Went too high: Reynolds, J Upton, Roberts, Soriano, McCutchen, Kendrick, As Cabrera, Washburn

Went too low: Teixeira, Halladay, Berkman, Ellsbury, Peavy

I like Dan’s Dukie Blasters best. Teixeira’s ADP will be 10 at most next year. Getting him at 17 is laughable.

It’s all about reliability in the early rounds. Teixeira is as reliable as they come. This is not to mention the fact that he’s in a wonderful situation hitting in a very productive lineup in a hitter-friendly park.

I would take Teixeira before all of these players who were drafted before him: Reynolds, Wright, Holliday, J Upton, Fielder, Miggy, Kemp, Kinsler, and Longoria. Crawford and A-Rod are close calls for me too.

standard 5x5
AVG, R, RBI, HR, SB….ERA, WHIP, K, W, SV

“Inside the top 50, floor is more important than ceiling, IMO.

Exactly.

I’d even argue this is a fact, not an opinion.

I don’t disagree with you one bit on the idea that high risk players should be taken later.  I think Tex was a fantastic value where he was.  But I don’t think it’s “Laughable”...though I really feel that Derek Jeter and Bobby Abreu so high could be argued as A Bit Optimistic.  To be clear…I really didn’t want Carl Crawford in the first round…and I think it’s pretty hilarious I got Manny Ramirez AFTER Derek Jeter was drafted!  All in all it was fun…but I’m a little disappointed in the voting going on.  Perhaps my pitching is seen as being very weak.

Guys like Kinsler, Holliday and Upton contribute in more categories than Tex.  Same with Reynolds (though I think he was very premature as well).  I’m not saying they’re definitely better, but I don’t think it’s totally unreasonable to draft them ahead of him, considering there are more than plenty first basemen that will hit between .275 and .300 with 35 HR.  That’s all I was saying there…and I really like the aging curve that Justin Upton is seeing.

If you think Tex is WAY better than that, you’ll probably get him in your draft next season.  That’s a good thing for you.  Of course it’s not going to be exactly the way things shape up next preseason. 

I have him in my most important league right now and he’s been great.  However, I would argue that he’s #5 best 1B in the league with Pujols-Fielder-Cabrera-Morneau (slightly) ahead of him.  But with the exception of Pujols, these guys are all expected to produce very similarly (Fielder with more HR upside, Cabrera with significantly more BA upside).  That’s a good thing for you.  Of course it’s not going to be exactly the way things shape up next preseason.  Don’t forget there’s not a whole lot of dropoff from Tex to guys like Ryan Howard (with more power potential) and Adrian Gonzalez.  The truth of the matter is Tex hasn’t hit 40 HR since 2005 and looks like a Morneau clone with a bit more power.  Both fantastic players and I love him playing in that new Yankee Stadium, but not 100% for sure first rounders in a 10 team league.

As for the apparent love for Hamboners…Sizemore and Howard can seriously hurt your batting average (and keep in mind no one knows what’s going to happen with Sizemore’s injury).  It’s only a 10-team league, we have to remember, with no bench spots.  Every team is going to look damn good after 4 rounds.

If Beckham is only going to be eligible at 3b, will he really get picked this high? I own him and am thinking that if he isn’t a MI I should protect someone else

Big Mike—- The list is accurate taking into the context of the draft.  Now if your league has different settings, you can pull out the hitters, SP and RP and use them for an initial ranking.

I did an analysis of my take at: http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/8/18/993552/thoughts-on-a-2010-fantasy

The one RP carries way too much weight and that is why they may have been drafted too high.

In defense of the Jeter and Abreu picks:

-In retrospect I should have gone w/ Rollins for the steals, or just basically punt the position and wait for value. But Jeter provides the position scarcity, consistency and multi-cat skills I was looking for early.
-Abreu is the same story as Jeter: extremely consistent, always gets a ton of R/RBI with solid production everywhere else.

Admittedly I played it ultra-conservative at the beginning. After round 4 I switched gears and picked up a couple awesome arms in rounds 5 and 6. And I am extremely happy with Figgins/Napoli to round out my lineup.

Jeff - my take was that the one closer only rule lowered the value of great closers, or rather all closers. In a normal league you’d presumably draft 2 closers. The difference between #1 and #10 beats the difference between #1 and #20. So the relative value of a batter or SP becomes higher.

@Follow up I think you may be missing the point.

Yes, the difference between #1 and #20 is bigger than #1 and #10, but the difference between #10 and #20 is much smaller than the difference between #1 and #10.

That’s why the demand for a top guy increases.  When each team has two or three closers, the impact of the top guys is smaller.  It’s a great advantage for the teams at the top, but you have a reasonably good chance of being middle of the pack in saves if you wait to buy cheaper closers with upside because there’s not a huge amount of difference between closers #11 through #25, say.

In a 10 team league with only 1 closer, if you don’t grab a top stud, you may end up with a very good closer, but you’ll still only score 1 point in saves.

I see people raging on david wright. He just isnt hitting home runs because pitchers are not giving him anything to hit cuz if they walk him his protection is gary sheffield…next year if jerry manuel was smart he would put carlos beltran behind him. If this happens I could easily see him getting 25+ home runs.

As much as I like upton seeing as he is one of my keepers…along with wright…11 is a little high for him, I personaly think he is a 3rd rounder.

I dont see how CC would fall that low, especially that far behind grienke

Can someone tell me how my keepers look in a 20 team mix league?... david wright, jose reyes, jacoby ellsbury, johan santana, and jake peavy