THT Dartboard: Week Fourteen

Dartboard
Divisional Picture


Dartboard

Welcome to The Hardball Times Dartboard, our weekly attempt to rank all the teams in baseball. The Dartboard Factor is how many wins a team would be expected to have at the end of the season if it played a neutral schedule. Next to that, you’ll find the Dartboard Factor from the previous week. An explanation of our method can be found here.

Last week’s experiment with statistical snapshots of each time was met with some positive reviews, so it returns again this week. I am still unsure as to how much staying power this sort of insight provides, so please let me know if you have an opinion one way or another. For hitters, the standard triple slash stats are shown first, followed by a comparison of the strikeouts and free passes. Free passes here includes hit by pitches and excludes intentional walks. Lastly, a link to wOBA if you are not familiar with it. The stats for the pitchers should then be self-explanatory.

#1 Los Angeles Dodgers (Dartboard Factor = 103, 101):
Hitters: .326/.411/.556, 41:35 K/FP, .420 wOBA
Starters: 33.0 IP, 4 HR, 23:14 K/FP, 43% GB, 4.65 FIP
Relievers: 24.0 IP, 1 HR, 13:12 K/FP, 41% GB, 4.16 FIP

#2 New York Yankees (Dartboard Factor = 96, 95):
Hitters: .324/.405/.504, 51:36 K/FP, .405 wOBA
Starters: 35.0 IP, 8 HR, 16:16 K/FP, 39% GB, 6.63 FIP
Relievers: 26.0 IP, 3 HR, 24:8 K/FP, 45% GB, 3.78 FIP

#3 Boston Red Sox (Dartboard Factor = 96, 96):
Hitters: .237/.342/.475, 55:36 K/FP, .362 wOBA
Starters: 43.3 IP, 1 HR, 40:11 K/FP, 47% GB, 2.41 FIP
Relievers: 19.7 IP, 4 HR, 26:5 K/FP, 44% GB, 3.96 FIP

#4 Tampa Bay Rays (Dartboard Factor = 93, 93):
Hitters: .249/.343/.376, 53:30 K/FP, .325 wOBA
Starters: 39.7 IP, 3 HR, 35:13 K/FP, 37% GB, 3.40 FIP
Relievers: 15.3 IP, 1 HR, 14:3 K/FP, 37% GB, 2.81 FIP

#5 Los Angeles Angels (Dartboard Factor = 91, 90):
Hitters: .320/.389/.515, 30:25 K/FP, .399 wOBA
Starters: 32.0 IP, 10 HR, 33:10 K/FP, 36% GB, 6.14 FIP
Relievers: 22.0 IP, 5 HR, 21:7 K/FP, 38% GB, 5.20 FIP

#6 Texas Rangers (Dartboard Factor = 89, 88):
Hitters: .246/.305/.419, 51:22 K/FP, .320 wOBA
Starters: 39.3 IP, 4 HR, 18:15 K/FP, 43% GB, 4.75 FIP
Relievers: 20.7 IP, 2 HR, 16:9 K/FP, 52% GB, 4.21 FIP

#7 Colorado Rockies (Dartboard Factor = 87, 87):
Hitters: .265/.337/.443, 48:26 K/FP, .361 wOBA
Starters: 44.0 IP, 3 HR, 34:17 K/FP, 56% GB, 3.70 FIP
Relievers: 19.0 IP, 0 HR, 14:5 K/FP, 49% GB, 2.52 FIP

#8 St Louis Cardinals (Dartboard Factor = 86, 83):
Hitters: .284/.377/.441, 39:33 K/FP, .362 wOBA
Starters: 39.0 IP, 2 HR, 31:13 K/FP, 57% GB, 3.28 FIP
Relievers: 13.0 IP, 0 HR, 9:7 K/FP, 53% GB, 3.43 FIP

#9 San Francisco Giants (Dartboard Factor = 86, 84):
Hitters: .231/.266/.389, 50:11 K/FP, .287 wOBA
Starters: 41.0 IP, 3 HR, 38:12 K/FP, 35% GB, 3.18 FIP
Relievers: 22.0 IP, 1 HR, 21:5 K/FP, 59% GB, 2.56 FIP

#10 Seattle Mariners (Dartboard Factor = 85, 85):
Hitters: .242/.314/.396, 47:25 K/FP, .320 wOBA
Starters: 44.0 IP, 5 HR, 34:17 K/FP, 39% GB, 4.29 FIP
Relievers: 18.0 IP, 2 HR, 11:9 K/FP, 57% GB, 4.92 FIP

#11 Toronto Blue Jays (Dartboard Factor = 84, 86):
Hitters: .264/.307/.398, 47:17 K/FP, .312 wOBA
Starters: 40.0 IP, 4 HR, 36:21 K/FP, 41% GB, 4.28 FIP
Relievers: 24.7 IP, 3 HR, 22:15 K/FP, 39% GB, 4.82 FIP

#12 Minnesota Twins (Dartboard Factor = 84, 86):
Hitters: .244/.320/.371, 38:22 K/FP, .318 wOBA
Starters: 33.0 IP, 2 HR, 19:11 K/FP, 46% GB, 3.84 FIP
Relievers: 21.0 IP, 0 HR, 11:11 K/FP, 43% GB, 3.72 FIP

#13 Philadelphia Phillies (Dartboard Factor = 84, 79):
Hitters: .308/.401/.549, 51:38 K/FP, .411 wOBA
Starters: 44.7 IP, 9 HR, 32:7 K/FP, 39% GB, 4.86 FIP
Relievers: 18.3 IP, 1 HR, 21:8 K/FP, 45% GB, 2.93 FIP

#14 Detroit Tigers (Dartboard Factor = 84, 85):
Hitters: .234/.310/.399, 47:21 K/FP, .315 wOBA
Starters: 36.3 IP, 5 HR, 30:8 K/FP, 39% GB, 4.00 FIP
Relievers: 16.7 IP, 1 HR, 18:9 K/FP, 48% GB, 3.44 FIP

#15 Chicago White Sox (Dartboard Factor = 82, 83):
Hitters: .297/.353/.448, 30:20 K/FP, .350 wOBA
Starters: 31.3 IP, 6 HR, 27:10 K/FP, 47% GB, 4.93 FIP
Relievers: 20.7 IP, 2 HR, 19:13 K/FP, 46% GB, 4.50 FIP

#16 Milwaukee Brewers (Dartboard Factor = 81, 83):
Hitters: .265/.338/.398, 43:23 K/FP, .328 wOBA
Starters: 33.3 IP, 10 HR, 27:11 K/FP, 39% GB, 6.47 FIP
Relievers: 20.7 IP, 2 HR, 18:6 K/FP, 41% GB, 3.59 FIP

#17 Atlanta Braves (Dartboard Factor = 80, 80):
Hitters: .256/.332/.388, 41:29 K/FP, .325 wOBA
Starters: 41.3 IP, 5 HR, 20:12 K/FP, 47% GB, 4.68 FIP
Relievers: 18.7 IP, 0 HR, 21:5 K/FP, 55% GB, 1.76 FIP

#18 Chicago Cubs (Dartboard Factor = 80, 80):
Hitters: .270/.316/.413, 33:14 K/FP, .321 wOBA
Starters: 36.3 IP, 3 HR, 32:10 K/FP, 32% GB, 3.34 FIP
Relievers: 17.7 IP, 1 HR, 9:10 K/FP, 43% GB, 4.61 FIP

#19 Florida Marlins (Dartboard Factor = 79, 79):
Hitters: .264/.317/.393, 46:19 K/FP, .322 wOBA
Starters: 43.3 IP, 5 HR, 34:11 K/FP, 45% GB, 3.89 FIP
Relievers: 15.7 IP, 0 HR, 13:3 K/FP, 39% GB, 2.12 FIP

#20 New York Mets (Dartboard Factor = 77, 79):
Hitters: .216/.282/.259, 34:17 K/FP, .257 wOBA
Starters: 32.0 IP, 4 HR, 22:18 K/FP, 27% GB, 5.14 FIP
Relievers: 21.0 IP, 2 HR, 15:13 K/FP, 52% GB, 4.87 FIP

#21 Houston Astros (Dartboard Factor = 75, 73):
Hitters: .324/.383/.496, 32:24 K/FP, .385 wOBA
Starters: 43.0 IP, 2 HR, 32:12 K/FP, 58% GB, 3.15 FIP
Relievers: 20.0 IP, 4 HR, 19:6 K/FP, 48% GB, 4.80 FIP

#22 Cincinnati Reds (Dartboard Factor = 74, 77):
Hitters: .216/.257/.360, 51:13 K/FP, .265 wOBA
Starters: 36.0 IP, 7 HR, 26:13 K/FP, 39% GB, 5.37 FIP
Relievers: 23.7 IP, 3 HR, 19:16 K/FP, 55% GB, 5.27 FIP

#23 Arizona Diamondbacks (Dartboard Factor = 73, 70):
Hitters: .281/.354/.465, 44:28 K/FP, .362 wOBA
Starters: 47.7 IP, 3 HR, 43:12 K/FP, 47% GB, 2.97 FIP
Relievers: 15.3 IP, 1 HR, 9:7 K/FP, 44% GB, 4.25 FIP

#24 Oakland Athletics (Dartboard Factor = 72, 71):
Hitters: .302/.349/.423, 46:17 K/FP, .346 wOBA
Starters: 34.0 IP, 5 HR, 29:13 K/FP, 34% GB, 4.55 FIP
Relievers: 17.0 IP, 1 HR, 22:9 K/FP, 35% GB, 2.96 FIP

#25 Baltimore Orioles (Dartboard Factor = 72, 72):
Hitters: .222/.299/.348, 43:23 K/FP, .304 wOBA
Starters: 31.3 IP, 4 HR, 14:16 K/FP, 31% GB, 5.50 FIP
Relievers: 23.7 IP, 0 HR, 23:5 K/FP, 66% GB, 1.89 FIP

#26 Kansas City Royals (Dartboard Factor = 71, 71):
Hitters: .278/.321/.444, 67:16 K/FP, .342 wOBA
Starters: 39.7 IP, 9 HR, 37:20 K/FP, 42% GB, 5.79 FIP
Relievers: 19.3 IP, 3 HR, 19:9 K/FP, 47% GB, 4.65 FIP

#27 Pittsburgh Pirates (Dartboard Factor = 71, 74):

#28 Cleveland Indians (Dartboard Factor = 70, 71):
Hitters: .253/.332/.434, 46:24 K/FP, .338 wOBA
Starters: 36.7 IP, 2 HR, 24:13 K/FP, 35% GB, 3.66 FIP
Relievers: 14.3 IP, 6 HR, 13:8 K/FP, 36% GB, 8.51 FIP

#29 San Diego Padres (Dartboard Factor = 67, 71):
Hitters: .181/.240/.321, 49:15 K/FP, .266 wOBA
Starters: 34.7 IP, 0 HR, 21:15 K/FP, 50% GB, 3.29 FIP
Relievers: 14.7 IP, 2 HR, 10:8 K/FP, 44% GB, 5.24 FIP

#30 Washington Nationals (Dartboard Factor = 57, 56):
Hitters: .328/.373/.482, 47:19 K/FP, .374 wOBA
Starters: 43.7 IP, 3 HR, 19:17 K/FP, 48% GB, 4.39 FIP
Relievers: 15.0 IP, 2 HR, 16:11 K/FP, 47% GB, 5.00 FIP


Divisional Picture

The playoff picture takes the above ranking and reforms the teams back into their leagues and divisions including the wild card. This is in no ways a prediction, this is an assessment of how teams have played so far this season, not how each team is going to play.

AL EAST
Yankees – 96
Red Sox – 96
Rays – 93
Blue Jays – 84
Orioles – 72

AL CENTRAL
Twins – 84
Tigers – 84
White Sox – 82
Royals – 71
Indians – 70

AL WEST
Angels – 91
Rangers – 89
Mariners – 85
Athletics – 72

NL EAST
Phillies – 84
Braves – 80
Marlins – 79
Mets – 77
Nationals – 57

NL CENTRAL
Cardinals – 86
Brewers – 81
Cubs – 80
Astros – 75
Reds – 74
Pirates – 71

NL WEST
Dodgers – 103
Rockies – 87
Giants – 86
Diamondbacks – 73
Padres – 67

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Comments

  1. Steve said...

    The way this season is going it will provide a good snapshot of why the divisional system could use some tweaks.  When the 4th place team in one division has the same record as the first place team in another you know there are problems.  I truly feel bad for fans of Toronto and Tampa Bay.  In any other division they would be perennial contenders.

  2. Matthew Carruth said...

    @YX

    The actual dartboards rankings are carried out to several decimal points.

    @Dave

    Yes, the snapshots are stats since the last dartboard while the rankings are for season to date

  3. Dave Studeman said...

    The statistical snapshots are pretty cool, Matthew.  Just to be clear, the snapshots are based on the past week, while the dartboard rankings are based on the season to date, right?

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