2010: It’s not just the title of a Roy Scheider movie I like a lot more than I probably should, it’s also the next time we’ll have Hall of Fame results. Today, FanHouse’s Matt Snyder takes a look at the list of next year’s first-time eligibles. He has Roberto Alomar as “probable,” Barry Larkin, Fred McGriff, and Edgar Martinez as “debatable,” Andres Galaraga, Ellis Burks, and Robin Ventura as “doubtful,” and a bunch of fun names as one-and-dones.
I’m inclined to flip-flop Alomar and Larkin. Not because I think that Larkin is more deserving of induction than Alomar is, but because I think a lot of logic-challenged voters do.
For one thing, though Alomar received considerably more MVP support over the course of his career than did Larkin, Larkin actually won the award once, and if Alan Trammell and Bert Blyleven are any example, the Hall of Fame voters extract a penalty for the lack of end-of-season hardware. I also think that voters will give Larkin more credit for his World Series ring than they will Alomar for his two, with the reasoning being that Alomar had better teammates than did Larkin and thus somehow was required to carry less of a load. That’s hooey of course — Alomar was a beast in 1992 and 1993 — but Joe Carter’s shadow looms large. Finally, though Snyder dismisses it due to the fact that there is an accepted apology on the record, if you think that a good number of Hall of Fame voters won’t hold the spitting incident against Alomar, you’re crazy.
Ultimately I think they should go in and both will go in. I just think that the voters will make Alomar wait longer than Larkin.