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February 11, 2012
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Monday, November 23, 2009Mauer PowerPop quiz, hot shot: There's a catcher who wins the Gold Glove, the batting title and leads the league in on base and slugging percentage. What do you call him?MVP. That is, unless you're the (presumably) Detroit-area voter who put Miguel Cabrera in front of Mauer in first place, costing him the unanimous MVP. Same dude who voted Verlander over Greinke for the Cy Young award? If so, is it time to investigate whether this city-by-city system is the best way to go? UPDATE: Ken Davidoff Tweets that it was Keizo Konishi of Kyodo News, based in Seattle, who voted Miguel Cabrera first. I can think of no worldly justification for voting Cabrera ahead of either Mauer or Jeter for that matter, so I eagerly await Mr. Konishi's explanation. Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 2:24pm Comments
bk said...
i agree that Mauer should have been unanimous MVP, but you shouldn’t make comments even if you add the words presumably, when you’re not talking about theory. all you had to do was spend a few mins searching for it, and you’d find who was the guy who didn’t vote for Mauer. Posted 11/24 at 11:04 PM
Michael said...
lookatthosetwins- It means the Twins had more support around Mauer. Yes, he had great numbers, but he did also have more support around him than Cabrera did. If Miguel Cabrera isn’t on the Tigers, the Tigers are well out of the race, given their offense would have been equivalent to the Kansas City Royals. The Twins, if they didn’t have Mauer, would still have a pretty solid trio in Morneau (he did play for all but the last two weeks), Kubel, and Cuddyer. Both players had great seasons, Mauers’ was much better. I also found it interesting how nobody really viewed the month missed by Mauer as a “negative”, while Pujols lost his MVP in 2006 to Howard because of being on the DL for a couple weeks, despite also putting up ridiculous numbers. Seems hypocritical to me, especially hypocritical to call for Mauer to deserve the unanimous vote. Posted 11/24 at 11:25 PM
lookatthosetwins said...
I still don’t understand what that has to do with anything. Did the support around him make his contributions less valuable? Absolutely not. In fact, his high on base percentage was MORE valuable, because he had guys to drive him in. From a statistical viewpoint, a high OBP guy is always more valuable in a better lineup, especially when he’s hitting before the good players. Having a good lineup may have affected his runs scored and RBIS, etc. but using those to decide an MVP is downright silly anyway. I’m sure the main argument is that he was “protected” by those guys, and therefore saw better pitches. Any research done on the subject has shown no effect to having a better hitter hit behind you. Even if you disregard that and say that it does happen in some cases, I don’t see how you can say it happened in this case. Mauer walked in 12.7% of his plate appearances this year, right in line with his career mark of 12.7%. He had just as many intentional walks (14) as Cabrera. Even if he WAS protected somewhat, I’m not sure that that would make him a better hitter. Joe Mauer doesn’t swing at balls. If they pitch around him, he’ll just walk. All that would happen is his walk rate would go up (it didn’t!) and his counting stats would take a slight hit. Overall, this would most likely raise his OPS. As far as his missing time, that really isn’t an issue, because of the huge difference in offensive production. Look at the counting stats from Mauer and Cabrera for the year (I stole this from Dave at Fangraphs). Singles: Mauer +2 So you see, pretty similar seasons. Cabrera has a few more homeruns, but even despite the missed time, only 6, and only 7 more hits total, with 8 less walks. All in all, he they were on base basically the exact amount of times despite the fact that Mauer missed a month. The only real difference here, is that Cabrera has 87(!) more outs than Mauer. So basically, for their season lines to be the same, instead of missing a month, Mauer would have had to hit 6 more home runs, 4 more doubles, somehow manage to have negative walks, singles, and triples, and make 87 outs. I think we can safely say that his missing month was not enough to put him on the level of Cabrera. Not even close. Ok, so Even if you ignore ALL of that, and somehow conclude that Cabrera is Mauer’s equal offensively, they STILL aren’t close in terms of overall value. Cabrera is an average defensive first basemen. Mauer is a great catcher. The difference in value there is enormous. Not only is it really hard to find a guy with the skills to be a good catcher, playing catcher wears down a body enough to make it harder to be productive offensively. The average 1b hit .272/.369/.470 last year. The average catcher hit .254/.327/.396. That’s a pretty gigantic difference. For reference, Joe Mauer was .111/.117/.191 better than an average catcher. Cabrera was .52/.27/.77 better than an average first basemen. Again, not even close. You talk about the great players that Mauer has around him, but forget the fact that he’s partially responsible for them being there! The fact that he can play catcher opens up first and DH for guys like Morneau and Kubel; that’s why him playing catcher is so important. If Cabrera could play catcher, they could have gotten rid of Laird’s ugly line and played guys like Raburn and Thomas every day, or signed a power hitting first basemen. The position a player plays cannot be ignored when talking about value. Well, I think this has been about long enough. Let’s recap quick, and then I’ll be done. I promise. Basically, in order for you to even put Cabrera at the same level as Mauer you need to: If you want to argue with any of those specific points, thats fine. But in order to vote Cabrera for MVP, you’d have to ignore ALL of them, and that would be patently ridiculous. If anyone made it this far, thanks for indulging me. Posted 11/25 at 04:29 AM
lookatthosetwins said...
Just to show that I’m not an unreasonable guy, I will agree with you that Pujols deserved the MVP in ‘06. Posted 11/25 at 04:31 AM
Kevin S. said...
LATT, I think you forgot some zeroes in Miggy’s marginal slash line. Posted 11/25 at 04:11 PM
lookatthosetwins said...
Maybe I did that on purpose. Maybe the wole point of this exercize was to see if anyone would actually read through a post as obnoxiously long as that one. You passed! Or, maybe, I did forget some zeroes. Posted 11/25 at 09:29 PM
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Why is it that the pool of voters for the CY is different than the MVP?