We’re down to the final four. Last night, Arizona State eliminated North Carolina, setting both of the matchups for today’s (and possibly tomorrow’s) games. Texas and LSU are undefeated, meaning that their opponent will have to beat them twice to advance to the championship, but they only have to win one. As you can tell from the odds below the jump, I give the Sun Devils a much better chance of advancing than I do the Razorbacks.
With Virginia out of the tournament, far and away the best team on paper is Arizona State. Because they have to win two against Texas, my simulator doesn’t give them an overwhelming chance of winning, but if they do make it to the championship round, they will be the favorite.
Click through for the full odds.
Team FinalTwo Champ Texas 64.2% 32.0% Arizona State 35.8% 22.9% Arkansas 12.2% 3.2% Louisiana State 87.8% 41.9%