16. BASERUNNING: 
CS - J Bartlett (6, 2nd base by J Masterson/K Cash). FIELDING: E - J Bartlett 
(14, throw); A Iwamura (7, catch). DP:  (A Iwamura-J Bartlett-C Pena, J 
Bartlett-A Iwamura-C Pena, A Cora-D Pedroia-K Youkilis). 

TAMPA BAY                    ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
A Sonnanstine                 7       4   1   0   0   7   0   4.47
D Wheeler                     1       0   0   0   1   0   0   2.70
G Balfour                     1       1   0   0   1   1   0   1.63
C Bradford                    1       1   0   0   1   0   0   2.02
J Howell                      2       1   0   0   2   2   0   2.44
T Miller (W, 2-0)             1       0   0   0   0   0   0   4.26
T Percival                    0       1   1   1   2   0   0   5.01
J Hammel (S, 1)               1       0   0   0   0   1   0   4.64

BOSTON                       ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
J Beckett                     6       6   1   1   2   7   0   4.10
H Okajima                     1       1   0   0   1   0   0   2.88
J Masterson                   2       0   0   0   2   2   0   3.12
M Delcarmen                   2       1   0   0   0   2   0   3.64
J Lopez                       2 1/3   1   0   0   1   2   0   2.56
M Timlin (L, 4-4)               2/3   3   3   3   1   1   1   6.09

H Okajima pitched to 2 batters in the 8th.
T Percival pitched to 3 batters in the 14th.

IBB - F Perez (by J Masterson), D Ortiz (by C Bradford). HBP - K Youkilis (by 
A Sonnanstine); D Pedroia 2 (by A Sonnanstine, J Howell). Pitches-strikes: A 
Sonnanstine 96-64; D Wheeler 17-9; G Balfour 21-13; C Bradford 12-8; J Howell 
37-19; T Miller 7-6; T Percival 11-3; J Hammel 14-7; J Beckett 84-55; H Okajima 
22-12; J Masterson 30-15; M Delcarmen 27-21; J Lopez 31-16; M Timlin 19-10. 
Ground balls-fly balls: A Sonnanstine 7-8; D Wheeler 1-2; G Balfour 1-1; C 
Bradford 3-0; J Howell 2-2; T Miller 0-3; T Percival 0-0; J Hammel 0-2; J 
Beckett 5-6; H Okajima 2-1; J Masterson 2-1; M Delcarmen 3-1; J Lopez 5-0; M 
Timlin 1-0. Batters faced: A Sonnanstine 28; D Wheeler 4; G Balfour 5; C 
Bradford 4; J Howell 10; T Miller 3; T Percival 3; J Hammel 3; J Beckett 26; H 
Okajima 5; J Masterson 7; M Delcarmen 7; J Lopez 8; M Timlin 6. IRS - J Hammel. 
UMPIRES: HP--Dan Iassogna. 1B--Ron Kulpa. 2B--Dale Scott. 3B--Mark Wegner.   
T--5:02. Att--38,114. Weather: 68 degrees, partly cloudy. Wind: 9 mph, left to 
right.

The following graph tracks the game's Win Probability, courtesy of Fan Graphs. You can also view live WPA graphs at Fangraphs during any ballgame all season long.

image

Yesterday’s Home Runs

The following stats are provided by Hit Tracker, which logs the projected “true” distance of each home run (if it were to land uninterrupted at field level) and its "standard" distance, which is corrected for weather conditions. Each homer is also categorized into one of three types: Just Enough (JE) for homers that cleared the fence by ten feet or less, Plenty (PL) for those that were sure home runs but not “blasts,” and No Doubt (ND) for true “blasts”—homers that cleared the fence by at least 20 feet and landed at least 50 feet beyond the fence.
Hitter                Team    Pitcher              Team   True   Stnd.  # Type
Hank Blalock          TEX     Jake Woods           SEA     379    364   4  ND
Nelson Cruz           TEX     Jared Wells          SEA     399    389   4  PL/L
Jack Cust             OAK     Armando Galarraga    DET     363    378  28  JE
Chris Davis           TEX     Miguel Batista       SEA     415    392  15  ND
Stephen Drew          ARI     Brad Hennessey       SF      421    409  17  PL
Elijah Dukes          WAS     Mike Pelfrey         NYM     432    425  11  ND
Luis Gonzalez         FLA     Brett Myers          PHI     388    387   8  ND
Cristian Guzman       WAS     Aaron Heilman        NYM     393    413   9  PL
Cristian Guzman       WAS     Brian Stokes         NYM     388    407   8  PL
Jerry Hairston        CIN     C.C. Sabathia        MIL     378    401   3  PL
Ryan Howard           PHI     Ricky Nolasco        FLA     417    416  42  ND
Kelly Johnson         ATL     Livan Hernandez      COL     422    409  11  PL
Kelly Johnson         ATL     Luis Vizcaino        COL     391    382  10  ND
Chipper Jones         ATL     Luis Vizcaino        COL     421    411  21  PL
Adam LaRoche          PIT     Brian Moehler        HOU     418    417  18  JE
James Loney           LAD     Shawn Estes          SD      417    410  12  ND
Ryan Ludwick          STL     Kerry Wood           CHC     402    400  33  JE
Carlos Pena           TB      Mike Timlin          BOS     341    360  28  JE
Hunter Pence          HOU     Tom Gorzelanny       PIT     424    422  22  PL
Manny Ramirez         LAD     Shawn Estes          SD      424    424  33  PL
Manny Ramirez         LAD     Dirk Hayhurst        SD      410    410  32  JE
Alex Rios             TOR     Octavio Dotel        CWS     382    380  14  PL
Kelly Shoppach        CLE     Chris Waters         BAL     344    345  19  JE
Kelly Shoppach        CLE     Randor Bierd         BAL     399    397  18  PL
Ian Stewart           COL     Blaine Boyer         ATL     408    398   9  JE/L
Ryan Sweeney          OAK     Armando Galarraga    DET     407    396   5  ND
Taylor Teagarden      TEX     Jared Wells          SEA     387    396   4  PL
Miguel Tejada         HOU     Jose Bautista        PIT     396    394  13  PL
David Wright          NYM     Joel Hanrahan        WAS     404    421  28  PL

Access THT’s stats here…
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