THT Dartboard: Week Twenty-one

Dartboard
Divisional Picture


Dartboard

Welcome to The Hardball Times Dartboard, our weekly attempt to rank all the teams in baseball. The Dartboard Factor is how many wins a team would be expected to have at the end of the season if it played a neutral schedule. Next to that, you’ll find the Dartboard Factor from the previous week. An explanation of our method can be found here.

Once again, for hitters, the standard triple slash stats are shown first, followed by a comparison of the strikeouts and free passes. Free passes here includes hit by pitches and excludes intentional walks. Lastly, a link to wOBA if you are not familiar with it. The stats for the pitchers should then be self-explanatory.

#1 New York Yankees (Dartboard Factor = 103, 102):
Hitters: .296/.390/.500, 36:33 K/FP, .393 wOBA
Starters: 33.3 IP, 2 HR, 37:11 K/FP, 53% GB, 2.75 FIP
Relievers: 21.7 IP, 5 HR, 17:6 K/FP, 44% GB, 5.46 FIP

#2 Los Angeles Dodgers (Dartboard Factor = 98, 98):
Hitters: .278/.349/.457, 44:26 K/FP, .355 wOBA
Starters: 33.0 IP, 6 HR, 30:12 K/FP, 40% GB, 4.84 FIP
Relievers: 23.3 IP, 1 HR, 29:6 K/FP, 45% GB, 2.04 FIP

#3 Boston Red Sox (Dartboard Factor = 95, 93):
Hitters: .297/.357/.534, 51:24 K/FP, .387 wOBA
Starters: 41.7 IP, 6 HR, 33:19 K/FP, 38% GB, 4.85 FIP
Relievers: 21.3 IP, 1 HR, 25:12 K/FP, 33% GB, 3.15 FIP

#4 Los Angeles Angels (Dartboard Factor = 95, 96):
Hitters: .292/.353/.449, 40:24 K/FP, .365 wOBA
Starters: 39.0 IP, 6 HR, 30:14 K/FP, 35% GB, 4.74 FIP
Relievers: 24.0 IP, 1 HR, 15:7 K/FP, 45% GB, 3.37 FIP

#5 Philadelphia Phillies (Dartboard Factor = 93, 93):
Hitters: .251/.326/.485, 51:26 K/FP, .353 wOBA
Starters: 43.0 IP, 8 HR, 36:12 K/FP, 41% GB, 4.78 FIP
Relievers: 18.0 IP, 3 HR, 16:4 K/FP, 46% GB, 4.26 FIP

#6 Texas Rangers (Dartboard Factor = 92, 92):
Hitters: .249/.311/.421, 60:19 K/FP, .328 wOBA
Starters: 34.0 IP, 5 HR, 16:22 K/FP, 47% GB, 6.11 FIP
Relievers: 17.0 IP, 0 HR, 19:7 K/FP, 38% GB, 2.20 FIP

#7 St Louis Cardinals (Dartboard Factor = 91, 89):
Hitters: .223/.291/.353, 30:18 K/FP, .299 wOBA
Starters: 40.0 IP, 1 HR, 28:8 K/FP, 62% GB, 2.73 FIP
Relievers: 14.0 IP, 1 HR, 6:6 K/FP, 45% GB, 4.56 FIP

#8 Tampa Bay Rays (Dartboard Factor = 90, 90):
Hitters: .248/.335/.388, 48:28 K/FP, .341 wOBA
Starters: 38.3 IP, 4 HR, 30:12 K/FP, 48% GB, 3.93 FIP
Relievers: 13.3 IP, 3 HR, 11:5 K/FP, 38% GB, 5.61 FIP

#9 Colorado Rockies (Dartboard Factor = 89, 91):
Hitters: .272/.344/.400, 65:28 K/FP, .327 wOBA
Starters: 43.0 IP, 7 HR, 27:17 K/FP, 42% GB, 5.25 FIP
Relievers: 23.0 IP, 1 HR, 21:9 K/FP, 46% GB, 3.11 FIP

#10 San Francisco Giants (Dartboard Factor = 88, 86):
Hitters: .234/.316/.409, 42:30 K/FP, .316 wOBA
Starters: 46.7 IP, 6 HR, 45:17 K/FP, 48% GB, 4.04 FIP
Relievers: 20.7 IP, 1 HR, 21:11 K/FP, 40% GB, 3.39 FIP

#11 Atlanta Braves (Dartboard Factor = 85, 87):
Hitters: .284/.351/.399, 47:23 K/FP, .337 wOBA
Starters: 34.7 IP, 4 HR, 27:9 K/FP, 43% GB, 3.92 FIP
Relievers: 18.3 IP, 3 HR, 23:6 K/FP, 37% GB, 3.80 FIP

#12 Detroit Tigers (Dartboard Factor = 85, 84):
Hitters: .254/.311/.433, 36:17 K/FP, .321 wOBA
Starters: 35.7 IP, 4 HR, 26:15 K/FP, 44% GB, 4.46 FIP
Relievers: 17.3 IP, 2 HR, 13:13 K/FP, 47% GB, 5.45 FIP

#13 Seattle Mariners (Dartboard Factor = 84, 83):
Hitters: .224/.282/.390, 56:19 K/FP, .312 wOBA
Starters: 44.0 IP, 7 HR, 27:8 K/FP, 37% GB, 4.59 FIP
Relievers: 20.0 IP, 3 HR, 13:2 K/FP, 41% GB, 4.15 FIP

#14 Florida Marlins (Dartboard Factor = 83, 84):
Hitters: .268/.356/.412, 32:27 K/FP, .347 wOBA
Starters: 28.7 IP, 2 HR, 25:11 K/FP, 41% GB, 3.51 FIP
Relievers: 25.3 IP, 2 HR, 21:10 K/FP, 47% GB, 3.75 FIP

#15 Chicago Cubs (Dartboard Factor = 82, 82):
Hitters: .299/.368/.475, 42:23 K/FP, .379 wOBA
Starters: 33.3 IP, 3 HR, 25:15 K/FP, 42% GB, 4.22 FIP
Relievers: 20.7 IP, 2 HR, 18:8 K/FP, 40% GB, 3.88 FIP

#16 Minnesota Twins (Dartboard Factor = 82, 81):
Hitters: .241/.316/.353, 28:21 K/FP, .296 wOBA
Starters: 35.3 IP, 2 HR, 27:9 K/FP, 38% GB, 3.17 FIP
Relievers: 18.7 IP, 1 HR, 20:10 K/FP, 38% GB, 3.36 FIP

#17 Chicago White Sox (Dartboard Factor = 78, 81):
Hitters: .229/.282/.367, 49:19 K/FP, .288 wOBA
Starters: 36.3 IP, 8 HR, 25:14 K/FP, 50% GB, 5.84 FIP
Relievers: 22.7 IP, 7 HR, 15:8 K/FP, 28% GB, 6.94 FIP

#18 Toronto Blue Jays (Dartboard Factor = 77, 79):
Hitters: .225/.313/.377, 59:26 K/FP, .321 wOBA
Starters: 31.7 IP, 6 HR, 35:17 K/FP, 42% GB, 5.06 FIP
Relievers: 19.3 IP, 1 HR, 22:11 K/FP, 56% GB, 3.30 FIP

#19 Milwaukee Brewers (Dartboard Factor = 76, 76):
Hitters: .258/.331/.456, 54:28 K/FP, .351 wOBA
Starters: 37.0 IP, 4 HR, 26:19 K/FP, 43% GB, 4.74 FIP
Relievers: 31.0 IP, 4 HR, 27:8 K/FP, 33% GB, 3.91 FIP

#20 Arizona Diamondbacks (Dartboard Factor = 75, 73):
Hitters: .289/.368/.510, 49:26 K/FP, .383 wOBA
Starters: 40.7 IP, 3 HR, 36:12 K/FP, 43% GB, 3.27 FIP
Relievers: 11.3 IP, 3 HR, 8:3 K/FP, 49% GB, 6.03 FIP

#21 Houston Astros (Dartboard Factor = 74, 76):
Hitters: .208/.250/.305, 40:11 K/FP, .254 wOBA
Starters: 32.0 IP, 4 HR, 20:14 K/FP, 41% GB, 4.89 FIP
Relievers: 17.0 IP, 3 HR, 19:6 K/FP, 53% GB, 4.32 FIP

#22 Oakland Athletics (Dartboard Factor = 74, 76):
Hitters: .245/.287/.343, 38:15 K/FP, .278 wOBA
Starters: 40.7 IP, 7 HR, 32:15 K/FP, 40% GB, 4.97 FIP
Relievers: 18.7 IP, 3 HR, 14:4 K/FP, 49% GB, 4.43 FIP

#23 Cleveland Indians (Dartboard Factor = 73, 73):
Hitters: .285/.333/.478, 52:19 K/FP, .351 wOBA
Starters: 39.7 IP, 3 HR, 22:18 K/FP, 43% GB, 4.43 FIP
Relievers: 20.3 IP, 5 HR, 18:5 K/FP, 39% GB, 5.37 FIP

#24 New York Mets (Dartboard Factor = 73, 74):
Hitters: .279/.315/.385, 49:14 K/FP, .316 wOBA
Starters: 41.0 IP, 7 HR, 26:18 K/FP, 40% GB, 5.47 FIP
Relievers: 18.0 IP, 1 HR, 16:12 K/FP, 38% GB, 4.14 FIP

#25 San Diego Padres (Dartboard Factor = 70, 68):
Hitters: .294/.364/.438, 55:27 K/FP, .361 wOBA
Starters: 30.3 IP, 2 HR, 16:11 K/FP, 41% GB, 4.09 FIP
Relievers: 24.7 IP, 1 HR, 25:17 K/FP, 43% GB, 3.77 FIP

#26 Baltimore Orioles (Dartboard Factor = 69, 69):
Hitters: .284/.366/.436, 45:31 K/FP, .357 wOBA
Starters: 40.3 IP, 3 HR, 28:11 K/FP, 42% GB, 3.60 FIP
Relievers: 21.3 IP, 3 HR, 11:9 K/FP, 44% GB, 5.27 FIP

#27 Cincinnati Reds (Dartboard Factor = 68, 66):
Hitters: .272/.351/.448, 57:29 K/FP, .359 wOBA
Starters: 41.0 IP, 8 HR, 28:13 K/FP, 44% GB, 5.32 FIP
Relievers: 21.0 IP, 3 HR, 15:12 K/FP, 45% GB, 5.34 FIP

#28 Pittsburgh Pirates (Dartboard Factor = 66, 66):
Hitters: .261/.335/.472, 41:22 K/FP, .345 wOBA
Starters: 34.3 IP, 7 HR, 26:14 K/FP, 35% GB, 5.56 FIP
Relievers: 17.7 IP, 2 HR, 15:5 K/FP, 38% GB, 3.82 FIP

#29 Kansas City Royals (Dartboard Factor = 63, 63):
Hitters: .241/.283/.399, 38:14 K/FP, .296 wOBA
Starters: 47.0 IP, 5 HR, 41:11 K/FP, 43% GB, 3.54 FIP
Relievers: 14.0 IP, 3 HR, 14:4 K/FP, 34% GB, 4.84 FIP

#30 Washington Nationals (Dartboard Factor = 59, 60):
Hitters: .236/.332/.376, 53:35 K/FP, .319 wOBA
Starters: 40.3 IP, 7 HR, 31:16 K/FP, 42% GB, 5.11 FIP
Relievers: 18.7 IP, 5 HR, 19:6 K/FP, 41% GB, 5.61 FIP


Divisional Picture

The playoff picture takes the above ranking and reforms the teams back into their leagues and divisions including the wild card. This is in no ways a prediction, this is an assessment of how teams have played so far this season, not how each team is going to play.

AL EAST
Yankees – 103
Red Sox – 95
Rays – 90
Blue Jays – 77
Orioles – 69

AL CENTRAL
Tigers – 85
Twins – 82
White Sox – 78
Indians – 73
Royals – 63

AL WEST
Angels – 95
Rangers – 92
Mariners – 84
Athletics – 74

AL WILD CARD
Red Sox – 95
Rangers – 92
Rays – 90

NL EAST
Phillies – 93
Braves – 85
Marlins – 83
Mets – 73
Nationals – 59

NL CENTRAL
Cardinals – 91
Cubs – 82
Brewers – 76
Astros – 74
Reds – 68
Pirates – 66

NL WEST
Dodgers – 98
Rockies – 89
Giants – 88
Diamondbacks – 75
Padres – 70

NL WILD CARD
Rockies – 89
Giants – 88
Braves – 85
Marlins – 83
Cubs – 82

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