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Shyster's Daily Circuit


Baseball. Blogging. Whenever.

Thursday, April 02, 2009

Knuckleballers: 1, Earthlings: 0


Purveyors of the knuckly arts are, above all else, survivors:

Scott Baker’s Opening Night assignment has been called off. And so has the Philip Humber-R.A. Dickey roster competition.

The right-hander was placed on the disabled list today after he experienced some stiffness in his right shoulder while pitching against Class AAA Norfolk on Wednesday.

Baker will be replaced Monday night at the Metrodome against the Seattle Mariners by Francisco Liriano, who receives the first Opening Day assignment of his career.

Liriano will be followed by Nick Blackburn on Tuesday, then Kevin Slowey and Glen Perkins. Friday’s starter in Chicago figures to be Dickey, whose quest for a roster spot has been successful, at least until Baker returns.

Or until the cold-blooded assassin that is R.A. Dickey decides to off another member of the rotation in order to maintain his place. Nick Blackburn: consider yourself warned.

(link via BTF)

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 2:11pm

Pitch Count Porn


Last year the San Francisco Chronicle's Bruce Jenkins ran a two-part piece in which he argued that teams should put more thought into their pitch counts, developing evaluation systems and protocols to determine when a pitcher is truly getting tired rather than simply impose a hard number of pitches on everyone. That's actually a pretty good idea, I think, though the fact that Jenkins couched it all in terms of the alleged problem of the vanishing complete game had me wondering whether he was simply substituting one arbitrary standard (CGs) for another (pitch counts).

Be that as it may, today Jenkins runs a series of pitch count factoids that couldn't fit in his original article, and boy howdy are they fun:

In a 16-inning, complete-game win against Baltimore in 1962, Washington's Tom Cheney threw 228 pitches.

[Nolan] Ryan, known as much for his walks as his strikeouts, routinely approached 200 pitches in a career that spanned 27 years, 222 complete games and 5,386 innings pitched. In 1974, according to beat writers in attendance, Ryan threw 259 pitches in a 12-inning win over Kansas City.

Lots more there. The kind of stuff that would make Rany Jazayerli cringe and Dusty Baker say "damn!"

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 1:39pm

The New A’s Ballpark


With the recent escalation in A's relocation/ballpark news, it's important to remember that generalists like me are dilettantes at best. Any time there's an issue of any complexity, the blogosphere produces a focused star to really jam on it, and the star with respect to the A's relocation drama is the New A's Ballpark blog, written by a fellow named Marine Layer (I think that's a Scotch/Romanian name). If you care a lick about the issue, that's the place to bookmark and refresh obsessively.

Lots of good posts there, including a nice graphic superimposing the last Cisco Field diagram over a map of the most likely San Jose building site. The FAQ is also necessary reading for anyone who wants to talk intelligently about all of this.

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 11:45am

Will Barry Bonds get the Ted Stevens treatment?


One of the bulwarks of the American justice system is that the ends of a prosecution -- putting someone away for doing something wrong -- do not necessarily justify the means of doing so. In fact, I would argue that the means are often more important than the ends, particularly in high profile cases which shape citizens' impressions of our legal system. Because the power of the state is so great and its impact on the lives of its citizens so potentially devestating, I would rather see a guilty person go free than law enforcement or prosecutorial misconduct be rewarded or legitimized. The new Attorney General apparently agrees with me:

The Justice Department moved on Wednesday to drop all charges against former Senator Ted Stevens of Alaska, who lost his seat last year just days after being convicted on seven felony counts of ethics violations. The case was one of the most high profile and bitterly fought in a string of corruption investigations into current and former members of Congress. But Justice Department lawyers told a federal court Wednesday that they had discovered a new instance of prosecutorial misconduct, on top of earlier disclosures that had raised questions about the way the case was handled, and asked that the convictions be voided.

The attorney general, Eric H. Holder Jr., said he would not seek a new trial.

I didn't follow the Stevens case all that closely, but my sense of things was that the withheld evidence was not necessarily anything that would exonerate Stevens, even if it was stuff that the defense could have used to attack the witnesses against Stevens. Put differently, Stevens may still very well have broken the ethics' laws, but the government has made the judgment that they're willing to let the conviction drop because the process of obtaining it was obviously tainted.

Hmm, where have we heard this before . . .?

Mr. Novitzky’s detractors, mainly the defendants and their lawyers, say he is biased and unfair. They say he has a vendetta against Mr. Bonds, is seeking fame and financial gain from the case, and puts words into suspects’ mouths. They say he has lied in sworn reports, including on the initial search warrant affidavit that kick-started the investigation of the Bay Area Laboratory Co-Operative and its many famous clients.

Since May, Mr. Bonds’s lawyer, Michael Rains, has accused Mr. Novitzky of lying in the court documents used to obtain much of the evidence gathered against Mr. Bonds, according to letters obtained by The New York Times. Mr. Novitzky’s credibility, motives and methods have been the subject of correspondence between Mr. Rains and the United States attorney’s office in San Francisco.

Those accusations against Novitzsky are old, and they have not derailed the case -- bad evidence and Greg Anderson's refusal to testify have done that -- but it's worth noting that the misconduct of the Stevens' prosecutors did not prevent that case from going to trial either. There, as in most tainted prosecutions, the scrutiny came later.

The Bonds' prosecutors has bought some time by appealing the judge's evidence ruling. In light of the U-turn on the Stevens case, however, one wonders if, in addition to researching and writing an appellate brief, they also aren't reflecting on whether the whole enterprise is worth the trouble in the first place.

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 10:50am

Follow the Money


We've gone over this about 1,378 times already, but guys like Wallace Matthews insist on saying that Joba Chamberlain would be more valuable in the bullpen than he would be in the rotation. Thankfully, Jason takes him to task, once again deploying the principle behind the name of his blog to good effect:

With all due respect, I think Matthews is nuts. There are so many ways to dissect this, but I will stick to my basic mantra: Follow the money.

Top starters signed this off-season:

CC Sabathia, NYY, 7 years, $161 million
AJ Burnett, NYY, 5 years, $82.5 million
Derek Lowe, ATL, 4 years, $60 million

Top closers/set-up men signed this off-season:

Frankie Rodriguez, NYM, 3 years, $36 million
Kyle Farnsworth, KCR, 2 years, $9.25 million (sorry, I had to include him)

Follow the money. If closers (or, gasp) set-up men were so valuable, they'd be signing the big contracts. But it's the horses in the rotation that pull the sled and are paid accordingly.

I suppose Matthews' response to that could be the same: "Why do I continue to write the same column over and over despite the fact that its thesis has been refuted time and time again? Hey, it's about the money, stupid."

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 10:15am

New Food in Chicago


I'm not a big eater at ballgames. I almost always eat something elsewhere before going into the ballpark, so if I do get something during the game it's usually a hot dog just for the hell of it or some peanuts to munch on or, if it's really hot, maybe a small dish of ice cream or something. Most of the time though I'm just having a beer or ten. Certainly nothing like these new offerings at the Chicago ballparks:

At the Cell, Illinois Sport Service will unveil build-your-own-burrito (or nacho grande) kiosks on the upper and lower decks; fans will be able to choose a meat (chicken or beef) and select from a wide range of toppings for $7-$8. At the various grill stations in the park, the menus will be augmented by a half-pound turkey burger on a multigrain roll ($6.25) . . .

. . . On the North Side, Levy Restaurants will be adding a few new dishes. The Northside Twist (so new it doesn't have a price yet) is a 4-pound pretzel served in a pizza box with three mustard dipping sauces; it feeds three to five fans. At the Sheffield Grill, there will be chicken and barbecue pork Quasi-dillas ($7), and footlong Buffalo dogs with Buffalo-wing dipping sauce and blue cheese slaw ($6.75).

You can't swing a dead cat in Chicago without finding all kinds of awesome food, so why on earth would I subject myself to a four pound pretzel or a Buffalo dog? A ballgame is three hours on the outside. If you can't go that long without a big honkin' meal, you got some problems.

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 9:35am

The New Parks


The New York Times has an overview of the retro-stadium craze of the past couple of decades, with particular attention paid to some of the parks' unique particularities:

The quirky signatures at older stadiums — like the Green Monster at Fenway Park in Boston — were adaptations to their narrow confines. But idiosyncrasies like Tal’s Hill are driven by the urge to be original.

“Teams want something that is memorable about the building because it’s broadcast to the fans,” said Earl Santee, a senior principal at Populous, formerly known as HOK Sport, the Kansas City, Mo.-based architect that has designed many of the retro ballparks. “The fans want to say, ‘That’s my building.’ ”

Which kind of describes my biggest complaint with some of the newer places. The character that the old parks were so noted for took decades to develop, and were often happy accidents resulting from form following function. Building a new ballpark with these kinds of anachronistic flourishes is kind of like building a new office building with a mooring station for Zeppelins. Interesting, sure, but kind of silly and unnecessary if you think about it for more than five minutes.

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 9:03am

The Giants mark their territory


Back when I was in private practice, I represented a park district that wanted to turn some old railroad lines in the middle of nowhere into a bike trail. They built about 85% of the trail, but the last little stretch was held up by this group of Mennonite farmers who lived next to the right-of-way and claimed the land where the tracks used to be was theirs. "How could that be," I wondered? The railroad had tracks on that property since the 19th century, and they gave the tracks directly to my client. The Mennonites, however, had all manner of questionable and ancient legal documents which they claimed their great great great something or other had reserved the rights if the railroad ever left, yadda, yadda, yadda. I read these things, quickly figured out that, while it could be a pain, we could get that land for the bike trail if we were determined enough to do it.

Right before I filed my lawsuit to quiet title, the Mennonites parked a mobile home on the right of way and claimed they were home schooling a bunch of Mennonite farmer kids there, which immediately turned us into the bad guys and complicated my little lawsuit. Five years later, and I think the Mennonites have moved on to consulting with the San Francisco Giants:

Amid a threat to their territorial rights in Santa Clara County, the Giants are moving to fortify their baseball outpost in the region.

The major league club has reached agreement to purchase a 25 percent stake in their Single-A minor league affiliate in San Jose, club and industry officials told the Mercury News.

The club will hold a news conference at Municipal Stadium on Thursday to announce the transaction, which includes an option to gain a controlling interest in 2010 by purchasing an additional 30 percent.

"The South Bay is a major part of our operation and this reinforces that," San Francisco Giants president Larry Baer said. "We have fans, sponsors and baseball history there that runs deep. It was a logical extension of who we are and what we do."

According to baseball officials, the purchase will not enhance or alter the legality of the San Francisco Giants' territorial rights to Santa Clara County; the A's are known to be eyeing the region in their longstanding efforts to build a new stadium.

Lots of great reporting in this one, including the mayor of San Jose snubbing the Giants' little news conference tomorrow and some choice quotes from a San Jose city councilman (a) noting how curious it is that the Giants care about San Jose all of a sudden; and (b) why, if the Giants truly had planned on making this investment for years as they claim, they allowed the city to pony up for renovations to San Jose's stadium before buying into the team. Are the Giants calculating or are they cheap? Maybe both!

My guess: the Giants are doing whatever they can to bolster their claim to the territory in advance of the report from Bud's Magic Oakland Committee. Maybe not with an eye towards ultimately blocking the A's from moving to San Jose -- I can't exactly see how they legally and/or practically could do that -- but to maximize the payoff they'll get from Selig and the A's when they ultimately drop their opposition.

Will it work? Well, in my case we got the Mennonite "school" off the property and there's a bike trail there now. But I gotta tell ya: it was a hell of a lot more protracted and expensive an experience than anyone thought it would be.

(thanks to reader Ed T. for the heads up)

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 8:00am

Living in the 90th Percentile


Writing from the future -- November of this year to be exact -- The OC Register's Sam Miller has fun with the 90th percentile of the PECOTA projections for the Angels:

Nobody would have ever believed the Angels would win 120 games – a new Major League record – but with no holes in the lineup, they had the highest team OBP since the 1999 Indians, and easily outslugged that Cleveland team. Like the '99 Tribe, the Angels scored 1,000 runs. Combine that with the team's 3.27 ERA (easily the best in baseball), and the Angels allowed only 580 runs. In fact, the geniuses would note that a team with 1,000 runs scored, and 580 runs allowed, would actually be projected to win 121 games, but the 2009 Angels got a bit unlucky.

Next week Sam will write again from November 2009, this time explaining how a 120-42 team managed to lose in the first round to the Red Sox.

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 7:30am

Player Merch


This is different:

The Major League Baseball Players Association on Friday will open its first retail outlet devoted to selling player-only merchandise.

The store, which will be inside Citi Field and be operated by Aramark, is an attempt to boost licensing revenue for the union and to promote star players, much as the N.B.A. and other leagues have done. The outlet will be called The Players Clubhouse: A Players Choice Store and is being billed by the union as a prototype for future retail stores . . .

. . . “The intention is not to block out New York Mets logos,” Heeter said. But “fans believe the players are their connection to the games and they want to keep jerseys of their favorite players” . . . Sports industry analysts say fans increasingly follow players more than their teams because they switch teams so frequently. The union is trying to make the most of that trend, it said.

“You don’t necessarily grow up a Mets fan, but a David Wright fan, and your affinity changes when he changes teams,” said Dan Migala, director of the Graduate School of Sports Business at Northwestern University. “People are there to support the Mets, but also David.”

I'm highly dubious of that last part. Outside of maybe Jackie Robinson, I can't think of a single player with an independent fan base like NBA players often have (and I don't know that people's appreciation of Robinson is the kind of "fandom" we're talking about here as much as it is an appreciation). David Wright has been adopted by Mets fans because he's their young star third baseman. If he ever leaves for, say, the Cardinals or something, Mets fans will retain some affection for him, but nothing approaching anything you'd call fandom, especially not the brand of fandom that inspires one to continue to wear merchandise with his name on it. Indeed, the majority of Mets' Wright fans would put their Wright stuff away and latch on to the next big Mets player.

So good luck with the David Wright shirts, MLBPA, but I have this feeling that the purveyors of team-branded merchandise are not too worried about it.

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 7:00am

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