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Baseball. Blogging. Whenever.

Monday, February 09, 2009

Omnibus A-Rod Post

Obviously there was a lot of activity over the weekend, and while the blogosphere is often great at picking up and processing stuff quickly, it's not very good at perspective or organization. So, in the interests of perspective and organization -- with the knowledge that the A-Rod story is really three or four stories wrapped up in one -- I provide this post as one-stop A-Rod steroid story shopping for the day.

Issue #1: How on Earth did this happen?

I touched on this yesterday, but the fact of Rodriguez's test should never have come to light. As Mark Fainaru "thank God steroids are back in the news" Wada reported and many others have noted, the results from the 2003 tests should have been destroyed as soon as the positives had been tallied. They weren't, most likely because Gene Orza or someone at MLBPA either didn't realize or didn't care that trying to protect the test results of ten BALCO people risked the disclosure of the at least 104 non-BALCO people from the 2003 tests. This failure to see the forest for the trees is, in my mind at least, tantamount to malpractice, and someone should be sacked for it. Probably should have been sacked already, but what has happened has happened.

In any event, it is my view that long after the Alex Rodriguez-specific portion of this drama has played itself out with an apology, a press conference, and a .300/.400/.600 season, this episode will be remembered mostly as the first known instance of the MLBPA truly betraying the interests of its own players. That, my friends, will have longer legs than anything else that broke on Saturday.

And of course, let us spare no ill feelings when it comes to whoever in the government leaked this stuff. Look, I don't sit in my study wearing a tinfoil hat all day, but you don't have to be someone like that to wonder why, if the feds have had this information for years, it's only coming out now. To me this leak smells like a calculated and maybe even a vindictive move, designed to thrust the steroid story back into the public eye on the eve of Barry Bonds' trial. I don't like to use the term "witch hunt" because its misuse has long since caused it to lose its real meaning, but it is certainly the case that the federal government's investigation of steroids in professional sports has gotten out of hand, both in terms of the resources spent and in the amount of zeal with which it is apparently being pursued.

Issue #2: What does this mean for baseball?

On one level it means very little. Spring Training will start very soon, and the regular season soon after, and the bulk of this will recede to the point where only wackos like me -- the "chattering classes" as Pete likes to say -- are talking about it. People will forget the idiotic hyperbole that has stunk up the joint over the past 48 hours. People will go to the games to forget how crappy the non-baseball world is right now, and more people will be talking about what Alex Rodriguez is contributing to the pennant drive than what he has contributed to the steroid story. And if you don't believe me, just recall that this time last year we were still bobbing helplessly in the wake of the Mitchell Report and the opening scenes of Roger Clemens' one-man tragedy. The A-Rod story is about one man's acts six years ago. Last year's stuff was about nearly a hundred dudes and high, ongoing drama. It all receded too.

But on the chattering class level, if there is any justice in the world, the A-Rod story will finally put public lie to the notion that the Mitchell Report meant anything. Not to toot my own horn, but I wrote a pretty spiffy little number in this year's Hardball Times Annual about how the Mitchell Report was a PR piece that failed on every level except one: convincing the weak-minded that it approached comprehensiveness or represented finality. How does it look now that it missed the biggest name in baseball when evidence that the biggest name in baseball had used was in the league's possession all along? How can anyone associated with Major League Baseball point to the Mitchell Report as anything other than a historical curiosity when Alex Rodriguez and, presumably, a hundred other ballplayers' names will be leaking out over the coming weeks and months? Guess what? I hate the Mitchell Report, so I'm glad it has had its horse shot out from under it. I know everyone is sick of it by now, but let's have a real blood-letting and really get it behind us, cool?


Issue #3: What does this mean for the Yankees?

Not many people are asking this question, but at least one commenter here was yesterday, and I reprint the way in which he raised the issue for everyone else's consideration:

Above all else, the New York Yankees are a brand. The Mets play baseball, the Red Sox play baseball, and so so the other 27 teams that come through New York City every summer. The only reason people root for the Yankees instead of these other teams is proximity and brand. The last thing that brand needs is nine years of its best player constantly hounded by steroid talk as he gets paid millions in bonus money for hitting #600, #661, #715, #756, and #763.

I took issue with that by noting that the Yankee Brand, such as it is, is about winning lots of freaking baseball games. If the Yankees continue to win lots of freaking baseball games, the brand will not be sullied. Indeed, the only time in living memory when "the Yankee Brand" suffered was between 1965 and 1975 when they couldn't win anything. As for now, if they continue to win lots of freaking baseball games over the next few years, it’ll be because A-Rod has continued to hit the cover off the ball, and if A-Rod is hitting the cover off the ball, people will go back to worrying about (a) the Red Sox; (b) Derek Jeter's clutchiness; and (c) who Rodriguez is sleeping with, all as God intended.

Issue #4: What does this mean for Alex Rodriguez?

As far as career assessments go, I'll leave the heavy lifting to Neyer:

I hope Alex Rodriguez didn't cheat. If we do find out that he cheated, I will wish that he hadn't. But whatever happens, I'm not going to change my opinion that he's a great baseball player. Like many of the greatest players, he'll do whatever it takes to be the best player he can be. For a stretch of five or 10 years -- and yes, perhaps even today still -- being the best player could have meant cheating. Maybe the cheaters were wrong; that's the direction in which I lean, probably because I've got a streak of the moralist in me. But I will not sit idly while great athletes looking for an edge -- not all that different from the many generations before them -- are demonized by the high priests of baseball opinion. I will not.

That's exactly where I sit, and I would hope that come 20 years from now, that's where history will sit too. That instead of blackballing Alex Rodriguez because of steroids, his accomplishments, and the accomplishments of every player in this era, will be judged on a curve, just like we judge pitchers from the 60s and slap-hitters from the 20s and 30s. They're different, and their numbers must be adjusted in some rough way in order for us to find value in them, but they are not illegitimate per se. Indeed, now that A-Rod is out of the PED closet and given that others will no doubt soon follow, maybe we're more likely to get there than we would have had we never learned about this.

Why? Because the more players who are found to have used PEDs, the less accurate it is to say that anyone had an unfair advantage. Sure, on a matchup-by-matchup basis there were users facing non-users, but the caricature of Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens -- juiced up monsters cheating their way across a league of innocents -- grows more ridiculous as each new name surfaces. Many, many ballplayers have used PEDs in recent years. So many, I'd guess, that at some point a blanket presumption of PED use -- as long as it's not accompanied by a blackballing and an excess of moralizing -- should be in order for the players of our age.

If you take such an approach, you will admittedly find fewer heroes and villains, which is sad if you write for a major newspaper, because that's how they seem to like their stories. But it does have the benefit of, you know, matching the reality which holds in the rest of our gray and ambiguous world.

And if you don't? If you demonize and hyperbolize like Jayson Stark and all of the others each time a new name pops up, proclaiming each new PED transgression to be worst than the last and all of them worse than anything that came before? Well, then, you're eventually going to have to give up on this game altogether, because you won't have a recent baseball memory that isn't terminally tainted. As I sit here today, no baseball memory of mine -- 1998 home run race included -- has been ruined by any PED-related revelations. If they had been, I probably couldn't find the will to wake up and write about this game every day. And to be fair, the Jayson Stark's of the world wake up and, most of the time anyway, seem to enjoy writing about this game too.

Which leads me to wonder: are they lying when they say how much they love baseball, or are they lying when they say that PEDs have destroyed it? It has to be one of those, right?

Posted by Craig Calcaterra at 8:00am


Comments

hermitfool said...

David Eckstein is the perfect example of how much we don’t know. His famous lack of heft makes us less suspicious than were he built like say the average NFL player. But what if his natural build and musculature were 30% smaller than what we’re seeing? What if, like hundreds of MLB players, his reaction to the banning of greenies was to sell freshly minted ADHD symptoms to a known Ritalin prescriber? What if he addresses nagging injuries with HGH, a drug MLB can’t detect. Or what if the smart, scrappy little guy was a pioneer in the world of undetectable designer hormones?  We don’t suspect him of anything, except being puny and scrappy, but we really don’t know squat. Compared with the genetic blue print he was born with he may have exploded into a veritable King Kong. Without the drugs he might have taken, he possibly could be out of baseball because of chronic injuries. Without the Ritalin he might be taking, his batting numbers might be even more anemic.

Posted 02/09  at  06:07 PM
ralphdibny said...

So now Rodriguez has publicly admitted to using steroids.  It seems that he has learned from the Clemens/Pettite comparisons and decided that he prefers the media’s treatment of Pettite.

EXCEPT—Once you open you mouth, and your explanation doesn’t sound convincing, aren’t you in worse shape than before?  Are we really supposed to believe that he used steroids because of the pressure of joining the Rangers, but that the pressure of joining the Yankees didn’t faze him?  That he stopped taking in spring training of 2003, a fact which both explains the positive test and exonerates his MVP season? 

I don’t even care that he used steroids; I’d be more surprised if he didn’t.  But his version of events is so laughably self-serving that I will be surprised if this all goes quickly away.

Posted 02/09  at  06:35 PM
Kenn Frye said...

Craig - I truly wonder if steroids have had all that much impact on the stats.  It seems everyone is forgetting all the other aspect of 1990’s MLB that boosted offense:  1) Expansion (how many hr’s would Maris have hit in 1961 had that not been an expansion year especially looking at his hr total in 1960 and 1962.  See also Norm Cash or for 1962 in the NL, Tommie Davis). There were multiple expansions in the 1990’s.  2) New, smaller ballparks with shorter power alleys, less foul-ball area. Any park in Denver.  3) the umps calling a smaller strike zone. 4)improved bat technology with slender handles and thicker barrels. 5) alleged juicing of the balls.
  The central skill in baseball, whether pitching/hitting/fielding, is hand-eye coordination.  No study has shown steroids to have any positive effect on this skill.  What steroids can do for a person working out is to allow him to a bit work longer and recover a bit sooner. Given two people starting with the same weight/strength and one using steroids, the latter would be marginally faster/stronger/ bigger.  How would that translate into stats? Who knows?  In the 1988 Olympics, steroid aided Ben Johnson beat Carl Lewis by 0.13 seconds rather than some amount like Bob Beamon’s long jump).But I can’t imagine it would be much more than negligible when compared to expansion/smaller ballparks/etc.  If steroids are the cause of the hr records, why haven’t some stud pitchers struck out 400+ batters or speedsters stolen 150-200 bases/year?  At least half the players testing positive for steroids have been pitchers.  The poster boy for steroid use is Jose Canseco.  Jose has an identical twin, Ozzie.  One would think that the same chemicals working on the exact same DNA would give reasonably similar results.  But Jose had a career on the fringes of the HoF while Ozzie had a career on the fringes of the Majors Leagues.

Posted 02/09  at  06:44 PM
archilochusColubris said...

I must say it’s incredibly refreshing to hear points of view like those spitball and Conor provide here. Part of the real problem analytical fans are having with the steroid hoopla is the utter lack of cogent argument as to why these players should be punished so harshly. As Neyer put it, PED-users are being absolutely demonized by the high priests of baseball, none of whom have taken any steps toward arguing WHY this offense is so much more egregious than a DUI or thrown punch, let alone spitballs or greenies. Spitball and Conor identify the singular reason why fans could consider steroids deal-breakers for worthiness: they require incredible personal sacrifice for a fair shot.

That said, i don’t agree with it at all. Maybe it’s a secret Schadenfreude that fills me with glee when i hear of Dock Ellis confusing baseball and dodgeball or Randall Simon taking some time out to fix a sausage race. But for me, entertainment is entertainment and i think that such dangers are a small price to pay for getting the opportunity to play a wonderful game for millions of dollars a year. Not to say i that i condone cheating or would find it in anyway acceptable if pursuing a career in baseball made it necessary to take extreme legal risks or significantly cripple your body; it’s just that as i perceive it, the competitive advantage gained from juicing up and the personal sacrifice required to do so do not reflect a balance so abhorrent as to render their use inexcusable. In light of football-player lifespans and the state of post-career pitching arms, i would be hard-pressed to even make such an argument. The fact of the matter is that we do require athletes to put their bodies on the line to compete at professional levels.

The worst part about all these public shamings is that we’re condemning the very people forced to make these personal sacrifices. Do you think that Alex Rodriguez wanted to take steroids for the sake of his personal fitness? Do you think it profited players any more than it did the owners? Yeah it was bad for the game and yeah it should be stopped but the last person i want to jump on is anyone who undertook this personal sacrifice because others told them it would make them better. I can’t believe what they’ve been through already. I’m not ashamed to say that all this steroids-moralizing has turned Barry Bonds from a despicable player-villain into my favorite player. I’d like to hear anyone tell me he’s getting more than his just desserts.

Bring on more past offenders. Perhaps eventually we’ll swallow the fact that a lot of people tried PEDs, the game made some mistakes, and it didn’t change the game all that much—other than perhaps adding some marginal moments of excessive entertainment.

Posted 02/09  at  08:01 PM
joepro said...

Excellent post and commentary.  This blog is THE AUTHORITY on steroids in baseball.  When Craig says the steroids don’t wipe away the memories, I totally agree.  Showing up for a game two hours early to watch McGwire drill bombs 500 feet into the upper deck is something I will never forget.  It was awesome, and I do remember comments that he was “on something.”  Also, the sports writing industry is so irrelevant, I don’t read into anything they have to say.  I read blogs like this instead.

Posted 02/09  at  08:57 PM
tadthebad said...

I agree that the persecution of ARod is bad, and I hope he doesn’t have to fight this battle for all of the players and MLB by himself.  That said, I don’t understand the absolution given to any and all players who tested positive for banned substances.  People attmept to make the point that the effect of steroids may have been marginal…um, how the hell do you know that, or what do you base it on?  The players weren’t taking these drugs because they had no affect.  Stronger muscles are an advantage in almost any sport, and baseball is no exception.  It’s an edge, it is cheating.  We’re going to hide behind some prehistoric information and argue that PEDs don’t help increase performance: so it’s OK to believe Canseco when he reports which players used PEDs, but we don’t believe him when he reports that PEDs make great athletes “once in a lifetime” athletes?  Further, we’re going to argue that PED usage isn’t necessarily cheating, and/or that cheating is OK?  This line of reasoning is incredibly frustrating and naive.

It strikes me that as a group, we are quite arrogant about the superiority of baseball to football.  But now, many of us are acting like NFL fans with regards to PED use: just part of the game, let ‘em all use, no big deal, etc.  Complete hypocrisy.  I wonder if someday MLB fans will see their game turned into nothing more than outsized neandrathals who use anything and everything, all in the name of the evolution of the sport.

Posted 02/10  at  09:53 AM
VanderBirch said...

Tad,

I definitely agree with you that PED use is ‘cheating’, and that it leaves something of a sick taste in my mouth. I absolutely believe MLB needs to really agressively seek to stamp out drug use in baseball, through stringent testing and harsh suspensions.

But I don’t believe it is at all fair to castigate players who used prior to the introduction of drug testing. That is not to say that their behaviour reflects well on them, but that everything must be viewed through the prism of the pervasive drug culture that existed then. The Verducci article from 02 is fantastic in setting this out- it was like the wild west for a while. 

Moreover, as has been discussed here and elsewhere, ‘cheating’ is rather difficult as a concept to tie down. Is it intent that matters? What if everyone is doing it, nullifying the advantage? Are steroids that far removed from simply lifting weights or getting LASIK?

I guess I am hoping people can find a middle ground on this, but I am always acutely aware of human fallibility. Putting people on a pedastal, particularly athletes, is almost always a terrible idea- I think if people examined closely a lot of what has happened in baseball history, they would see a lot of things they would not like. Consequently, I don’t think players who used should be judged too harshly. They just wanted to be the best players they could be (and make a shitload of cash at the sametime).

Posted 02/10  at  11:08 AM
The Asterisk said...

I am one of those tinfoil hat wearing skeptics and I smell a conspiracy.  Eventually it’s going to come out that Major League Baseball as a selfish acto of preservation actively encouraged it’s players to take performance enhancing drugs. (http://www.tinfoilonmyhead.com)

Posted 02/12  at  10:32 PM
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